AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0687
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0331
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.019232 | -1.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019653 | -0.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.020618 | -0.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.019323 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.020392 | -0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021977 | -0.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.020383 | -0.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.018319 | -1.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.019276 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018625 | -1.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.02069 | +0.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.02235 | -0.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019857 | -0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019804 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.022164 | -0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021733 | -0.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.022366 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022673 | -0.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022616 | -0.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.022478 | -1.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022826 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.023382 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.022445 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.02177 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024511 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024946 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.02429 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023757 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022995 | -1.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.02431 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.023107 | -0.92% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020645 | -2.33% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020898 | -2.21% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.02114 | -2.13% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0975 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019708 | -3.46% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019836 | -3.59% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020462 | -3.96% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019828 | -3.00% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.1039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019586 | -3.34% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020787 | -3.63% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.01967 | -3.80% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017797 | -4.51% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1532 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019294 | -4.11% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019663 | -4.09% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.019987 | -3.79% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.019947 | -3.18% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.019919 | -3.27% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 1.00 |