DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1587

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0384

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.377352	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.378439	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.375398	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.375551	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.360355	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.380483	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.366201	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.389206	-5.36%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0036	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.394879	-5.16%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0231	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.427565	-5.16%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0671	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.418568	-5.04%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0500	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.469	-5.51%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1739	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.502551	-6.70%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.1908	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.477244	-7.47%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.1886	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.408648	-6.43%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0018	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.352541	-5.62%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.2011	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.382782	-6.09%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.2109	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.386745	-6.15%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.2087	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.390773	-6.28%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2934	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.361836	-5.90%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4331	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.373131	-5.88%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3617	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.371649	-5.95%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2223	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.366409	-6.01%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0247	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.359494	-5.81%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0897	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.349034	-5.54%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1244	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.40766	-6.34%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0106	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.388645	-5.89%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0160	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.417708	-5.97%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0588	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.425481	-6.21%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0812	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.45143	-7.12%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1338	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.406825	-6.76%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0218	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.375984	-7.00%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0351	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.359844	-8.09%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1286	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.395123	-11.51%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0140	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.274	-7.18%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4236	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.237586	-6.86%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5019	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.226309	-7.47%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6161	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.138101	+0.77%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9718	✓	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.143459	+1.75%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.8951	✓	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.145288	+1.20%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9139	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.151037	+0.74%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0142	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.150342	+1.24%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6108	✓	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.149143	+0.97%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5401	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.156278	+1.42%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.4855	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.16214	-1.09%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1176	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.159985	+1.58%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.1103	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.166792	+1.00%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0872	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.169213	-1.76%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0758	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.154104	+2.98%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0089	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.163012	+2.81%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0129	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.146962	+2.26%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0284	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.146004	+2.22%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.0954	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.156076	+1.51%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0006	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155761	-0.36%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0157	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.166041	-3.41%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0148	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.163139	-3.72%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1116	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.170664	-3.30%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0866	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.162151	-2.85%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0975	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.148018	-0.01%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0205	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.158735	-3.10%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0264	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.131237	+0.11%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1757	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.113332	-0.01%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4026	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118579	-0.25%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3626	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096184	-2.33%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5444	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.095774	-2.95%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4603	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.090789	-2.87%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3490	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.092682	-3.22%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4221	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.098412	-4.93%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1095	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.090434	-2.73%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0575	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090355	-2.57%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0917	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.092589	-2.52%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0556	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.095977	-2.70%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0464	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09511	-2.59%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0323	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091145	-2.38%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0420	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094292	-2.86%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1194	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.094587	-2.85%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0073	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094254	-2.72%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0087	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095035	-2.83%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0105	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.097921	-2.93%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0228	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.098776	-2.85%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0048	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094737	-2.49%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0204	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097113	-2.60%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0179	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.102689	-2.90%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0826	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.111677	-4.29%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1705	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092785	-1.89%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0607	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.094919	-1.82%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0481	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.100812	-2.28%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0048	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103269	-2.42%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0568	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.11099	-3.13%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0752	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.110033	-3.20%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0123	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.111246	-3.25%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0704	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.114763	-3.65%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1878	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.116971	-3.80%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1528	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.115537	-3.67%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0674	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.118725	-4.03%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0871	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.118212	-3.95%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0433	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.121121	-3.95%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0542	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.124619	-4.08%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0842	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.129441	-4.32%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1079	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.138333	-5.15%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1543	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.145655	-6.15%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2222	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.111958	-4.22%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0675	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.117665	-4.59%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0354	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.118018	-4.84%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0559	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.112034	-4.83%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1506	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.108914	-4.77%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.2107	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.104058	-4.58%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.3133	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.10538	-4.67%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3712	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.108034	-4.94%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0954	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.106553	-5.02%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1447	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.102378	-4.91%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1854	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.104251	-5.49%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.1059	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.105259	-6.11%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0651	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.100168	-6.66%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0613	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.104024	-8.44%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.09807	-7.20%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0909	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.094586	-6.97%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.1107	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.084266	-3.50%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1987	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.080825	-2.57%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2699	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081122	-2.31%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2941	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.080999	-2.15%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2983	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084049	-2.45%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3694	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085053	-2.55%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2782	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088124	-2.94%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.2043	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.094599	-3.99%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.091679	-3.63%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.090644	-3.64%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.094052	-3.95%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0725	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.096287	-4.12%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0648	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.097378	-4.53%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.095996	-4.83%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.09541	-5.32%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.096548	-5.50%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.098527	-5.57%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.093356	-5.32%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.098866	-5.90%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.104046	-6.59%	0.102	-8.43%	0.0696	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.097345	-6.08%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.086766	-5.20%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0925	✗	1.00