DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0122

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.38224	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.394691	-1.02%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0179	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.394737	-1.02%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0091	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.378062	-1.00%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0564	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.398809	-1.04%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0542	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.383201	-1.03%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0525	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.40672	-1.11%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0386	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.411635	-1.14%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0104	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.444755	-1.35%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0401	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.434663	-1.39%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0135	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.487239	-1.83%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0635	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.525557	-2.42%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0720	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.501954	-2.68%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0634	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.428123	-1.97%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1700	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.368616	-1.32%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.2017	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.400798	-1.67%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0266	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.404623	-1.81%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0113	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.408987	-1.91%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0219	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.377598	-1.80%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0659	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.388766	-1.94%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0155	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.38733	-1.99%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0298	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.382521	-1.87%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0081	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.3745	-1.88%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0417	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.362765	-1.83%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0475	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.426873	-1.92%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1277	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.40531	-1.85%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0705	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.435429	-1.99%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0581	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.443297	-2.28%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0068	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.473508	-2.58%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0430	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.425367	-2.51%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1631	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.393328	-2.71%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1102	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.379533	-3.06%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0369	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.43005	-3.69%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0925	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.285688	-3.22%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4398	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.246886	-3.22%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0953	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.236765	-3.19%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0707	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136231	-0.60%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5751	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140217	-0.54%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0236	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.142601	-0.67%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0363	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.148673	-0.83%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0266	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.14727	-0.83%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0169	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.14648	-0.83%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0018	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.152753	-0.87%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0029	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.162069	-1.14%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0476	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.156154	-0.85%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0599	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.163307	-1.11%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0144	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.168957	-1.91%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0316	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.148906	-0.49%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1427	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.157499	-0.67%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0230	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143086	-0.43%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0273	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142314	-0.37%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0115	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.15261	-0.74%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0474	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154529	-1.15%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0195	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.16848	-1.99%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0670	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.165649	-2.24%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0316	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.172081	-2.50%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0175	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.163059	-2.31%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0626	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146055	-1.34%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1269	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159766	-2.47%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0703	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.12984	-0.95%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2173	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112624	-0.63%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1438	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117949	-0.78%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0250	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09803	-0.45%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1465	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098109	-0.59%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0341	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092878	-0.64%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0109	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.094951	-0.85%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0180	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.101973	-1.48%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0843	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.09244	-0.58%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1155	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092253	-0.52%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0072	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094438	-0.57%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0122	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.097948	-0.70%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0310	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096955	-0.70%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0188	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092837	-0.57%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0554	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096424	-0.67%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096728	-0.65%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0043	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096273	-0.63%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0110	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097151	-0.67%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0108	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100137	-0.73%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0192	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.100854	-0.80%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096557	-0.62%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0440	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099018	-0.68%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0185	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.104738	-0.96%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0594	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.114932	-1.50%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0824	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094312	-0.28%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2466	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096427	-0.26%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0343	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102728	-0.42%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0616	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105359	-0.45%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0239	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.113807	-0.67%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0440	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.112963	-0.63%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0042	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114256	-0.63%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0089	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118243	-0.73%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0111	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120661	-0.77%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0048	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119086	-0.71%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0281	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.122652	-0.86%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0458	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.121957	-0.90%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0046	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.124807	-1.03%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0119	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.128376	-1.19%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0352	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.133237	-1.51%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0276	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.142538	-2.27%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0344	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.151206	-2.57%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0310	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.115674	-1.04%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2640	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.121859	-1.19%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0264	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.122513	-1.22%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0070	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116413	-1.11%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0670	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113325	-0.91%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0283	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108152	-0.82%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0466	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109542	-0.90%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0061	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112577	-0.94%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0119	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.11111	-0.95%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0187	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106622	-0.97%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0462	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109013	-1.18%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0179	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110612	-1.33%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0138	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105682	-1.53%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0431	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.111625	-1.75%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0588	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.10444	-1.17%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1094	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.100518	-1.13%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0398	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086759	-0.64%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1656	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082514	-0.54%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082629	-0.50%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082381	-0.48%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085707	-0.53%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086808	-0.54%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090254	-0.60%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097804	-0.74%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0589	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094468	-0.70%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0304	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093414	-0.70%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0088	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097171	-0.76%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099608	-0.82%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101163	-0.82%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.10001	-0.85%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.099853	-0.91%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101187	-0.96%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.103256	-1.04%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.097625	-0.99%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0327	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.103869	-1.13%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.109883	-1.35%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102448	-1.16%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090629	-0.98%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0947	✗	1.00