MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s1

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

46.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1572

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0001

actual -0.0405

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002982	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002925	-2.03%	0.003037	+1.71%	0.0346	✗	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001796	-0.18%	0.002985	+65.91%	0.4970	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001938	-0.21%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0858	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001784	-0.11%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0867	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002089	-0.26%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1637	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002349	-0.51%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1137	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002408	-0.63%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0122	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002244	-0.41%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0706	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002038	-0.22%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1206	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002149	-0.25%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0691	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001829	-0.02%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.1987	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.00183	+0.07%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0140	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001851	+0.13%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0184	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002107	+0.07%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1464	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002408	-0.16%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1068	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002376	-0.16%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0595	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002857	-0.70%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1786	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002326	-0.03%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2289	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001723	+0.32%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2708	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.00169	+0.34%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0123	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001694	+0.33%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0005	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.0024	+0.41%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3785	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003101	+0.20%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2587	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003638	+0.06%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1654	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003672	+0.06%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004556	-0.18%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2168	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004929	-0.26%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0807	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004492	-0.08%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004585	-0.05%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004837	-0.10%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005338	-0.18%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004474	+0.19%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004281	+0.28%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.00561	+0.13%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2777	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005525	+0.29%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004362	+0.42%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2307	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005943	+0.36%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3209	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008557	+0.12%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3344	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006311	+0.38%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.2856	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.00843	+0.30%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2873	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006384	+0.36%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.2742	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008485	+0.38%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2968	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010526	+0.39%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1967	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.0179	+0.25%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5327	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.018061	+0.31%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0033	✗	1.00