MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s1

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.8409

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.3796

actual -1.2204

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002571	-15.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002519	-15.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001625	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001751	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001596	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001867	-10.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002062	-12.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002103	-13.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.001978	-12.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001806	-11.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001893	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001604	-12.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001595	-12.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001604	-13.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001835	-12.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002088	-13.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002058	-13.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002437	-15.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.001996	-14.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001315	-23.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001151	-31.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.000990577	-41.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002006	-16.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002708	-12.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003196	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003208	-12.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003977	-12.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.00428	-13.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003883	-13.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003939	-14.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004134	-14.62%	0.003037	-37.29%	0.2854	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004539	-15.13%	0.002985	-44.18%	0.3888	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003646	-18.35%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.7277	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003275	-23.27%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.5301	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004579	-18.28%	0.001786	-68.12%	0.9553	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.004375	-20.58%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.8007	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.002492	-42.64%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.1216	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.004304	-27.33%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.6574	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.006869	-19.64%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.1572	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.003555	-43.45%	0.002043	-67.50%	0.6327	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.005689	-32.31%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.0273	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.002135	-66.45%	0.001829	-71.24%	0.2347	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.003819	-54.82%	0.001829	-78.36%	0.8162	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.005663	-45.99%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.1725	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.015438	-13.54%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.0331	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.015517	-13.82%	0.002412	-86.60%	1.9130	✓	1.00