MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

70.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0799

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0137

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.044756	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044768	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042308	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042988	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042806	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044153	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045555	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044317	-2.58%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0011	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044503	-2.64%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0133	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043305	-2.49%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0043	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042641	-2.33%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0307	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045435	-2.77%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0045	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042033	-2.32%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1023	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040592	-2.12%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1621	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040198	-1.99%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1158	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043312	-2.33%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0841	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045081	-2.51%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0272	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048533	-3.01%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0358	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.04775	-2.86%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0270	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048391	-3.17%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0851	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045018	-2.81%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0475	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048269	-3.72%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1074	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040819	-2.28%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0876	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041038	-2.24%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0867	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.04127	-2.21%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1538	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042864	-2.36%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1025	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043721	-2.47%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1281	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.04525	-2.74%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0163	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.0438	-2.47%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1271	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042628	-2.30%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0060	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045343	-2.58%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0326	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044199	-2.38%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0100	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041831	-2.70%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0142	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041278	-2.61%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0224	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039896	-2.41%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0940	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034727	-1.60%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1168	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034068	-1.31%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1056	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033706	-1.10%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1549	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035292	-1.17%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1195	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035116	-1.00%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1316	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036734	-0.92%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0797	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037378	-0.66%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0313	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036738	-0.35%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0369	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03861	-0.09%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0747	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042009	-0.32%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1581	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040315	+0.36%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1048	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039955	+0.95%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0536	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040612	+1.15%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0438	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039226	+1.65%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0049	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.04091	+2.10%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0151	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.03735	+1.80%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0155	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.03822	+2.08%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0777	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038899	+2.53%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0226	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.03762	+2.52%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0040	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.0394	+2.58%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0087	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038347	+2.50%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0254	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040049	+2.35%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0162	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040345	+2.11%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0647	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039586	+1.76%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0357	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040755	+1.41%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0643	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043275	+0.97%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1638	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040438	+0.49%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0729	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042583	+0.24%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1208	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037133	-1.79%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0744	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033965	-2.65%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0241	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031326	-2.26%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0431	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03148	-2.23%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0275	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030954	-1.89%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0392	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030677	-1.77%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0002	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030644	-1.62%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0318	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032045	-1.87%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0267	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032582	-1.92%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0533	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032512	-1.89%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0389	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035379	-2.80%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1063	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035002	-2.72%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0594	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035154	-2.80%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0766	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.03442	-2.44%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0576	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034683	-2.44%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0415	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03514	-2.58%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0297	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034957	-2.46%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0418	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035752	-2.56%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0080	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035608	-2.47%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0198	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035648	-2.33%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0339	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035728	-2.22%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0590	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036163	-2.26%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0070	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03569	-1.94%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0045	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038561	-2.55%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0775	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038714	-2.53%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0488	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041774	-3.41%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.0963	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041199	-3.12%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.0888	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042067	-3.27%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1143	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041866	-3.01%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1167	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042388	-2.98%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1062	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042144	-2.81%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0066	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041676	-2.58%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0156	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042852	-2.72%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0048	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043363	-2.51%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0088	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042375	-2.14%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0219	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044996	-2.39%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0690	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046782	-2.59%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.0972	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047743	-2.64%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1283	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046049	-2.56%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1381	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044941	-2.50%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0413	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045564	-2.39%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0472	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046361	-2.25%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0630	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046965	-2.07%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0323	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046424	-1.91%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0232	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049191	-2.24%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0407	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048322	-2.20%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0181	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050137	-2.31%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0877	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051183	-2.36%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1082	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049869	-2.28%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0875	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048529	-2.10%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0513	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044482	-1.46%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0112	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044757	-1.05%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0076	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047301	-1.64%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0419	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045156	-1.17%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0381	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046617	-1.34%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0485	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046168	-1.16%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0451	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046067	-0.95%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0341	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.04997	-1.42%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0797	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.05445	-1.91%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1003	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054703	-2.01%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0504	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055384	-1.94%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1132	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053683	-1.86%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0354	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055988	-1.85%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1043	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060783	-2.23%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1938	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056031	-1.89%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0131	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056322	-2.03%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0600	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058789	-2.47%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0055	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060927	-3.09%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0134	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060771	-3.09%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1000	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046623	-0.06%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2030	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046257	+0.36%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3101	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043267	+1.76%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2211	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047877	+1.41%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1094	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050599	+1.00%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1163	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04923	+1.55%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2006	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045864	+2.83%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2577	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047489	+2.99%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0566	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051725	+2.28%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1119	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055349	+1.95%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2263	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055504	+1.73%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0762	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059255	+0.21%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0035	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060754	-0.35%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0074	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062769	-0.46%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0433	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061767	+0.23%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1083	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063507	+0.17%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0862	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067171	-0.53%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0641	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067383	-0.47%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0822	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072822	-1.48%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1283	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076101	-1.65%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.078886	-1.58%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1856	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079438	-1.10%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2260	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085217	-2.05%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2423	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080659	-1.16%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1360	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080456	-0.82%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1603	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085044	-1.11%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1442	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088658	-1.43%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1305	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091408	-1.43%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1126	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098394	-1.86%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1562	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103381	-1.90%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101472	-1.84%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1948	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107701	-1.88%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2361	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116249	-1.96%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2411	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124265	-2.09%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2632	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122506	-2.39%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2463	✓	1.00