HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s1

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

50.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1392

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006799	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006945	+0.15%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0127	✗	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006926	+0.22%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0435	✗	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007488	+0.15%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0733	✗	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008443	-0.06%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1473	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008879	-0.15%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0449	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008614	-0.04%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0577	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.009024	-0.11%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0692	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008843	-0.06%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0862	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008733	+0.09%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0443	✗	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009115	-0.10%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0392	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010958	-0.29%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2161	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009986	-0.20%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0799	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008508	+0.23%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1255	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01083	-0.23%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1779	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012116	-0.34%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0177	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011858	-0.32%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0334	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013699	-0.50%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1112	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014691	-0.71%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1365	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.013028	-0.52%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1175	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014789	-0.79%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.1075	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011765	-0.43%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1849	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012741	-0.59%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0722	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010741	-0.34%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1693	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011617	-0.43%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0344	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014191	-0.81%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1975	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.01345	-0.77%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0489	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009922	-0.31%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3240	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008994	-0.11%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1010	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009443	-0.23%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0295	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012362	-0.50%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2509	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01083	-0.36%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0991	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011762	-0.50%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0756	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.016026	-1.22%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3203	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011933	-0.50%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1190	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012898	-0.72%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0815	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011389	-0.24%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1077	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009686	+0.00%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2967	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007999	-0.06%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1236	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010053	+0.06%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2057	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012053	-0.06%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1846	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010422	+0.05%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1372	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009563	-0.38%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012009	-0.14%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2219	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012761	-0.24%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015634	-0.27%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1850	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022716	-0.69%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3772	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018298	-0.40%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2212	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024339	-0.84%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2615	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019032	-0.56%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2045	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.02086	-0.73%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0850	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024959	-1.20%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.02657	-1.57%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021946	-1.00%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2143	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014245	-0.27%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4372	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016613	-0.29%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1203	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.0226	-1.09%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3206	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019574	-0.69%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1484	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018798	-0.62%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016071	-0.49%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1470	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013664	-0.40%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1584	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013277	-0.39%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0491	✗	1.00