QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · lstm_s1

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0443

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0192

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.890745	0.870117	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.88846	0.869712	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.859416	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.843908	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.842411	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.861796	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.884927	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.895699	-2.08%	0.890745	-2.62%	0.0325	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.90263	-2.14%	0.88846	-3.67%	0.0476	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.926174	-2.28%	0.877405	-7.43%	0.0520	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.908009	-2.07%	0.86037	-7.21%	0.0551	✓	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.97443	-2.44%	0.858515	-14.04%	0.1064	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.989613	-2.67%	0.87857	-13.59%	0.1003	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.935286	-2.20%	0.90303	-5.57%	0.0223	✓	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.910677	-2.04%	0.914685	-1.61%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.916596	-2.08%	0.92235	-1.47%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.952644	-2.24%	0.947825	-2.74%	0.0234	✗	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.971762	-2.49%	0.927235	-6.95%	0.0011	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.970343	-2.43%	0.998795	+0.43%	0.0611	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.967256	-2.52%	1.0168	+2.47%	0.0713	✗	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.968088	-2.60%	0.95631	-3.79%	0.0107	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.961438	-2.60%	0.929655	-5.82%	0.0034	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.973122	-2.90%	0.936105	-6.60%	0.0354	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.94755	-2.54%	0.97452	+0.23%	0.0058	✓	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.95961	-2.64%	0.996535	+1.10%	0.0112	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	0.998385	-2.88%	0.99453	-3.26%	0.0269	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0008	-3.02%	0.992245	-3.85%	0.0122	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0146	-3.47%	0.99396	-5.44%	0.0252	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.972501	-2.80%	0.987135	-1.34%	0.0097	✓	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.932884	-2.51%	1.0022	+4.73%	0.0811	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	0.983271	-2.78%	0.97227	-3.87%	0.0175	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.970186	-2.67%	0.98568	-1.11%	0.0510	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.920724	-3.13%	1.028	+8.16%	0.0711	✗	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.925026	-3.26%	1.0319	+7.93%	0.0718	✗	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.92179	-3.29%	1.0511	+10.28%	0.0927	✗	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.847757	-2.80%	1.0005	+14.72%	0.0719	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.851972	-2.65%	0.956945	+9.34%	0.0202	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.841444	-2.38%	1.0114	+17.33%	0.0586	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.900241	-2.67%	0.99676	+7.76%	0.0110	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.932057	-3.42%	0.95048	-1.51%	0.0311	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.905295	-2.63%	0.95615	+2.84%	0.0082	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.861072	-1.87%	0.953185	+8.63%	0.0587	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.841334	-1.70%	0.872145	+1.90%	0.0382	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.878459	-1.14%	0.8752	-1.50%	0.0216	✗	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.881019	-0.99%	0.861965	-3.14%	0.0128	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.880398	+0.10%	0.92496	+5.17%	0.0604	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.888408	+0.65%	0.96504	+9.33%	0.1253	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.886707	+1.77%	0.929715	+6.71%	0.0782	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.882946	+2.41%	0.877485	+1.78%	0.0234	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.887943	+3.23%	0.85591	-0.49%	0.0206	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.842429	+3.10%	0.88856	+8.75%	0.0404	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.852506	+3.33%	0.88987	+7.86%	0.0289	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.852449	+3.64%	0.879515	+6.93%	0.0246	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.825738	+3.69%	0.882675	+10.84%	0.0336	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.851772	+3.46%	0.871245	+5.82%	0.0032	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.843512	+3.25%	0.86216	+5.53%	0.0004	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.875346	+2.67%	0.86012	+0.88%	0.0291	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.918716	+2.65%	0.81706	-8.71%	0.0959	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.866048	+2.32%	0.82502	-2.52%	0.0346	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.891444	+1.95%	0.822535	-5.93%	0.0754	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.896328	+1.67%	0.79638	-9.67%	0.1174	✗	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.85365	+1.40%	0.823295	-2.20%	0.0508	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.875611	+1.09%	0.816995	-5.68%	0.0634	✗	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.77573	-2.48%	0.85261	+7.19%	0.0073	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.696982	-2.80%	0.894995	+24.81%	0.1413	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.665091	-2.64%	0.84638	+23.90%	0.0765	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.663641	-2.62%	0.87443	+28.31%	0.1032	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.659087	-2.58%	0.881595	+30.30%	0.1070	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.657503	-2.58%	0.841845	+24.74%	0.0738	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.665996	-2.73%	0.86618	+26.51%	0.0736	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.648853	-2.56%	0.79543	+19.45%	0.0802	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.637722	-2.30%	0.717075	+9.85%	0.0373	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.619872	-2.07%	0.683095	+7.92%	0.0813	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.633363	-2.04%	0.681495	+5.40%	0.0654	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.652665	-2.13%	0.676565	+1.45%	0.0638	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.652307	-2.08%	0.674895	+1.31%	0.0601	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.641758	-1.98%	0.684685	+4.58%	0.0925	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.634732	-2.04%	0.6659	+2.77%	0.0601	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.631217	-1.92%	0.65275	+1.43%	0.0509	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.637959	-1.98%	0.632945	-2.75%	0.0003	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.636832	-1.99%	0.646575	-0.49%	0.0086	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.638552	-2.08%	0.666885	+2.27%	0.0235	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.633128	-2.01%	0.666195	+3.11%	0.0193	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.629561	-1.87%	0.654705	+2.04%	0.0088	✓	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.631085	-1.83%	0.647925	+0.79%	0.0331	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.633176	-1.83%	0.64355	-0.22%	0.0056	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.644689	-1.85%	0.650875	-0.91%	0.0065	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.637207	-1.79%	0.64975	+0.14%	0.0229	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.669817	-1.81%	0.652095	-4.41%	0.0001	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.667769	-2.08%	0.646105	-5.25%	0.0102	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.665901	-2.37%	0.641585	-5.93%	0.0184	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.698837	-2.53%	0.642835	-10.34%	0.0788	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.699413	-2.07%	0.64495	-9.70%	0.0495	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.694143	-2.26%	0.65683	-7.51%	0.0168	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.69322	-2.93%	0.64881	-9.15%	0.0443	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.697448	-3.16%	0.682155	-5.28%	0.0316	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.68121	-2.92%	0.681935	-2.82%	0.0084	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.660331	-2.63%	0.68205	+0.57%	0.0296	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.653571	-2.58%	0.717005	+6.88%	0.0737	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.666586	-3.04%	0.714225	+3.88%	0.0489	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.663978	-3.21%	0.71017	+3.52%	0.0448	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.651068	-2.93%	0.714125	+6.48%	0.0466	✗	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.66549	-2.61%	0.7202	+5.40%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.669716	-2.67%	0.701725	+1.98%	0.0309	✗	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.673635	-2.78%	0.67816	-2.13%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.673623	-2.82%	0.670865	-3.21%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.682444	-2.95%	0.68752	-2.23%	0.0319	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.667831	-2.76%	0.686005	-0.11%	0.0001	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.688477	-3.03%	0.670695	-5.53%	0.0023	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.689965	-3.30%	0.683295	-4.24%	0.0122	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.694993	-3.10%	0.688075	-4.06%	0.0211	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.693488	-3.21%	0.69289	-3.29%	0.0267	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.674969	-3.11%	0.693145	-0.50%	0.0008	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.664888	-3.00%	0.70322	+2.59%	0.0181	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.658079	-2.92%	0.686755	+1.31%	0.0401	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.670296	-3.04%	0.709955	+2.70%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.669109	-3.06%	0.713515	+3.37%	0.0101	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.654502	-3.06%	0.71721	+6.23%	0.0335	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.662538	-2.39%	0.71646	+5.56%	0.0315	✗	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.640603	-2.15%	0.69666	+6.41%	0.0506	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.666823	-1.96%	0.685435	+0.78%	0.0465	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.676375	-2.04%	0.677905	-1.82%	0.0810	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.694279	-1.95%	0.69129	-2.37%	0.0656	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.694447	-2.08%	0.690225	-2.68%	0.0640	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.720917	-2.18%	0.675145	-8.39%	0.0143	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.7116	-1.94%	0.67875	-6.47%	0.0179	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.714268	-1.72%	0.6547	-9.92%	0.0264	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.745504	-2.27%	0.680135	-10.84%	0.0278	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.731411	-2.00%	0.690495	-7.48%	0.0030	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.738884	-1.82%	0.7081	-5.91%	0.0000	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.731818	-1.71%	0.709205	-4.75%	0.0141	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.724825	-1.51%	0.73695	+0.14%	0.0204	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.707836	-1.19%	0.72568	+1.30%	0.0261	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.710423	-1.10%	0.726765	+1.18%	0.0357	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.684166	+0.07%	0.762855	+11.58%	0.0522	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.701267	+0.10%	0.74631	+6.53%	0.0109	✗	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.70893	-0.23%	0.75257	+5.91%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.71045	-0.04%	0.744585	+4.76%	0.0027	✗	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.695249	+1.48%	0.73593	+7.42%	0.0103	✓	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.702151	+1.71%	0.71637	+3.77%	0.0271	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.764282	+0.28%	0.71831	-5.75%	0.0578	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.809294	-0.15%	0.683675	-15.65%	0.1226	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.797689	-0.80%	0.70054	-12.88%	0.0400	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.843137	-1.91%	0.71057	-17.33%	0.0340	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.853011	-2.09%	0.71076	-18.42%	0.0113	✓	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.845831	-2.02%	0.6851	-20.64%	0.0067	✓	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.843547	-1.94%	0.69036	-19.75%	0.0074	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.85014	-1.95%	0.76215	-12.10%	0.0498	✗	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.854084	-1.97%	0.81049	-6.98%	0.1141	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.864833	-2.07%	0.80413	-8.95%	0.0727	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.886755	-2.21%	0.85952	-5.21%	0.0621	✗	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.877504	-2.13%	0.871225	-2.83%	0.0455	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.908784	-2.28%	0.86329	-7.18%	0.0073	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.882008	-2.19%	0.86026	-4.60%	0.0071	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.902068	-2.42%	0.86704	-6.21%	0.0222	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.872749	-2.48%	0.87128	-2.64%	0.0466	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.860905	-2.50%	0.883135	+0.02%	0.0398	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.877604	-2.30%	0.906795	+0.95%	0.0282	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.866872	-2.17%	0.89659	+1.18%	0.0402	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.889131	-2.21%	0.930025	+2.29%	0.0667	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.90933	-2.23%	0.90177	-3.04%	0.0459	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.962696	-2.17%	0.924435	-6.06%	0.0106	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.958144	-2.73%	0.89491	-9.15%	0.0414	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	0.999766	-3.04%	0.882935	-14.37%	0.0707	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0007	-3.05%	0.89824	-12.98%	0.0412	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0135	-3.03%	0.88611	-15.21%	0.0675	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.945666	-2.30%	0.909195	-6.07%	0.0044	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.944026	-2.44%	0.930055	-3.89%	0.0004	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.901718	-2.20%	0.984055	+6.73%	0.0731	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.904736	-1.81%	0.98506	+6.91%	0.1122	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.879706	-1.73%	1.0312	+15.19%	0.1644	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.859139	-1.71%	1.0322	+18.10%	0.1593	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.85535	-1.73%	1.0451	+20.07%	0.1532	✗	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.865063	-1.72%	0.96792	+9.97%	0.0865	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.858441	-1.73%	0.96765	+10.78%	0.0942	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.845523	-1.88%	0.922025	+7.00%	0.0373	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.857884	-1.87%	0.921375	+5.40%	0.0041	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.868923	-2.00%	0.89518	+0.96%	0.0317	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.873826	-1.96%	0.87405	-1.93%	0.0331	✓	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.892377	-1.77%	0.87045	-4.19%	0.0233	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.879888	-1.75%	0.8802	-1.72%	0.0136	✓	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.8878	-1.80%	0.87351	-3.38%	0.0267	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.89435	-1.39%	0.86168	-4.99%	0.0101	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.891684	-1.27%	0.8742	-3.21%	0.0140	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.89403	-1.85%	0.88667	-2.66%	0.0078	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.897988	-1.93%	0.89128	-2.67%	0.0285	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.867359	-2.00%	0.90848	+2.64%	0.0216	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.900657	-1.95%	0.8956	-2.50%	0.0322	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.941301	-1.84%	0.90403	-5.73%	0.0454	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.901724	-2.12%	0.906965	-1.55%	0.0374	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.890569	-2.03%	0.90316	-0.65%	0.0328	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.882212	-2.12%	0.910885	+1.06%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.901401	-2.38%	0.915695	-0.84%	0.0047	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.858972	-2.66%	0.88507	+0.30%	0.0164	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.892652	-2.82%	0.918605	+0.00%	0.0101	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.891862	-2.71%	0.95899	+4.61%	0.0133	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.895716	-2.88%	0.921225	-0.11%	0.0218	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.883257	-2.85%	0.90905	-0.01%	0.0271	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.925354	-3.11%	0.90133	-5.63%	0.0600	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.897089	-3.16%	0.92342	-0.32%	0.0564	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.93474	-3.56%	0.882435	-8.96%	0.0850	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.923187	-3.86%	0.918595	-4.34%	0.0964	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.929743	-4.11%	0.916705	-5.46%	0.1099	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.853304	-3.06%	0.922265	+4.78%	0.0003	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.900951	-3.96%	0.90918	-3.08%	0.0379	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.85968	-3.41%	0.95507	+7.30%	0.0475	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.791743	-2.21%	0.92641	+14.43%	0.1237	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.758806	-1.77%	0.969285	+25.48%	0.1970	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.80161	-2.00%	0.96028	+17.39%	0.1653	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.803537	-1.89%	0.96962	+18.39%	0.1783	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.832466	-2.04%	0.88023	+3.58%	0.0851	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.886875	-2.36%	0.93812	+3.28%	0.1042	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.905118	-2.64%	0.89006	-4.26%	0.0184	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.8621	-2.42%	0.80961	-8.36%	0.0008	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.813069	-1.71%	0.77248	-6.62%	0.0218	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.830072	-2.01%	0.818	-3.43%	0.0253	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.866014	-2.21%	0.81898	-7.52%	0.0069	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.860595	-2.01%	0.84978	-3.24%	0.0045	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.875476	-2.10%	0.90831	+1.57%	0.0360	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.925961	-2.28%	0.92962	-1.89%	0.0530	✗	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.931667	-2.16%	0.88349	-7.22%	0.0049	✓	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.915399	-2.26%	0.82721	-11.68%	0.0267	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.86324	-2.05%	0.84707	-3.88%	0.0156	✓	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.889461	-2.25%	0.885555	-2.67%	0.0023	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.857999	-2.03%	0.87821	+0.28%	0.0325	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.874557	-2.19%	0.89425	+0.02%	0.0068	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.859913	-2.18%	0.94753	+7.79%	0.0389	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.850336	-2.01%	0.95221	+9.73%	0.0180	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.834852	-1.70%	0.9366	+10.28%	0.0092	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.847046	-1.86%	0.88128	+2.11%	0.0219	✓	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.874918	-2.02%	0.90989	+1.90%	0.0043	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.911908	-2.28%	0.87576	-6.15%	0.0351	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.919755	-2.35%	0.8941	-5.07%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.893212	-2.18%	0.87908	-3.73%	0.0420	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.911133	-2.25%	0.86781	-6.89%	0.0423	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.877164	-1.86%	0.84932	-4.97%	0.0357	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.894669	-1.96%	0.86311	-5.42%	0.0409	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.8929	-1.78%	0.89296	-1.77%	0.0384	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.908715	-1.91%	0.93319	+0.73%	0.0298	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.932877	-2.12%	0.94185	-1.18%	0.0669	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.857548	-1.31%	0.91313	+5.09%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.867064	-1.48%	0.93206	+5.90%	0.0028	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.894976	-2.12%	0.89376	-2.25%	0.0293	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.922535	-1.95%	0.91254	-3.01%	0.0054	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.942943	-1.93%	0.90907	-5.45%	0.0017	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.921875	-1.66%	0.926435	-1.17%	0.0035	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.931899	-1.44%	0.95313	+0.80%	0.0033	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.949118	-1.55%	0.86893	-9.87%	0.0317	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.96835	-1.73%	0.880105	-10.68%	0.0259	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.968389	-1.54%	0.91432	-7.04%	0.0385	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0072	-1.80%	0.940855	-8.27%	0.0391	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.981504	-1.35%	0.961455	-3.36%	0.0075	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.94787	-0.41%	0.937415	-1.51%	0.0236	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.91556	+0.00%	0.94552	+3.28%	0.0419	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.898638	+0.01%	0.964055	+7.29%	0.0916	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.924495	-0.21%	0.98535	+6.36%	0.0832	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.929116	+0.52%	0.98353	+6.41%	0.0803	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.953944	+1.17%	1.0256	+8.78%	0.0639	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.96546	+1.29%	0.994905	+4.38%	0.0570	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.901963	+3.51%	0.951765	+9.22%	0.0077	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0463	+0.69%	0.915535	-11.89%	0.0291	✗	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0727	+0.14%	0.89853	-16.12%	0.0607	✗	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.0954	-0.66%	0.92647	-15.98%	0.0225	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0686	+0.39%	0.924285	-13.16%	0.0366	✗	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.064	+0.15%	0.942885	-11.24%	0.0404	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1295	-1.26%	0.953125	-16.68%	0.0564	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1515	-1.30%	0.871405	-25.31%	0.1044	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2302	-1.90%	1.0391	-17.14%	0.0889	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2561	-2.00%	1.0712	-16.42%	0.0551	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2326	-1.95%	1.1027	-12.28%	0.0364	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.1995	-1.77%	1.0644	-12.83%	0.0325	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2488	-2.11%	1.0623	-16.73%	0.0022	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2553	-1.96%	1.1439	-10.65%	0.0139	✓	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2673	-1.92%	1.1667	-9.70%	0.0100	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.2993	-1.98%	1.2541	-5.39%	0.0325	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2797	-1.78%	1.2817	-1.62%	0.0101	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3402	-2.03%	1.2571	-8.11%	0.0020	✓	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3712	-2.06%	1.2211	-12.78%	0.0139	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4444	-2.15%	1.2757	-13.58%	0.0401	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4242	-2.07%	1.2804	-11.96%	0.0227	✓	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4033	-2.10%	1.2921	-9.86%	0.0027	✓	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5355	-2.23%	1.3255	-15.60%	0.0441	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4362	-2.15%	1.3028	-11.24%	0.0022	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.36	-2.14%	1.368	-1.57%	0.0127	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4034	-2.32%	1.4	-2.56%	0.0399	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4479	-2.54%	1.4762	-0.63%	0.0452	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4511	-2.57%	1.4544	-2.35%	0.0690	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4421	-2.55%	1.4334	-3.14%	0.0704	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4263	-2.56%	1.5706	+7.30%	0.0000	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.472	-2.84%	1.4677	-3.13%	0.0309	✓	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4241	-2.56%	1.3898	-4.91%	0.0228	✓	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3594	-2.44%	1.4367	+3.11%	0.0665	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3396	-2.56%	1.4856	+8.05%	0.1075	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3438	-2.78%	1.4893	+7.75%	0.0927	✗	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.301	-2.71%	1.4799	+10.67%	0.0875	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.2971	-3.02%	1.4637	+9.44%	0.0519	✗	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2472	-2.32%	1.5151	+18.66%	0.0991	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2624	-2.42%	1.4615	+12.97%	0.0238	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2397	-2.33%	1.3934	+9.78%	0.0505	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2671	-2.59%	1.3749	+5.69%	0.0306	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1753	-2.03%	1.3822	+15.22%	0.1140	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.1871	-2.05%	1.3373	+10.34%	0.0905	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2269	-2.21%	1.3375	+6.60%	0.0884	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2317	-2.26%	1.2769	+1.32%	0.0180	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.224	-2.30%	1.2937	+3.26%	0.0824	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2205	-2.32%	1.2693	+1.58%	0.0534	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2616	-2.44%	1.3008	+0.60%	0.0404	✗	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2752	-2.56%	1.1997	-8.34%	0.0459	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2015	-2.29%	1.2119	-1.44%	0.0242	✓	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2443	-2.71%	1.2547	-1.90%	0.0183	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3298	-2.54%	1.2602	-7.64%	0.0458	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3408	-2.47%	1.2528	-8.87%	0.1085	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.3817	-2.92%	1.2495	-12.20%	0.1093	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4705	-3.57%	1.2931	-15.20%	0.0932	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3714	-2.12%	1.3088	-6.58%	0.0067	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4121	-2.23%	1.2297	-14.86%	0.0077	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4456	-2.44%	1.279	-13.69%	0.0148	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4701	-2.51%	1.3645	-9.52%	0.0133	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4149	-2.30%	1.3748	-5.07%	0.0485	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3827	-2.01%	1.4232	+0.86%	0.0692	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4046	-2.06%	1.5249	+6.33%	0.0644	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4082	-1.78%	1.401	-2.29%	0.0220	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4654	-1.91%	1.4442	-3.32%	0.0224	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.536	-2.04%	1.4817	-5.50%	0.0112	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.4953	-1.84%	1.508	-1.01%	0.0158	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.3946	-1.32%	1.4482	+2.47%	0.0433	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5088	-2.00%	1.411	-8.35%	0.0676	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5635	-2.07%	1.4341	-10.17%	0.0586	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.5849	-1.79%	1.4338	-11.15%	0.0723	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.578	-1.74%	1.4938	-6.98%	0.0686	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5745	-1.63%	1.568	-2.04%	0.0565	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5838	-1.43%	1.5234	-5.19%	0.1120	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5568	-1.21%	1.4132	-10.32%	0.0593	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5221	-0.76%	1.5396	+0.39%	0.0534	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5405	+0.13%	1.5966	+3.77%	0.0769	✗	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5492	+0.59%	1.6139	+4.79%	0.0606	✗	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.6063	+0.16%	1.606	+0.14%	0.0808	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6726	-1.09%	1.6006	-5.34%	0.0275	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7151	-1.46%	1.6068	-7.68%	0.0255	✗	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6848	-1.09%	1.5759	-7.48%	0.0039	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6905	-1.35%	1.5337	-10.50%	0.0251	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7269	-1.55%	1.5386	-12.29%	0.0662	✗	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7016	-1.24%	1.5401	-10.62%	0.0585	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7394	-1.87%	1.6038	-9.52%	0.1415	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.799	-2.21%	1.691	-8.09%	0.1048	✗	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8095	-2.33%	1.7404	-6.05%	0.1263	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.8989	-2.75%	1.7034	-12.76%	0.1137	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8773	-2.60%	1.7135	-11.10%	0.0782	✗	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.8883	-2.62%	1.7541	-9.54%	0.0380	✗	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9232	-2.88%	1.723	-12.99%	0.0315	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7125	-1.60%	1.7726	+1.86%	0.0601	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7359	-1.75%	1.8397	+4.13%	0.0916	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6642	-1.04%	1.8526	+10.17%	0.0843	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6878	-1.45%	1.9526	+14.01%	0.1545	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8642	-2.21%	1.9274	+1.11%	0.1182	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8761	-2.33%	1.9391	+0.95%	0.1481	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8167	-2.02%	1.9803	+6.80%	0.1786	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7909	-1.75%	1.7402	-4.52%	0.0764	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9217	-2.26%	1.7668	-10.14%	0.0048	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.9254	-2.15%	1.6816	-14.54%	0.0332	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9676	-2.33%	1.7127	-14.99%	0.0311	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0032	-2.57%	1.9062	-7.29%	0.0065	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9509	-2.57%	1.9209	-4.07%	0.0079	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.949	-2.66%	1.8542	-7.39%	0.0283	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9309	-2.57%	1.8227	-8.02%	0.0311	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8682	-2.20%	1.9662	+2.92%	0.0151	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9067	-2.42%	1.9677	+0.71%	0.0342	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9505	-2.74%	2.0146	+0.46%	0.0185	✓	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.922	-2.70%	2.0561	+4.09%	0.0166	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.8996	-2.64%	2.0024	+2.63%	0.0125	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8597	-2.32%	2.0022	+5.16%	0.0068	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.8988	-2.47%	1.9817	+1.79%	0.0147	✓	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9427	-2.71%	1.9103	-4.33%	0.0303	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0209	-2.99%	1.9539	-6.21%	0.0339	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.0728	-3.28%	2.0054	-6.42%	0.0333	✓	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0092	-3.11%	1.9754	-4.74%	0.0721	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8218	-2.28%	1.951	+4.66%	0.1170	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8116	-2.41%	1.9039	+2.56%	0.1394	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3195	-4.09%	1.9469	-19.50%	0.0607	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.2683	-3.93%	1.9967	-15.43%	0.0213	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.057	-2.60%	2.0833	-1.36%	0.0789	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.184	-2.77%	2.1431	-4.59%	0.0532	✗	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1408	-2.75%	2.0736	-5.80%	0.0331	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1566	-2.81%	1.8642	-15.99%	0.0529	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.223	-2.93%	1.8564	-18.94%	0.1067	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2084	-2.96%	2.4184	+6.27%	0.0824	✗	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.1861	-2.89%	2.361	+4.88%	0.0399	✗	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0726	-2.48%	2.1119	-0.63%	0.0386	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1157	-2.49%	2.2461	+3.53%	0.0255	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1213	-2.68%	2.2013	+0.99%	0.0616	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.0904	-2.57%	2.219	+3.43%	0.0558	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.1415	-2.24%	2.2901	+4.55%	0.0483	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0198	-1.64%	2.2757	+10.82%	0.0137	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.1877	-2.20%	2.2512	+0.64%	0.0150	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.116	-1.91%	2.1253	-1.48%	0.0127	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1361	-1.64%	2.1696	-0.10%	0.0023	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.2918	-2.21%	2.1798	-6.98%	0.0268	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3367	-2.24%	2.1455	-10.24%	0.0328	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3525	-2.03%	2.1906	-8.77%	0.0190	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4303	-2.19%	2.0536	-17.35%	0.0980	✓	0.99

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.