DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

138

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0531

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.397173	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.397809	-1.07%	0.40159	-0.13%	0.0062	✓	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.394524	-1.06%	0.402115	+0.85%	0.0005	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.394636	-1.05%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0088	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.378089	-0.99%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0563	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.399001	-1.00%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0547	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.38356	-0.94%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0515	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.407367	-0.95%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0402	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.412576	-0.91%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0126	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.446548	-0.95%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0441	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.436718	-0.93%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0087	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.49083	-1.11%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0708	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.530468	-1.51%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0813	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.50678	-1.74%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0538	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.430999	-1.32%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1633	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.369819	-1.00%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1984	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.402983	-1.13%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0320	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.407309	-1.16%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0047	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.41195	-1.20%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0147	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.38033	-1.09%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0587	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.392028	-1.11%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0238	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.39069	-1.14%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0211	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.385462	-1.12%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0004	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.377579	-1.08%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0335	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.365812	-1.00%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0391	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.429825	-1.24%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1346	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.408231	-1.14%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0633	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.438691	-1.25%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0656	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.447155	-1.43%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0019	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.477399	-1.78%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0512	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.429027	-1.67%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1545	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.396929	-1.82%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1011	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.382588	-2.28%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0450	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.430715	-3.54%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0940	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.28933	-1.99%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4271	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.250371	-1.85%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0813	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.239883	-1.92%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0576	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.137193	+0.10%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5681	✓	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.141288	+0.21%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0160	✓	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143755	+0.14%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0443	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.149984	+0.04%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0354	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148635	+0.09%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0076	✓	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147789	+0.06%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0071	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.154265	+0.11%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0128	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163492	-0.27%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0563	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.15765	+0.09%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0504	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.165062	-0.05%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0251	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171306	-0.54%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0454	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149907	+0.18%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1360	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158774	+0.14%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0310	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143868	+0.11%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0219	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.14293	+0.06%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0072	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153667	-0.06%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0543	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155835	-0.31%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0279	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.170439	-0.85%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0786	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16778	-0.98%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0188	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.174782	-0.97%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165431	-0.89%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0481	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147298	-0.50%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1184	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.162188	-0.99%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0853	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130446	-0.49%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2126	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112772	-0.50%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1425	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118191	-0.58%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0271	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09796	-0.52%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1472	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098095	-0.60%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0340	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092941	-0.57%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0102	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095097	-0.70%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0195	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.102332	-1.14%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0878	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.09257	-0.44%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1141	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092358	-0.41%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0061	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094586	-0.41%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0138	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.09818	-0.47%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0333	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.097199	-0.45%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0163	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.093008	-0.38%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0536	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096607	-0.48%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0221	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096891	-0.48%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0026	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096439	-0.46%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0093	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097328	-0.49%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0127	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100345	-0.53%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0213	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101134	-0.53%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0098	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096739	-0.43%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0421	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099234	-0.47%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0207	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105144	-0.58%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0633	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.115605	-0.93%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0882	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094313	-0.28%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2466	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096426	-0.26%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0343	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102814	-0.34%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0624	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105446	-0.37%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0247	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.113982	-0.52%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0455	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113073	-0.53%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0051	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114359	-0.54%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0098	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118365	-0.63%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0121	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120778	-0.67%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0038	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.11916	-0.65%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0275	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.122812	-0.73%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0471	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122174	-0.73%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0028	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.125136	-0.76%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0145	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.128854	-0.82%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0389	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.133989	-0.96%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0332	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.143954	-1.30%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0443	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.152796	-1.55%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0415	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.115937	-0.82%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2617	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122176	-0.94%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0290	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.12279	-0.99%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0047	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116549	-1.00%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0658	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113329	-0.91%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0283	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108107	-0.86%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0470	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109518	-0.92%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0063	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112537	-0.98%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0115	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111057	-1.00%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0191	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106576	-1.02%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0467	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109013	-1.18%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0179	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110604	-1.34%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0137	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105652	-1.55%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0434	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.111416	-1.93%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0570	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104076	-1.52%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1129	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.100206	-1.44%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0429	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.08683	-0.56%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1648	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082643	-0.38%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0562	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082763	-0.33%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082522	-0.31%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085843	-0.37%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086937	-0.39%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090373	-0.47%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.09786	-0.68%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.09455	-0.61%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0296	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093493	-0.61%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0079	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097232	-0.70%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099662	-0.76%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101155	-0.83%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.099979	-0.88%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.099789	-0.97%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101126	-1.02%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.103237	-1.06%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.097623	-0.99%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0327	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.103854	-1.15%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.109879	-1.36%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102427	-1.18%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0877	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090638	-0.97%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0946	✗	1.00