CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7215
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0735
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.061763 | -7.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.063658 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.061733 | -7.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06518 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.068309 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.06707 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.07255 | -7.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.068004 | -7.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.081984 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.090336 | -6.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.086133 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.086317 | -6.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.080933 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.068946 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.067821 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.082352 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.070259 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063951 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066384 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070251 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.066448 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.065681 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058126 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055313 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052781 | -1.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.05054 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050949 | -2.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048473 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050748 | -4.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044473 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043719 | -4.69% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.3700 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.041961 | -6.21% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5208 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.044554 | -6.73% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4157 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.052652 | -5.66% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3091 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.051547 | -6.25% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4501 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.056692 | -5.55% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3446 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.053922 | -5.94% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.4923 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060467 | -6.13% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.2681 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04334 | -7.92% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8533 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.041064 | -8.48% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9614 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.04056 | -8.81% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9674 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.04143 | -8.88% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9455 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.043416 | -8.50% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7906 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.042643 | -8.85% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6158 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04241 | -9.03% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6168 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.038562 | -10.23% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9417 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.040155 | -10.18% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7436 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.040778 | -9.86% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.6237 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.044749 | -8.26% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5164 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.067768 | -6.78% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2112 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.065856 | -6.66% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1855 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.063902 | -6.56% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1665 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063299 | -7.14% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0464 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.063801 | -7.82% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0323 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.064088 | -8.35% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0641 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.060681 | -8.12% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0914 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.064343 | -8.88% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1247 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.063164 | -9.03% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1353 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.062503 | -9.18% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0710 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.062961 | -9.24% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1529 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.06372 | -9.10% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1671 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.060976 | -9.09% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2604 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.058757 | -9.26% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0142 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.061825 | -8.81% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.1907 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.063159 | -8.43% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2744 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.065168 | -7.74% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3310 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.062167 | -7.40% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4213 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.057755 | -7.03% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.6910 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.061046 | -6.55% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.2762 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.052804 | -6.94% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3535 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.051731 | -6.44% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3639 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051267 | -6.41% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.3677 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042747 | -7.34% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6145 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036318 | -7.79% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.6971 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034083 | -7.66% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7711 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033169 | -7.78% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7526 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028318 | -8.09% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 0.9889 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025581 | -8.08% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0718 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023205 | -8.53% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3317 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025221 | -8.61% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5364 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.026927 | -8.83% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4458 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.024935 | -8.60% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5824 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035633 | -9.16% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2096 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.030858 | -10.62% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2822 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024072 | -7.65% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6406 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024719 | -9.45% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6504 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022564 | -6.30% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7713 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021544 | -4.39% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7130 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020055 | -4.44% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.024087 | -11.05% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8647 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022269 | -5.59% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020415 | -3.60% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019385 | -3.06% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020168 | -4.10% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017667 | -4.44% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3620 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018112 | -4.11% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3659 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017873 | -4.26% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017616 | -4.34% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2721 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017606 | -4.06% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015523 | -5.65% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018213 | -4.69% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.0923 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015974 | -6.07% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014669 | -8.00% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.01874 | -4.46% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020853 | -4.11% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021613 | -4.25% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4676 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020047 | -4.28% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020406 | -3.93% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3009 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022368 | -3.85% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1186 | ✗ | 1.00 |