AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0661

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0125

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019297	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01951	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02042	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019242	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020316	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021821	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020265	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.01847	-0.95%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0367	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019221	-0.80%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0266	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018656	-0.86%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1016	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020486	-0.85%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0301	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022211	-1.16%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0567	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019837	-0.54%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1255	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019834	-0.50%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0293	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022158	-0.79%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1516	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021633	-0.54%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0780	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022358	-0.70%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1194	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022705	-0.78%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0574	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022652	-0.80%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0166	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022584	-0.89%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0979	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022787	-0.72%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0911	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023416	-0.96%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0434	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022377	-0.69%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0548	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021721	-0.58%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0042	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024628	-1.19%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0990	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025148	-1.43%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1007	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024458	-1.34%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0757	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023821	-1.15%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023035	-1.05%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0358	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024316	-1.17%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023089	-1.00%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020862	-1.30%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1380	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021085	-1.34%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1522	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021295	-1.41%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1129	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020061	-1.72%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0832	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020196	-1.85%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0394	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020856	-2.11%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0338	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020061	-1.87%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019819	-2.19%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021048	-2.42%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020072	-1.84%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018337	-1.61%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019774	-1.72%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0675	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020138	-1.78%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0935	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020406	-1.77%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020265	-1.64%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0449	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.02024	-1.71%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0963	✗	1.00