CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
38.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0829
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0070
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.066381 | -0.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068495 | -0.35% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0300 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066703 | -0.28% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0379 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.070237 | -0.34% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0501 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073638 | -0.40% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0393 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072467 | -0.38% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.078099 | -0.50% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0757 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073435 | -0.43% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0708 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087572 | -0.77% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1856 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.096022 | -1.07% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0726 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091579 | -0.85% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0379 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091437 | -1.04% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0185 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085897 | -0.85% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0771 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072708 | -0.59% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1846 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070864 | -0.58% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0135 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086921 | -1.20% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2297 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073578 | -0.49% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1759 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.065121 | -0.24% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1172 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068655 | -0.55% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0278 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.073215 | -1.10% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0557 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.069297 | -0.78% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0617 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068834 | -0.68% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0317 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.05964 | -0.33% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1491 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.056285 | -0.22% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0638 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053513 | -0.15% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0382 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051484 | -0.18% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0408 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.052001 | -0.24% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0037 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049804 | -0.29% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0416 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052864 | -0.45% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0566 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046629 | -0.38% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1066 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045689 | -0.40% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044514 | -0.51% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1116 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047409 | -0.75% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0591 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055457 | -0.63% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1436 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054518 | -0.85% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1041 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059354 | -1.11% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0727 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056587 | -1.29% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0693 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.063502 | -1.41% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1575 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046901 | -0.35% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3493 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044794 | -0.17% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0387 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044443 | -0.09% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0108 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045431 | -0.08% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0055 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047345 | -0.22% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0830 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046723 | -0.13% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0115 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046577 | -0.10% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0110 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.04298 | +0.05% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0522 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044726 | +0.05% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0286 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045275 | +0.07% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0090 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048743 | -0.08% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1136 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072182 | -0.71% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3230 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070095 | -0.65% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0348 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067958 | -0.63% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0169 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.0677 | -0.68% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0260 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068676 | -0.78% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0177 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069335 | -0.85% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0054 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065518 | -0.80% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0216 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.069958 | -0.93% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0359 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.068798 | -0.92% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0348 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068178 | -0.94% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0102 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068707 | -0.95% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0239 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069421 | -0.96% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0113 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066376 | -1.04% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0319 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064085 | -1.03% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1726 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.067092 | -1.04% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0635 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068267 | -1.03% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1649 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069789 | -1.20% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0039 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066329 | -1.20% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1330 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.061267 | -1.37% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0836 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.064159 | -1.78% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0304 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055985 | -1.33% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1356 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054442 | -1.54% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0419 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053771 | -1.83% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0229 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045408 | -1.57% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1726 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038916 | -1.19% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1362 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036419 | -1.33% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0762 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.03545 | -1.44% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0410 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030431 | -1.23% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1909 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027622 | -0.74% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.0968 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025218 | -0.60% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1198 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.02735 | -0.90% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0530 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.02918 | -1.20% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0570 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026981 | -1.10% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1202 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038254 | -2.48% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3406 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033712 | -2.36% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0771 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025823 | -0.93% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3278 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026933 | -1.34% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0305 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023921 | -0.67% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1391 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022438 | -0.42% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0047 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020907 | -0.38% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0588 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026623 | -1.69% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02343 | -0.67% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1598 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021094 | -0.39% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1275 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019933 | -0.32% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020938 | -0.44% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018425 | -0.34% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018825 | -0.33% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018608 | -0.32% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018362 | -0.30% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018302 | -0.27% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016432 | -0.12% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019055 | -0.28% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016982 | -0.15% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015933 | -0.08% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0658 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019569 | -0.23% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1993 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021683 | -0.29% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022494 | -0.35% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020879 | -0.31% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021164 | -0.36% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023171 | -0.40% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.00 |