HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s1
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4083
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0794
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006408 | -5.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006565 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006514 | -5.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007099 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008143 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008593 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008264 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008695 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008462 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008286 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008721 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010672 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009638 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007859 | -7.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010448 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011665 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011435 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013071 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013778 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012388 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.013864 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.01128 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012089 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010327 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011159 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013343 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012688 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009474 | -4.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008379 | -6.94% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008921 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011851 | -4.61% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.3949 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010216 | -6.01% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4664 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011049 | -6.54% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4961 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.01471 | -9.33% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7269 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.01109 | -7.52% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4807 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011888 | -8.50% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5119 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010539 | -7.68% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4707 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008868 | -8.45% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1482 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007076 | -11.59% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009133 | -9.09% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2551 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011024 | -8.58% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4845 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009308 | -10.64% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.007997 | -16.70% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.1712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.010502 | -12.67% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.0111 | -13.23% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.0739 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.01448 | -7.63% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021164 | -7.47% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017194 | -6.41% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022583 | -8.00% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017638 | -7.84% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019257 | -8.36% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022906 | -9.33% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.02424 | -10.20% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.02036 | -8.15% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.01365 | -4.43% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016289 | -2.23% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.02102 | -8.01% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.01871 | -5.08% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018243 | -3.56% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015781 | -2.29% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013489 | -1.68% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013252 | -0.58% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2337 | ✓ | 1.00 |