8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0527
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.0%
in alpha space · 90.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 291.3886.6088-5.22%77.85-14.81%0.0802✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.9125-4.36%7.8+7.91%0.2940✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3361-4.22%2.469+1.23%0.1680✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.2526-3.94%7.76+2.78%0.1826✗0.90461k2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2920,771.98-3.79%18,376.27-14.88%0.0036✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.16e-7-3.72%0.000001442+125.18%0.9779✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.2765-3.52%28.29-9.85%0.0801✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004239-3.45%0.00392-10.71%0.1306✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.2708-3.43%5.302-29.58%0.2552✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2046-3.39%3.353+1.09%0.1693✗0.97741k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.795976-3.28%0.7051-14.33%0.0652✗1.45270k2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.840092-3.26%0.7277-16.20%0.0034✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7803-3.25%1.59-13.59%0.0434✗1.22483k2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.033896-3.24%0.03434-1.97%0.1290✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.5778-3.12%5.62-17.23%0.0247✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.8786-3.07%1.6162-16.61%0.0019✓1.19179k2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6249-3.02%1.3125-21.66%0.0502✓1.27272k2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028138-2.97%0.0248-14.48%0.0454✗1.34494k2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.7915-2.88%12.47-12.18%0.0407✗1.10331k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.7245-2.82%17.31+6.98%0.1884✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.8233-2.81%3.496-11.13%0.0764✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.5772-2.75%16.42-18.43%0.0251✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4519-2.72%2.9274-17.50%0.0011✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.7164-2.70%4.783-18.59%0.0422✓1.06189k2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.448565-2.70%0.381-17.35%0.0012✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028578-2.70%0.02497-14.98%0.0346✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.068421-2.67%0.0544-22.62%0.0010✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.156923-2.65%0.1422-11.79%0.0338✗1.03446k2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1234-2.62%3.6598-13.57%0.0274✗1.14244k2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.3236-2.60%5.712-12.02%0.0699✗1.34184k2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5724-2.56%2.28-13.64%0.0076✓1.00490k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.070173-2.55%0.06777-5.89%0.1240✗1.2469k2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5982.4432-2.54%71.75-15.18%0.0452✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.187658-2.52%0.1942+0.88%0.2103✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0373-2.49%2.706-13.13%0.0002✓0.90218k2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76366.1155-2.43%52.8584-22.00%0.0448✓1.40214k2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.1008-2.42%46.15-15.20%0.0252✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7335-2.40%4.4-9.28%0.0550✗1.00828k2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.491899-2.40%0.4075-19.15%0.0683✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4563-2.38%4.234-7.25%0.0582✗0.85435k2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.128883-2.36%0.1-24.24%0.1799✓0.5844k2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.499-2.33%4.618-17.98%0.0544✓0.9468k2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020905-2.31%0.01691-20.98%0.0704✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.547757-2.31%0.4925-12.16%0.0102✓0.91641k2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3838-2.30%2.11-13.52%0.0070✓1.01254k2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.162602-2.28%0.14835-10.84%0.0638✗1.2127k2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.357494-2.24%0.3173-13.23%0.0880✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.4635-2.24%2.32-7.94%0.0682✗1.00486k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.1209-2.24%8.37-10.29%0.0706✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28127.3736-2.23%120.6-7.43%0.0920✗1.14930k2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.083794-2.22%0.0802-6.42%0.1442✗1.47613k2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.741549-2.22%0.73-3.74%0.0300✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.298-2.20%8.31-21.08%0.0619✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7534-2.19%3.97-18.31%0.0147✓1.52430k2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1616-2.19%1.84-16.74%0.0101✓1.18343k2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0424-2.19%2.8397-8.70%0.0452✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.02216-2.18%0.017437-23.03%0.1297✓0.86117k2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.7848-2.18%22.43-14.91%0.0380✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3226-2.17%1.243-8.06%0.1069✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.127485-2.16%0.1105-15.20%0.0215✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.227096-2.16%0.1993-14.13%0.0598✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.149801-2.15%0.1333-12.93%0.0117✓0.82295k2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.9593-2.14%0.8412-14.19%0.0199✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010756-2.13%0.01182+7.55%0.2724✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.2235-2.12%1.04-16.80%0.0094✓1.19610k2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7497.6281-2.12%81.66-18.13%0.0149✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.2999-2.10%1.1872-10.59%0.0840✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.2643-2.10%17.82-17.96%0.0311✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.076364-2.10%0.0672-13.85%0.0414✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,861.84-2.10%2,491.58-14.76%0.0045✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.563081-2.08%0.472233-17.88%0.0296✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.532-2.05%1.585+1.34%0.1689✗1.053.4M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.4651-2.04%5.93-10.15%0.0278✗0.89452k2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27332.5301-1.99%273.86-19.28%0.0676✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5352-1.97%1.307-16.54%0.0248✗1.45863k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5404-1.95%1.435-8.66%0.0764✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.8477-1.93%12.7-16.12%0.0043✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.370021-1.90%0.3298-12.57%0.0606✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0749-1.90%3.62-12.86%0.0405✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.49126-1.89%0.4144-17.24%0.0055✓1.37484k2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4734-1.88%2.88-18.64%0.0241✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.781711-1.88%0.694-12.89%0.0215✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75118.4843-1.88%98.5-18.43%0.0293✓1.2164k2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0231-1.88%0.89059-14.58%0.0319✗1.33162k2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3345-1.87%1.13-16.91%0.0299✓1.06932k2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048344-1.87%0.041733-15.29%0.0096✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.047804-1.86%0.04852-0.39%0.1702✗1.21686k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6787.0253-1.85%76.42-13.82%0.0213✓0.85905k2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.3269-1.85%28.16-8.87%0.0458✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.386993-1.85%0.3195-18.97%0.0072✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4086-1.84%5.01-9.07%0.0339✗0.86510k2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6152-1.83%2.56-3.90%0.1501✗1.34584k2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.946398-1.83%0.7932-17.72%0.0329✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1534-1.80%1.9115-12.83%0.0285✓0.7126k2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.7995-1.80%2.3622-17.14%0.0145✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.2307-1.79%33.73-11.03%0.0863✗1.44280k2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.194135-1.79%0.169685-14.16%0.0028✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2139-1.79%0.976-21.04%0.0806✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.051-1.78%0.93-13.08%0.0873✓0.27286k2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,427.37-1.77%37,994.00-12.04%0.0179✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.6154-1.77%16.4-13.46%0.0300✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012094-1.76%0.012-2.52%0.0878✗0.7512k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.736851-1.75%0.6-20.00%0.0145✓1.72995k2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.5934-1.74%6.77+0.89%0.1175✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.479-1.73%1.274-15.35%0.0053✓1.12931k2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041215-1.73%0.03834-8.58%0.0557✗1.0029k2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.302678-1.73%0.268-12.99%0.0459✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017654-1.70%0.01158-35.52%0.2232✓1.5512.5M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.10627-1.69%0.0935-13.51%0.0032✓0.9740k2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68116.677-1.69%109.5-7.74%0.0823✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8052-1.68%1.725-6.05%0.0667✗0.8776k2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011945-1.67%0.011201-7.80%0.0680✗1.0316k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8291-1.66%1.7-8.60%0.0959✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.6378-1.66%5.615-16.81%0.0120✓1.4027k2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.5198.8388-1.66%85.9-14.54%0.0057✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4016-1.65%1.98-18.92%0.0058✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009523-1.63%0.00866-10.54%0.0664✗1.26546k2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001958-1.61%0.00000177-11.06%0.0150✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4375-1.59%2.085-15.83%0.0368✓0.9321k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.241618-1.54%0.2184-11.00%0.0150✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.86371-1.52%0.762-13.11%0.0396✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83143.6598-1.49%116.88-19.85%0.0328✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.159.9998-1.48%10.23+0.79%0.1083✗0.67928k2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1856-1.46%2.878-10.98%0.0100✓0.87477k2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.29021-1.46%0.2527-14.19%0.0311✗1.32367k2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.8524-1.45%18.4-13.04%0.0591✗1.44325k2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077555-1.44%0.0000689-12.44%0.0232✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.068507-1.43%0.0671-3.45%0.1078✗1.0012k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.687399-1.38%0.649-6.89%0.0805✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.072034-1.32%0.0657-10.00%0.0348✗0.99160k2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.731418-1.32%0.63315-14.57%0.0322✗1.38206k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82112.3256-1.31%98.35-13.59%0.0121✓1.1329.3M2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.3491-1.31%39.76-13.47%0.0066✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74114.2353-1.30%110.5-4.53%0.0931✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.090938-1.29%0.08764-4.87%0.0998✗1.0745k2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6942-1.28%1.8793+9.50%0.2331✗1.0172k2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.1798-1.24%13.71-10.80%0.0887✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31168.2482-1.21%157.95-7.26%0.0642✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.010249-1.17%0.00883-14.85%0.0112✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.4398-1.15%17.761-14.10%0.0119✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5284-1.09%6.17-6.52%0.0091✓0.511.1M2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,687.09-1.04%37,523.40-13.01%0.0038✓0.9846k2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1531-0.94%1.085-6.79%0.0944✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0914-0.90%2.8817-7.63%0.0428✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.2677-0.86%26.15-14.35%0.0069✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025568-0.86%0.00002279-11.63%0.0442✗1.243.8M2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.234214-0.76%0.231-2.12%0.0956✗0.8559k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8976-0.48%5.3807-9.20%0.0521✓0.31385k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.566991-0.46%0.6711+17.82%0.3384✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.133638+0.14%0.116934-12.38%0.0124✗0.943.7M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.062081+0.48%0.058556-5.23%0.0404✓0.77286k2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.