MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s1

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3276

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0914

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001868	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001749	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001876	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.00174	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.00201	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002236	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002285	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002148	-4.67%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1164	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001971	-3.55%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0886	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002074	-3.75%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0669	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001775	-3.00%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0366	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001774	-3.02%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1935	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.00179	-3.14%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2955	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002039	-3.11%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1643	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002318	-3.88%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0014	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002285	-4.00%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0638	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002717	-5.58%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1544	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002234	-3.99%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1383	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.00157	-8.60%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1835	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001463	-13.13%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.2668	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001369	-18.91%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.4853	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002304	-3.58%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0515	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003026	-2.21%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2782	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003544	-2.51%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2544	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003568	-2.79%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4514	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.00439	-3.80%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9421	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004722	-4.45%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0356	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004313	-4.05%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9435	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004385	-4.40%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.5972	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004603	-4.94%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3669	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005054	-5.49%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2926	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004182	-6.34%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1705	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00389	-8.89%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.1215	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005231	-6.64%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005101	-7.40%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2266	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.00347	-20.13%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005279	-10.86%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2178	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007928	-7.24%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.4959	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.004983	-20.73%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.1651	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007256	-13.65%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.5806	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.003975	-37.52%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.2969	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.006127	-27.51%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.1039	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.008318	-20.67%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.6219	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017048	-4.52%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0202	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017159	-4.70%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.6853	✓	1.00