MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s1

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

63.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0328

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0029

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045927	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045806	-0.40%	0.04613	+0.30%	0.0034	✓	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043197	-0.37%	0.04599	+6.08%	0.0426	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043882	-0.38%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0327	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043662	-0.39%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0120	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045099	-0.41%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0402	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046617	-0.47%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0268	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045287	-0.45%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0454	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.04551	-0.44%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0110	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044218	-0.43%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0630	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043461	-0.46%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046467	-0.56%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0259	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042862	-0.39%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0726	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041326	-0.35%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0338	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040885	-0.32%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0013	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044173	-0.39%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0462	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.046018	-0.48%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0021	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049693	-0.69%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0684	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048849	-0.62%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0369	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049581	-0.79%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0391	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046013	-0.66%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0785	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049692	-0.88%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0643	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041633	-0.33%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1641	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041843	-0.33%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0003	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042064	-0.33%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0051	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043751	-0.34%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0187	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044667	-0.36%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0181	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046325	-0.43%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0384	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044735	-0.39%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0443	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.04346	-0.39%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0327	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046328	-0.47%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0285	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045077	-0.44%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0390	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042808	-0.42%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0456	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042201	-0.43%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0200	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040706	-0.43%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0336	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.03517	-0.34%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0697	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.03441	-0.32%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0216	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033978	-0.30%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0064	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035598	-0.31%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035361	-0.31%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0129	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036958	-0.32%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0335	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037505	-0.32%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0124	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036748	-0.32%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0117	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038528	-0.30%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0137	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042002	-0.34%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0804	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040067	-0.26%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0621	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039504	-0.19%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0395	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040075	-0.19%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0216	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038538	-0.13%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0381	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040037	-0.08%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0075	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.03665	-0.11%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0152	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037415	-0.07%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0178	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03795	+0.03%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0078	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036711	+0.04%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0171	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038443	+0.09%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0366	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.03745	+0.11%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0184	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.03918	+0.13%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0041	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039542	+0.08%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0321	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038908	+0.02%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0066	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.04016	-0.07%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0240	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042767	-0.22%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0849	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040123	-0.29%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0537	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042306	-0.41%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0272	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037647	-0.43%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0269	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034729	-0.46%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0154	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031907	-0.45%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0029	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03205	-0.47%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0042	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031426	-0.39%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0103	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031121	-0.35%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0176	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031051	-0.32%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0048	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032524	-0.40%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0334	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033082	-0.42%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0133	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.03301	-0.39%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0089	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036193	-0.57%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0799	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035779	-0.56%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0377	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035957	-0.57%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0019	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035097	-0.52%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0296	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035365	-0.52%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0161	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035871	-0.55%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0016	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035656	-0.51%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0007	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036488	-0.55%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0310	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036323	-0.51%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0108	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036334	-0.45%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036385	-0.43%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0046	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036816	-0.50%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0352	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03626	-0.37%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0026	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.03938	-0.48%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0799	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039551	-0.43%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0028	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043095	-0.36%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0472	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042378	-0.35%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0012	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043342	-0.34%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0235	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043024	-0.33%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0312	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043549	-0.32%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0128	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043223	-0.32%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0197	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042653	-0.30%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0108	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043916	-0.30%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0375	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044351	-0.29%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0044	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043182	-0.27%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0104	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045963	-0.30%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0624	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.04787	-0.32%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0174	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048873	-0.34%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0117	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.0471	-0.34%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0193	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045939	-0.34%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0623	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046527	-0.33%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0086	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047283	-0.31%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0048	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04782	-0.29%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0302	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047198	-0.28%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0058	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050171	-0.30%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0332	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049266	-0.29%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0368	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051161	-0.31%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0445	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052246	-0.33%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0296	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050858	-0.34%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0170	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049402	-0.34%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0081	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045015	-0.28%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0622	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045125	-0.23%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0334	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047951	-0.29%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0202	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045596	-0.20%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0378	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047144	-0.22%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0210	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046626	-0.18%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0148	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046449	-0.13%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0011	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050582	-0.21%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0564	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055361	-0.27%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0545	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055673	-0.27%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0236	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056324	-0.28%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0234	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054551	-0.27%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0554	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056858	-0.32%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0547	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061916	-0.41%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0955	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056899	-0.37%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1274	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05722	-0.47%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0270	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059899	-0.63%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0250	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062372	-0.79%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0482	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.062282	-0.68%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0229	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.04662	-0.06%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2778	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046106	+0.03%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0123	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042675	+0.36%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0369	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047322	+0.24%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1024	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050164	+0.13%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0346	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048623	+0.30%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0344	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044853	+0.57%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0397	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046381	+0.59%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0363	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050808	+0.47%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0570	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054513	+0.41%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0718	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054771	+0.39%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0354	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059205	+0.13%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0086	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060986	+0.03%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0175	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063067	+0.01%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0297	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061701	+0.12%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063477	+0.12%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.06755	+0.03%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0525	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067719	+0.03%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073792	-0.17%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077205	-0.23%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079955	-0.24%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0370	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080221	-0.12%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086645	-0.41%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081529	-0.09%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081114	-0.01%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085939	-0.07%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089799	-0.16%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092529	-0.22%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099828	-0.43%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104844	-0.51%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.102916	-0.44%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109219	-0.50%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.117922	-0.55%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126173	-0.59%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124758	-0.60%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0018	✓	1.00