DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

33.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4565

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0889

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.337336	-16.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.340464	-15.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.337498	-15.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.337346	-15.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.323657	-15.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.343157	-14.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.329987	-14.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.35272	-14.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.35956	-13.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.392289	-12.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.384449	-12.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.433077	-12.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.463194	-14.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.437198	-15.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.371657	-14.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.317753	-14.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.345198	-15.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.34946	-15.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.353352	-15.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.327706	-14.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.339747	-14.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.338405	-14.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.332087	-14.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.326669	-14.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.317707	-14.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.369832	-15.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.354606	-14.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.384068	-13.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.394705	-12.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.418279	-13.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.378109	-13.34%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0926	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.351213	-13.13%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1782	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.336241	-14.12%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1370	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.361697	-18.99%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0865	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.259021	-12.25%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3669	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.224665	-11.93%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4920	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.210749	-13.83%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5101	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.131063	-4.37%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0308	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.135988	-3.54%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0605	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.138201	-3.73%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0719	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.144651	-3.51%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0358	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.144548	-2.66%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1228	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.143457	-2.88%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2137	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.149578	-2.93%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1659	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.155924	-4.88%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9749	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.153539	-2.51%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8176	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.162099	-1.84%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8347	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.165798	-3.74%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8115	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149547	-0.06%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9053	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158163	-0.25%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8285	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143264	-0.31%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.8834	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.143634	+0.56%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8731	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154335	+0.38%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8492	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154631	-1.08%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8100	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.161159	-6.25%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7598	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.158877	-6.23%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9194	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.16786	-4.89%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8465	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.160468	-3.86%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9526	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.151789	+2.53%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0198	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.157505	-3.85%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0591	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.135926	+3.69%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0681	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.117891	+4.02%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1248	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.123655	+4.02%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1203	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.094408	-4.13%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4834	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.092605	-6.17%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0473	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.087348	-6.55%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9520	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.089228	-6.83%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8874	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.092941	-10.21%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2345	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.084664	-8.94%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3296	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.084978	-8.37%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3582	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.087615	-7.75%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3728	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.090863	-7.88%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3266	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.090012	-7.81%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3395	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.085831	-8.07%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.4141	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.088202	-9.14%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4621	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.088862	-8.73%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.4086	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.089133	-8.00%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4397	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.089875	-8.11%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4687	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.093115	-7.69%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2994	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094493	-7.06%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3171	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.09045	-6.91%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2996	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.092722	-7.00%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2678	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.098397	-6.96%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2508	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.10545	-9.63%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2077	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.087921	-7.04%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4551	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.089836	-7.08%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4052	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.094397	-8.49%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3577	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.096604	-8.72%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2929	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.103292	-9.85%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1538	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.102398	-9.92%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2362	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.103936	-9.60%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0117	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.106944	-10.22%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1327	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.109299	-10.11%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1061	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.108565	-9.48%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2020	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.111071	-10.22%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.1901	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.111158	-9.68%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1733	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.114602	-9.12%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1737	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.11808	-9.12%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1111	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.123427	-8.76%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2685	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.13249	-9.16%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3237	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.137806	-11.21%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3429	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.105492	-9.75%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0799	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.110794	-10.16%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1243	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.110745	-10.70%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1721	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.105265	-10.58%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.0884	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.10145	-11.30%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0587	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.097157	-10.91%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0288	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.098942	-10.49%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0206	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.100954	-11.17%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0064	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.099521	-11.28%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0170	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.096265	-10.59%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0057	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.09746	-11.65%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0132	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.097659	-12.89%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0660	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.092979	-13.36%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1975	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.093582	-17.63%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.0703	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.088624	-16.14%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0320	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.085295	-16.11%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.1266	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.077749	-10.96%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2533	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.075433	-9.07%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.3328	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.075946	-8.54%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3292	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.076089	-8.08%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3633	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.078809	-8.53%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3754	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.07965	-8.74%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3902	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.082066	-9.61%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.3289	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.087113	-11.59%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.3355	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.084886	-10.77%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3526	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.083923	-10.79%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3771	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.087364	-10.78%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.4055	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.089799	-10.59%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4383	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.089913	-11.85%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.5075	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.088125	-12.63%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5769	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.086805	-13.86%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.3318	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.087983	-13.89%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.3345	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.090159	-13.59%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.3156	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.085513	-13.27%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2769	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.090211	-14.13%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.2134	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.094633	-15.04%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1550	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.08841	-14.70%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.2231	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.07953	-13.11%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.3065	✗	1.00