HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s1

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2656

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0240

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006777	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006926	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006925	+0.20%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007472	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008376	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008791	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008546	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008936	-1.08%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3212	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008764	-0.95%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2273	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008691	-0.39%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2332	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.00902	-1.13%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1162	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010818	-1.56%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1807	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009865	-1.41%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0583	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008492	+0.05%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0041	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010686	-1.56%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0969	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011926	-1.90%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1991	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011676	-1.84%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1261	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013426	-2.48%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2729	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.01431	-3.29%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1882	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012757	-2.59%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1611	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014391	-3.46%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3970	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011554	-2.21%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0510	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012458	-2.79%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1002	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010568	-1.95%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0264	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.01141	-2.21%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1066	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013816	-3.43%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0556	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013111	-3.27%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0176	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009764	-1.89%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4039	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008869	-1.50%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3214	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00929	-1.85%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4307	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012127	-2.39%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0118	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010621	-2.29%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0514	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011499	-2.73%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0788	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.01545	-4.77%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2716	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01166	-2.77%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4853	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012539	-3.49%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6660	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011203	-1.86%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5951	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009585	-1.03%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1424	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007869	-1.68%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.1124	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.009962	-0.84%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0150	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011905	-1.28%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1393	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010305	-1.07%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1540	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009239	-3.76%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3687	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.01176	-2.21%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012435	-2.79%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2382	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015336	-2.17%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6053	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022108	-3.34%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7560	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017918	-2.47%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3645	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023615	-3.79%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7586	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018532	-3.17%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6703	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020243	-3.67%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5342	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024059	-4.76%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6384	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025472	-5.64%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5193	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021255	-4.11%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014036	-1.73%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2459	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.01643	-1.39%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3892	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021876	-4.26%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019147	-2.86%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1075	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018464	-2.39%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3188	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015847	-1.88%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5335	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013503	-1.58%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4805	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013154	-1.31%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0886	✗	1.00