2022-03-03 · +7d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2286

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.31%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.6%

in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-7.14%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.598	9.0898	-5.30%	7.407	-22.83%	0.1014	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-03-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.92	1.8384	-4.25%	1.6	-16.67%	0.0531	✓	1.16	411k	2022-03-10
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.88e-7	6.59e-7	-4.17%	0.000001307	+90.00%	0.7585	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.773	2.6674	-3.81%	2.7676	-0.19%	0.1004	✗	0.86	2.9M	2022-03-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00456	0.004387	-3.80%	0.00366	-19.74%	0.0609	✓	1.62	7.7M	2022-03-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	90.56	87.1262	-3.79%	101.21	+11.76%	0.2551	✗	1.42	5.0M	2022-03-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.01	32.7934	-3.58%	28.05	-17.52%	0.0663	✓	1.21	50.3M	2022-03-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,698.86	20,928.96	-3.55%	19,059.42	-12.16%	0.0212	✓	0.98	6.1M	2022-03-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03435	0.033285	-3.10%	0.04023	+17.12%	0.2530	✗	0.86	1.1M	2022-03-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.315	7.0926	-3.04%	5.224	-28.59%	0.2691	✓	0.50	5.7M	2022-03-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.868	1.8134	-2.92%	1.6882	-9.63%	0.0168	✓	1.19	177k	2022-03-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6497	1.6029	-2.83%	1.4191	-13.98%	0.0292	✓	1.25	293k	2022-03-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.545	1.5014	-2.82%	1.201	-22.27%	0.1354	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-03-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7967	0.7747	-2.76%	0.7308	-8.27%	0.0246	✓	1.12	19.9M	2022-03-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7864	0.764905	-2.73%	0.7156	-9.00%	0.0394	✗	1.43	238k	2022-03-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0283	0.027531	-2.72%	0.02397	-15.30%	0.0411	✓	1.32	503k	2022-03-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.865	0.84164	-2.70%	0.7483	-13.49%	0.0995	✓	0.24	1.2M	2022-03-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.34	6.1715	-2.66%	5.7	-10.09%	0.0234	✓	1.39	909k	2022-03-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.095	0.092482	-2.65%	0.0821	-13.58%	0.0089	✓	1.49	613k	2022-03-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.962	3.8589	-2.60%	3.473	-12.34%	0.0094	✓	1.30	1.7M	2022-03-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2636	4.1537	-2.58%	4.2989	+0.83%	0.1186	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.51	5.3713	-2.52%	4.46	-19.06%	0.1134	✓	0.98	828k	2022-03-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.97	19.4715	-2.50%	16.62	-16.78%	0.0742	✓	1.14	20.0M	2022-03-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.42	16.0158	-2.46%	13.72	-16.44%	0.1022	✓	0.71	2.6M	2022-03-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3937	3.3129	-2.38%	3.0579	-9.89%	0.0147	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-03-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1971	0.192426	-2.37%	0.1964	-0.36%	0.1206	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-03-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.8058	0.786795	-2.36%	0.6973	-13.46%	0.0201	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.584	5.4532	-2.34%	4.75	-14.94%	0.0600	✓	1.05	179k	2022-03-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1559	0.152285	-2.32%	0.1518	-2.63%	0.0732	✗	1.03	366k	2022-03-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.448	0.437781	-2.28%	0.386	-13.84%	0.0306	✓	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1075	2.0597	-2.27%	2.1814	+3.51%	0.1321	✗	1.01	79k	2022-03-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.3922	6.2476	-2.26%	6.006	-6.04%	0.0592	✗	1.33	257k	2022-03-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06983	0.068263	-2.24%	0.07709	+10.40%	0.2128	✗	1.23	64k	2022-03-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.084	3.015	-2.24%	2.532	-17.90%	0.0827	✓	1.24	612k	2022-03-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.31	52.1214	-2.23%	46.78	-12.25%	0.0116	✓	1.30	6.5M	2022-03-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02753	0.026927	-2.19%	0.02578	-6.36%	0.0131	✓	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16147	0.157975	-2.16%	0.15896	-1.55%	0.0864	✗	1.08	21k	2022-03-10
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.01	2.9449	-2.16%	6.6334	+120.38%	0.8861	✗	1.00	14.1M	2022-03-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.5878	65.1534	-2.15%	51.3064	-22.95%	0.1368	✓	1.38	231k	2022-03-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4091	1.3789	-2.15%	1.1927	-15.36%	0.0465	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-03-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.63	7.4663	-2.15%	7.54	-1.18%	0.0788	✗	0.93	480k	2022-03-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	78.49	76.8071	-2.14%	73.95	-5.78%	0.0707	✗	1.47	120.2M	2022-03-10
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.46	2.4074	-2.14%	2.11	-14.23%	0.0716	✓	0.81	402k	2022-03-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5501	0.538866	-2.04%	0.5014	-8.85%	0.0066	✓	0.88	561k	2022-03-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2899	2.2436	-2.02%	2.155	-5.89%	0.0101	✓	0.68	26k	2022-03-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.32	13.0513	-2.02%	12.75	-4.28%	0.0628	✗	1.16	312k	2022-03-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3687	0.361265	-2.02%	0.3311	-10.20%	0.0361	✗	1.67	14.6M	2022-03-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.34	9.1525	-2.01%	8.5	-8.99%	0.0174	✓	1.23	3.6M	2022-03-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01199	0.011752	-1.98%	0.01209	+0.83%	0.1299	✗	1.37	2.9M	2022-03-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4722	0.462939	-1.96%	0.4126	-12.62%	0.0339	✗	2.01	2.2M	2022-03-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	131.9	129.3485	-1.93%	126.53	-4.07%	0.0635	✗	1.15	953k	2022-03-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2283	0.223902	-1.93%	0.2025	-11.30%	0.0075	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-03-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05073	0.049763	-1.91%	0.0474	-6.56%	0.0400	✗	1.20	641k	2022-03-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.976	1.9384	-1.90%	1.676	-15.18%	0.0819	✓	0.86	76k	2022-03-10
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9796	0.96126	-1.87%	0.928	-5.27%	0.0497	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3359	-1.85%	2.2	-7.56%	0.0138	✓	1.00	254k	2022-03-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.273	0.267943	-1.85%	0.23	-15.75%	0.0915	✓	0.83	66k	2022-03-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.146	0.143305	-1.85%	0.1369	-6.23%	0.0133	✓	0.80	296k	2022-03-10
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.38	2.3361	-1.85%	2.29	-3.78%	0.0541	✗	1.00	443k	2022-03-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.21	1.1879	-1.83%	1.51	+24.79%	0.3280	✗	1.19	552k	2022-03-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	129.17	126.8222	-1.82%	157.3	+21.78%	0.2961	✗	1.09	7.4M	2022-03-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.04	2.003	-1.82%	1.79	-12.25%	0.0251	✓	1.18	354k	2022-03-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.115859	-1.81%	0.107	-9.32%	0.0403	✓	0.53	44k	2022-03-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.231	5.1365	-1.81%	4.672	-10.69%	0.0228	✓	0.97	71k	2022-03-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.18	24.7284	-1.79%	24.22	-3.81%	0.0798	✗	1.36	1.4M	2022-03-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0637	0.062573	-1.77%	0.0588	-7.69%	0.0677	✗	1.75	68.8M	2022-03-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.020258	0.0199	-1.77%	0.015274	-24.60%	0.2012	✓	0.86	135k	2022-03-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0476	1.0292	-1.76%	1.0319	-1.50%	0.0990	✗	1.30	175k	2022-03-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.42	4.3426	-1.75%	4.08	-7.69%	0.0475	✗	1.48	471k	2022-03-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,833.66	2,784.22	-1.74%	2,608.22	-7.96%	0.0116	✓	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1221	0.119984	-1.73%	0.1198	-1.88%	0.0946	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.46	1.4347	-1.73%	1.512	+3.56%	0.1295	✗	1.04	3.4M	2022-03-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.523	1.4973	-1.69%	1.536	+0.85%	0.1115	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.13	19.796	-1.66%	17.9	-11.08%	0.0187	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.89	14.6433	-1.66%	13.18	-11.48%	0.0180	✓	1.18	50.4M	2022-03-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01877	0.018459	-1.65%	0.01703	-9.27%	0.0012	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.55	9.3923	-1.65%	8.68	-9.11%	0.0075	✓	1.17	9.6M	2022-03-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012156	-1.65%	0.01203	-2.67%	0.0478	✗	0.79	13k	2022-03-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.418	4.3458	-1.64%	4.112	-6.93%	0.0075	✓	0.85	453k	2022-03-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3647	0.358752	-1.63%	0.3255	-10.75%	0.0038	✓	1.37	8.7M	2022-03-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4943	0.486317	-1.61%	0.4164	-15.76%	0.0514	✓	1.40	465k	2022-03-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.61	94.0718	-1.61%	82.92	-13.27%	0.0338	✓	1.25	127.4M	2022-03-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.18	37.5729	-1.59%	42.28	+10.74%	0.2241	✗	1.43	280k	2022-03-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.381	0.374952	-1.59%	0.2987	-21.60%	0.1191	✓	1.46	1.3M	2022-03-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.508	2.4682	-1.59%	2.046	-18.42%	0.0800	✓	1.45	13.2M	2022-03-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.534619	0.526159	-1.58%	0.503035	-5.91%	0.0393	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7949	6.6875	-1.58%	6.3304	-6.84%	0.0038	✓	0.69	2.8M	2022-03-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.89	115.0432	-1.58%	103.46	-11.49%	0.0154	✓	1.23	64k	2022-03-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011953	0.011765	-1.58%	0.011453	-4.18%	0.0499	✗	1.04	14k	2022-03-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7596	0.74764	-1.57%	0.732	-3.63%	0.0600	✗	1.10	9.7M	2022-03-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.176	1.1576	-1.57%	0.979	-16.75%	0.0901	✓	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.05	1.0336	-1.56%	0.91	-13.33%	0.1089	✓	0.25	279k	2022-03-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.29	310.3721	-1.56%	289.59	-8.15%	0.0022	✓	0.97	7.3M	2022-03-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.479	1.4561	-1.55%	1.33	-10.07%	0.0158	✗	1.44	797k	2022-03-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.9519	2.9071	-1.52%	2.8775	-2.52%	0.0551	✗	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0725	0.071426	-1.48%	0.0702	-3.17%	0.0560	✗	0.99	14k	2022-03-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2512	-1.48%	2.98	-9.70%	0.0058	✓	1.25	6.6M	2022-03-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	127.04	125.1638	-1.48%	116.66	-8.17%	0.0008	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-03-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		83.45	82.2181	-1.48%	78.54	-5.88%	0.0163	✗	0.84	908k	2022-03-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046937	0.046246	-1.47%	0.040695	-13.30%	0.0506	✓	1.04	8.1M	2022-03-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1029	0.10139	-1.47%	0.0965	-6.22%	0.0227	✗	0.97	40k	2022-03-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.808	3.7523	-1.46%	4.473	+17.46%	0.2682	✗	1.25	2.1M	2022-03-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.187901	0.185152	-1.46%	0.178633	-4.93%	0.0440	✗	1.08	19.8M	2022-03-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.295	0.290776	-1.43%	0.266	-9.83%	0.0085	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-03-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03967	0.039106	-1.42%	0.03918	-1.24%	0.0740	✗	0.97	29k	2022-03-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.709836	-1.41%	0.61	-15.28%	0.0251	✓	1.71	988k	2022-03-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.05	29.6264	-1.41%	27.97	-6.92%	0.0126	✓	0.95	1.5M	2022-03-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.4168	-1.41%	1.374	-4.38%	0.0503	✗	1.09	931k	2022-03-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9021	0.889472	-1.40%	0.807	-10.54%	0.0153	✓	1.11	94.8M	2022-03-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,464.41	41,873.90	-1.39%	39,433.71	-7.14%	0.0140	✗	1.00	645.2M	2022-03-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6368	2.6002	-1.39%	2.3707	-10.09%	0.0053	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	17.7825	-1.37%	16.97	-5.88%	0.0431	✗	1.21	27.0M	2022-03-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.363	6.2768	-1.36%	5.737	-9.84%	0.0117	✓	1.37	26k	2022-03-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.85	1.8251	-1.35%	1.67	-9.73%	0.0134	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.2235	-1.33%	1.12	-9.68%	0.0119	✓	1.03	782k	2022-03-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.249	0.245712	-1.32%	0.2216	-11.00%	0.0352	✓	0.92	2.0M	2022-03-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01525	0.015051	-1.31%	0.01693	+11.02%	0.2309	✗	1.53	12.7M	2022-03-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.852	0.840866	-1.31%	0.827	-2.93%	0.0852	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0725	0.071558	-1.30%	0.0684	-5.66%	0.0515	✗	1.30	1.0M	2022-03-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.75	95.5137	-1.28%	104.65	+8.17%	0.1752	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.873	2.8364	-1.28%	3.236	+12.63%	0.1908	✗	0.80	864k	2022-03-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00902	0.008906	-1.26%	0.00902	+0.00%	0.1043	✗	1.24	563k	2022-03-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.882	2.8465	-1.23%	2.591	-10.10%	0.0278	✓	0.89	239k	2022-03-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09337	0.092223	-1.23%	0.08882	-4.87%	0.0393	✗	1.04	42k	2022-03-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001877	-1.22%	0.00000181	-4.74%	0.0131	✗	0.67	13.5M	2022-03-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.77	19.5339	-1.19%	18.43	-6.78%	0.0487	✗	1.44	325k	2022-03-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.714	0.70553	-1.19%	0.618	-13.45%	0.0543	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-03-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007449	0.000073682	-1.09%	0.00008054	+8.12%	0.1699	✗	1.09	4.5M	2022-03-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.69	110.5032	-1.06%	102.58	-8.16%	0.0068	✓	1.10	29.3M	2022-03-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	129.96	128.5927	-1.05%	119.26	-8.23%	0.0238	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.33	6.2636	-1.05%	6.06	-4.27%	0.0329	✗	0.89	486k	2022-03-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7113	0.703883	-1.04%	0.68631	-3.51%	0.0746	✗	1.35	200k	2022-03-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.072	0.07125	-1.04%	0.068	-5.56%	0.0292	✗	1.02	157k	2022-03-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.07	9.9696	-1.00%	10.26	+1.89%	0.0770	✗	0.65	928k	2022-03-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.212	2.1902	-0.98%	2.141	-3.21%	0.0458	✗	0.93	26k	2022-03-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.04	170.3537	-0.98%	178.98	+4.03%	0.1232	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01001	0.009919	-0.91%	0.00985	-1.60%	0.0856	✗	1.25	1.4M	2022-03-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,572.60	42,192.49	-0.89%	39,505.90	-7.20%	0.0062	✓	0.97	59k	2022-03-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.42	6.364	-0.87%	6.04	-5.92%	0.0093	✓	0.58	1.2M	2022-03-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.86	44.471	-0.87%	40.75	-9.16%	0.0082	✓	1.07	20.8M	2022-03-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2824	0.279981	-0.86%	0.2624	-7.08%	0.0307	✗	1.29	284k	2022-03-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.3	14.1776	-0.86%	14	-2.10%	0.0953	✗	1.46	2.2M	2022-03-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3396	-0.75%	5.2	-3.35%	0.0378	✗	0.87	566k	2022-03-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.174	1.1653	-0.74%	1.175	+0.09%	0.0956	✗	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.526	19.3889	-0.70%	18.083	-7.39%	0.0039	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-03-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9206	-0.70%	2.69	-8.53%	0.0183	✓	0.86	457k	2022-03-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002507	0.00002491	-0.64%	0.00002262	-9.77%	0.0031	✓	1.26	3.9M	2022-03-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.25	30.0688	-0.60%	26.7	-11.74%	0.0399	✓	1.07	5.3M	2022-03-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.95	2.938	-0.41%	2.8703	-2.70%	0.0410	✗	0.87	3.6M	2022-03-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.6206	5.6302	+0.17%	5.8363	+3.84%	0.0588	✓	0.31	335k	2022-03-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.129579	0.129983	+0.31%	0.116797	-9.86%	0.0373	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060032	0.060448	+0.69%	0.059896	-0.23%	0.0479	✓	0.77	307k	2022-03-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.