SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s1
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2555
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1333
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.085972 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.086983 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.087565 | -4.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.088078 | -4.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.089488 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.089382 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.090503 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.084732 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.086009 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.098256 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.095889 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.095287 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.095101 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.093965 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.094052 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.091777 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.093566 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.080853 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.088654 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.086518 | -4.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.088966 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.090086 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.101828 | -5.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.115178 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.1129 | -8.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.132884 | -16.00% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.114479 | -10.50% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.099114 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.097762 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.097581 | -6.06% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.089633 | -5.47% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.097266 | -5.42% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1282 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.104407 | -7.70% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0863 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.107952 | -9.22% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1446 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.107508 | -10.11% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1088 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.111817 | -13.53% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.119333 | -15.03% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.2956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.110617 | -14.79% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.129957 | -16.55% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.128959 | -17.66% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.2977 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.144442 | -22.15% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.142959 | -27.10% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.4356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.129863 | -30.15% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.3407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.105855 | -22.56% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.1211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.102481 | -25.29% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.093594 | -20.34% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.089427 | -13.11% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.072462 | -5.87% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0818 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.07185 | -5.01% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1742 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.070239 | -4.16% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.067122 | -4.28% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.067158 | -3.76% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.067084 | -3.42% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.06881 | -3.68% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5367 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.069053 | -3.64% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.07167 | -3.97% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7101 | ✗ | 1.00 |