AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

61.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual -0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.021065	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021167	-0.90%	0.021245	-0.54%	0.0009	✓	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019542	-0.77%	0.021361	+8.47%	0.0743	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02049	-0.91%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0553	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019297	-0.76%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0716	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020369	-0.86%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0556	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021912	-1.18%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0626	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020336	-1.01%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0959	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018521	-0.67%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0954	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019241	-0.69%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0092	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018698	-0.63%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0162	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020509	-0.75%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0605	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022271	-0.89%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0854	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019838	-0.53%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1197	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019834	-0.50%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0060	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022192	-0.64%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0880	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021629	-0.56%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0620	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022378	-0.61%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0257	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022737	-0.65%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0000	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022685	-0.65%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0145	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022632	-0.67%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022811	-0.62%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0034	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023483	-0.67%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0407	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022408	-0.55%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0548	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.02174	-0.49%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0332	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024746	-0.71%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1117	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.02531	-0.79%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0160	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024606	-0.74%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0324	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023937	-0.66%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023134	-0.62%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0407	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024438	-0.67%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023179	-0.62%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021002	-0.64%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021234	-0.64%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021465	-0.63%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020294	-0.59%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020456	-0.58%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.02117	-0.64%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020328	-0.56%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0807	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020147	-0.57%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021429	-0.65%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020355	-0.45%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018577	-0.32%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020051	-0.35%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020441	-0.30%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020723	-0.25%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020565	-0.18%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020562	-0.15%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0044	✓	1.00