CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
32.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2565
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0303
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.06512 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067058 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065345 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068737 | -2.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.07197 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070805 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.076211 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071693 | -2.79% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0654 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085296 | -3.35% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2173 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.093302 | -3.87% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3320 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.089212 | -3.41% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2531 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088935 | -3.75% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2018 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083703 | -3.38% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1520 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.071159 | -2.71% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1028 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069478 | -2.53% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0402 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.084456 | -4.00% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.072208 | -2.34% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2400 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064463 | -1.25% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3225 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.067462 | -2.28% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2905 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071392 | -3.56% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1677 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067766 | -2.98% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0355 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.067338 | -2.84% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0531 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058839 | -1.67% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4274 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055721 | -1.22% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3154 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053077 | -0.97% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2359 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050989 | -1.14% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3076 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051418 | -1.36% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3702 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049152 | -1.60% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3577 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051934 | -2.21% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2772 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045802 | -2.15% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2342 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044889 | -2.14% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1879 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043548 | -2.67% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2577 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.046199 | -3.29% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1589 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.054255 | -2.79% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0093 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053161 | -3.32% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0779 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057835 | -3.64% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0586 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055005 | -4.04% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0237 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.06162 | -4.34% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1278 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.045932 | -2.41% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0733 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044033 | -1.86% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1714 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.043771 | -1.60% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3263 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.044756 | -1.56% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.2014 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046482 | -2.04% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.2035 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.045944 | -1.80% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1513 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.045832 | -1.69% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3183 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042419 | -1.25% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0200 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044132 | -1.28% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0443 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0636 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047994 | -1.61% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1726 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070442 | -3.10% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3778 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068484 | -2.94% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3625 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066436 | -2.85% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3449 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066061 | -3.08% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3835 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066839 | -3.43% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3738 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067343 | -3.70% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3650 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063698 | -3.55% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2495 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067797 | -3.99% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0394 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066659 | -4.00% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066001 | -4.10% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0281 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066495 | -4.14% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0236 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.067205 | -4.13% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0505 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064197 | -4.29% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0769 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061975 | -4.29% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2350 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064966 | -4.18% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3326 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.066194 | -4.03% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5309 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.067685 | -4.18% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5208 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.064392 | -4.08% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6529 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.059449 | -4.30% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7077 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6661 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.054344 | -4.23% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5435 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.052828 | -4.46% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4817 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.052056 | -4.97% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3284 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.04393 | -4.78% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.4971 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037725 | -4.22% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5029 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03527 | -4.45% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4976 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034287 | -4.67% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5752 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029445 | -4.43% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6236 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026847 | -3.53% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6780 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024518 | -3.35% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7837 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.02651 | -3.94% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5710 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028196 | -4.53% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3855 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.0261 | -4.33% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4324 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.03659 | -6.72% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0684 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032118 | -6.98% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0592 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025068 | -3.83% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1365 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025938 | -4.98% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0129 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023364 | -2.98% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1560 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022068 | -2.06% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2070 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020572 | -1.98% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3064 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025465 | -5.96% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022941 | -2.74% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.02081 | -1.73% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019704 | -1.47% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020627 | -1.92% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018168 | -1.73% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018571 | -1.68% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1301 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018351 | -1.70% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3862 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018112 | -1.65% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018068 | -1.55% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016233 | -1.33% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1853 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018789 | -1.67% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.01675 | -1.51% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0840 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015692 | -1.58% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1694 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019292 | -1.65% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021358 | -1.79% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1576 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022136 | -1.93% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020559 | -1.84% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020841 | -1.88% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022814 | -1.94% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2962 | ✓ | 1.00 |