MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

74.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1621

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0595

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.042321	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.042821	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.040508	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041226	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041168	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042329	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043608	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042514	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042546	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.041565	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041049	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043658	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040303	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.038929	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038514	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041457	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043195	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046397	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.045884	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046575	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043635	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.046261	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.039143	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039443	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.039735	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041203	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042026	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043508	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04226	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041264	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.043876	-5.73%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0844	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.042833	-5.39%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1169	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.0401	-6.72%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0441	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.039642	-6.47%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0939	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.038307	-6.29%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.1135	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033188	-5.96%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.2213	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.032619	-5.51%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2679	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032265	-5.33%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2375	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.033859	-5.18%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2463	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.03367	-5.08%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1759	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.03537	-4.60%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1393	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036178	-3.84%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1548	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035565	-3.53%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0820	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.037351	-3.35%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0333	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.040506	-3.89%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0432	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.03869	-3.68%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0636	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.038291	-3.26%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0975	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.038932	-3.03%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1476	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.037643	-2.46%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1449	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.039302	-1.92%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1780	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.035557	-3.09%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1324	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036437	-2.68%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1820	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037137	-2.12%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0297	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.035957	-2.01%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0525	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.037811	-1.56%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0219	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037111	-0.80%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0569	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039484	+0.91%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0582	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.04012	+1.55%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0625	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039825	+2.38%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0204	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041488	+3.23%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0401	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044168	+3.05%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0949	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.041394	+2.87%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0748	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043902	+3.35%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0706	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036722	-2.88%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0008	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.032824	-5.92%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0133	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030128	-6.00%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0639	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030258	-6.03%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0910	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029634	-6.07%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1088	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029276	-6.26%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0923	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029255	-6.08%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0756	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.030609	-6.26%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0777	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031051	-6.53%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0778	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.030886	-6.80%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0779	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033361	-8.35%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1313	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033059	-8.12%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0255	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033201	-8.20%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0890	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032723	-7.25%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1103	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.032953	-7.31%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1103	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033333	-7.59%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1520	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033171	-7.45%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1505	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033909	-7.58%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2036	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.03374	-7.59%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1800	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033755	-7.52%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2058	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.033861	-7.33%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2237	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034382	-7.08%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1614	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.033931	-6.77%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1724	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.036436	-7.92%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2434	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.036376	-8.42%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2137	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.03896	-9.92%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2486	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.038528	-9.40%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2332	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.039292	-9.65%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.1721	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.039242	-9.09%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2052	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.039789	-8.93%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.1675	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.039664	-8.52%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.1761	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.039292	-8.15%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2025	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.040317	-8.47%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2295	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.041008	-7.81%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2350	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.040125	-7.33%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2175	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.042537	-7.73%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.2926	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.044163	-8.04%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3115	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.045082	-8.07%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.2889	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.043006	-9.00%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.2836	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.041947	-9.00%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2309	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.042763	-8.39%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.1643	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.043849	-7.55%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2140	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04467	-6.86%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2509	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.044246	-6.52%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.2875	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.046941	-6.72%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.2994	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.046251	-6.39%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2623	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.048099	-6.28%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3050	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.049203	-6.14%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3024	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.047916	-6.10%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.2947	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.046607	-5.98%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.2745	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.042633	-5.55%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2179	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.042815	-5.34%	0.037	-18.20%	0.2860	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.045155	-6.10%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.2989	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.043004	-5.88%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.1786	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.044401	-6.03%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.1931	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.044005	-5.79%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1314	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.043909	-5.59%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1308	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.047853	-5.60%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1600	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.052242	-5.89%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2381	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.052594	-5.79%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2277	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.053357	-5.53%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2728	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.051898	-5.12%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2136	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.054348	-4.72%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2358	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.058949	-5.18%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3244	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05455	-4.48%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2174	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055093	-4.17%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1323	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057576	-4.49%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1432	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059461	-5.42%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1748	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.058871	-6.12%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1635	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.044838	-3.89%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0234	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.044337	-3.80%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0471	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.040943	-3.71%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0965	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.045579	-3.46%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0225	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.048269	-3.65%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0041	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.046451	-4.19%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0796	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.042566	-4.56%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.1004	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044032	-4.51%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.1137	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048213	-4.66%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0939	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05154	-5.06%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0118	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.051775	-5.11%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0457	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.055825	-5.59%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0193	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.057293	-6.03%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1183	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059111	-6.26%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1098	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.057931	-5.99%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059372	-6.35%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.062623	-7.27%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0792	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.063073	-6.83%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0656	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.068181	-7.76%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.071321	-7.83%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.074209	-7.41%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1035	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.074678	-7.02%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079853	-8.22%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1898	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.075173	-7.88%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074657	-7.97%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.078986	-8.16%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.082211	-8.59%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1924	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.085088	-8.24%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1805	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.091796	-8.44%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.1935	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.096751	-8.19%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2038	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.09469	-8.40%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4865	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.100876	-8.10%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5473	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.109109	-7.98%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6572	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.116618	-8.12%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6172	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.114469	-8.80%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.5802	✓	1.00