2022-01-14 · +7d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0353

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-11.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.7%

in alpha space · 92.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-15.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067658	0.068564	+1.34%	0.061109	-9.68%	0.0453	✓	0.96	552k	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.28	26.6041	+1.23%	17.88	-31.96%	0.0891	✗	1.84	4.1M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.92	2.9349	+0.51%	2.29	-21.58%	0.0376	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9779	0.981432	+0.36%	0.5186	-46.97%	0.4698	✗	1.01	3.0M	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.079	0.079271	+0.34%	0.0417	-47.22%	0.4752	✗	1.00	27.8M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7763	+0.17%	3.5345	-6.24%	0.0767	✗	-0.06	364k	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01389	0.013897	+0.05%	0.01002	-27.86%	0.1204	✗	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.366	0.364609	-0.38%	0.271	-25.96%	0.1692	✓	0.76	43k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.98	31.8565	-0.39%	25.95	-18.86%	0.0274	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003084	0.000030713	-0.41%	0.00002226	-27.82%	0.0960	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4707	1.4644	-0.43%	0.8678	-40.99%	0.2033	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.183317	0.182529	-0.43%	0.142057	-22.51%	0.0667	✓	1.10	5.4M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.055	1.0502	-0.46%	0.764	-27.58%	0.1558	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.17	145.4161	-0.52%	112.32	-23.16%	0.0698	✓	1.13	177.1M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009702	0.000096498	-0.54%	0.00007968	-17.87%	0.0222	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.39	164.3758	-0.61%	114.44	-30.81%	0.2064	✓	0.93	6.9M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.08	19.9463	-0.67%	16.808	-16.29%	0.0983	✗	1.61	11.0M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.7	29.4977	-0.68%	21.23	-28.52%	0.0709	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.521	0.517376	-0.70%	0.352	-32.44%	0.1680	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,294.10	42,984.97	-0.71%	36,607.80	-15.44%	0.0040	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0526	1.0448	-0.74%	0.81011	-23.04%	0.0440	✗	1.78	974k	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,090.72	42,772.96	-0.74%	36,456.94	-15.39%	0.0074	✓	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7491	-0.75%	2	-27.80%	0.0969	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1392	0.138147	-0.76%	0.0939	-32.54%	0.1718	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.308	1.2981	-0.76%	0.984	-24.77%	0.0508	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3693	-0.78%	0.97	-29.71%	0.0653	✓	1.67	569k	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.7	73.1217	-0.78%	58.39	-20.77%	0.0455	✓	1.07	6.2M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.509	1.4967	-0.82%	1.209	-19.88%	0.0148	✗	1.37	4.4M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.8	53.3377	-0.86%	38.94	-27.62%	0.0652	✓	1.49	667k	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7107	0.704542	-0.87%	0.5619	-20.94%	0.0116	✓	1.28	3.7M	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.1658	-0.89%	23.31	-17.98%	0.0703	✓	0.71	360k	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.269	4.2308	-0.90%	3.392	-20.54%	0.0872	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.91	7.8389	-0.90%	6.31	-20.23%	0.1114	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.72	29.452	-0.90%	21.98	-26.04%	0.1112	✓	1.09	15.5M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2988	1.2869	-0.91%	0.91734	-29.37%	0.1637	✓	1.05	3.0M	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0924	2.0729	-0.93%	1.6672	-20.32%	0.0325	✓	1.11	95k	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.55	3.5163	-0.95%	2.71	-23.66%	0.0286	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.68	6.6163	-0.95%	5.64	-15.57%	0.0491	✓	0.66	602k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10933	0.108274	-0.97%	0.08324	-23.86%	0.0725	✓	1.14	23k	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	142.55	141.1604	-0.97%	102.35	-28.20%	0.1044	✓	1.30	10.9M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028431	0.028154	-0.97%	0.022082	-22.33%	0.0713	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.853	1.8349	-0.98%	1.445	-22.02%	0.0463	✓	1.15	2.2M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	7.9603	-0.99%	6.56	-18.41%	0.0651	✓	0.77	737k	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5792	0.573406	-1.00%	0.4366	-24.62%	0.0546	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02049	0.020278	-1.03%	0.016171	-21.08%	0.0202	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1511	3.1181	-1.05%	2.3265	-26.17%	0.1017	✓	1.14	699k	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.845	3.8041	-1.06%	3.168	-17.61%	0.0648	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059654	0.059018	-1.07%	0.041641	-30.20%	0.1479	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,310.45	3,274.48	-1.09%	2,569.01	-22.40%	0.0636	✓	1.07	556.2M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3291	0.325503	-1.09%	0.2396	-27.20%	0.1351	✓	1.02	397k	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1754	0.173456	-1.11%	0.1206	-31.24%	0.1522	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.65	381.2762	-1.13%	315.04	-18.31%	0.0211	✓	1.02	7.6M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.92	7.8302	-1.13%	5.68	-28.28%	0.1740	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0813	0.08035	-1.17%	0.0634	-22.02%	0.0518	✓	1.11	19k	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0707	0.069866	-1.18%	0.05552	-21.47%	0.0250	✓	1.23	16.4M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.73	44.1844	-1.22%	38.52	-13.88%	0.0480	✗	1.11	21.6M	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.015	0.014816	-1.23%	0.01111	-25.93%	0.0686	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.59	187.1683	-1.28%	139.37	-26.49%	0.1002	✓	1.16	149k	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.265375	0.261979	-1.28%	0.202862	-23.56%	0.0820	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.113	0.111547	-1.29%	0.0834	-26.19%	0.1036	✓	1.12	303k	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.12	139.2922	-1.30%	105.73	-25.08%	0.0748	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2931	1.276	-1.32%	1.1211	-13.30%	0.0629	✗	1.15	95.6M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	224.05	221.0789	-1.33%	171.09	-23.64%	0.0593	✓	1.18	17.6M	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1223	1.1074	-1.33%	0.857	-23.64%	0.0895	✓	1.00	23.2M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3463	4.2885	-1.33%	3.555	-18.21%	0.0234	✗	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.76	27.3909	-1.33%	19.67	-29.14%	0.1062	✓	1.35	64.3M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.87	15.6581	-1.34%	12.63	-20.42%	0.0025	✓	1.30	12.4M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.085345	-1.34%	0.0619	-28.44%	0.0878	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3321	0.327657	-1.34%	0.2523	-24.03%	0.0470	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.29	20.017	-1.35%	15.55	-23.36%	0.0770	✓	1.05	958k	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.757	7.6522	-1.35%	5.957	-23.20%	0.1355	✓	0.69	192k	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0305	1.0165	-1.36%	0.6747	-34.53%	0.1756	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	144.84	142.8539	-1.37%	114.51	-20.94%	0.0076	✓	1.37	32.2M	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08072	0.079597	-1.39%	0.05388	-33.25%	0.1528	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1798	0.177293	-1.39%	0.1474	-18.02%	0.0322	✓	0.91	432k	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04111	0.040522	-1.43%	0.0303	-26.30%	0.1384	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1929	0.190118	-1.44%	0.1639	-15.03%	0.0352	✓	0.68	464k	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1439	-1.45%	2.46	-22.88%	0.0803	✓	0.99	918k	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0557	0.05489	-1.45%	0.0363	-34.83%	0.1840	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.866	10.7059	-1.47%	7.826	-27.98%	0.2949	✓	0.11	44k	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.22	5.1417	-1.50%	4.17	-20.11%	0.0118	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01434	0.014124	-1.51%	0.0092	-35.84%	0.0330	✓	2.37	26.1M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01666	0.016406	-1.53%	0.01394	-16.33%	0.0413	✓	0.73	24k	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.84	9.6889	-1.54%	6.72	-31.71%	0.3689	✓	-0.02	1.5M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0728	-1.58%	0.73	-33.03%	0.0660	✓	1.91	1.6M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.41	88.9598	-1.60%	66.07	-26.92%	0.1001	✓	1.18	108.4M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.415	2.3762	-1.61%	1.738	-28.03%	0.1259	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.38	2.3414	-1.62%	1.84	-22.69%	0.0639	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.335	0.329456	-1.65%	0.2921	-12.81%	0.1329	✗	1.51	3.8M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.857	2.8092	-1.67%	2.197	-23.10%	0.0949	✓	0.90	26k	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01386	0.013627	-1.68%	0.01044	-24.68%	0.1005	✓	0.99	656k	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.867	4.785	-1.69%	4.12	-15.35%	0.0366	✓	0.68	469k	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	229.78	225.8792	-1.70%	172.82	-24.79%	0.1023	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.748205	0.73544	-1.71%	0.55846	-25.36%	0.0843	✓	1.14	2.5M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	157.2002	154.5096	-1.71%	95	-39.57%	0.2983	✓	1.12	515k	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05342	0.052494	-1.73%	0.03977	-25.55%	0.0943	✓	1.10	19k	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8442	7.7078	-1.74%	6.1225	-21.95%	0.0094	✓	1.43	263k	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.955	2.9032	-1.75%	2.2219	-24.81%	0.0973	✓	1.02	5.2M	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14	13.7533	-1.76%	9.94	-29.00%	0.1335	✓	1.14	3.1M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6069	1.5784	-1.77%	1.1848	-26.27%	0.1397	✓	0.88	502k	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.3322	-1.79%	9.4	-10.65%	0.0316	✗	0.75	955k	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.5	9.3225	-1.87%	6.49	-31.68%	0.2434	✓	0.71	1.0M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3204	3.2583	-1.87%	3.11	-6.34%	0.1525	✗	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	6.8969	-1.89%	4.96	-29.45%	0.1142	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2668	0.261666	-1.92%	0.198	-25.79%	0.0565	✓	1.33	4.0M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		113.04	110.8181	-1.97%	95.68	-15.36%	0.0130	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	281.84	276.2804	-1.97%	213.87	-24.12%	0.0580	✓	1.18	1.4M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.5481	-1.99%	2.45	-32.32%	0.1611	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.39	8.2225	-2.00%	6.6	-21.33%	0.0579	✓	0.97	4.3M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.285	4.1993	-2.00%	3.3417	-22.01%	0.0001	✓	1.37	4.3M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.785472	-2.06%	0.561	-30.05%	0.0878	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.116726	-2.08%	0.097	-18.62%	0.0089	✓	1.05	57k	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09336	0.091416	-2.08%	0.07197	-22.91%	0.1179	✓	0.73	52k	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8128	6.6695	-2.10%	6.243	-8.36%	0.0776	✗	0.86	3.5M	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.673	7.5068	-2.17%	8.351	+8.84%	0.3243	✗	1.30	271k	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.31	1.2814	-2.18%	0.906	-30.84%	0.1131	✓	1.40	4.0M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.46	3.3841	-2.19%	2.9	-16.18%	0.0271	✗	1.09	808k	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.25	35.4298	-2.26%	24.86	-31.42%	0.0767	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3822	1.3463	-2.60%	1.0303	-25.46%	0.0715	✓	1.17	30.5M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.98	10.686	-2.68%	7.97	-27.41%	0.2636	✓	0.18	2.8M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.96	14.5568	-2.70%	13.42	-10.29%	0.0331	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.47	79.2619	-2.71%	64.94	-20.29%	0.0321	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.54	31.6493	-2.74%	24.19	-25.66%	0.0330	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.74	25.0261	-2.77%	17.44	-32.25%	0.1621	✓	1.19	74.2M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.7	5.5407	-2.80%	3.96	-30.53%	0.1513	✓	1.10	2.3M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4198	1.3787	-2.89%	1.4321	+0.87%	0.1828	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0352	5.8543	-3.00%	4.7186	-21.82%	0.0127	✓	1.21	457k	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.372	3.2708	-3.00%	2.795	-17.11%	0.1328	✗	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.083638	0.081091	-3.05%	0.061424	-26.56%	0.1106	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.35	5.1802	-3.17%	3.31	-38.13%	0.2138	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.92	3.7897	-3.32%	4.65	+18.62%	0.3375	✗	0.80	471k	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0647	1.0289	-3.36%	0.8913	-16.29%	0.0255	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.44	38.9964	-3.57%	34.64	-14.34%	0.0399	✗	0.95	86.7M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1356	3.9808	-3.74%	3.2277	-21.95%	0.0832	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6272	0.603253	-3.82%	0.5351	-14.68%	0.1114	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,239.49	30,981.92	-3.90%	25,741.64	-20.15%	0.0738	✓	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7145	0.685254	-4.09%	0.4811	-32.67%	0.1226	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9605	0.91357	-4.89%	0.6365	-33.73%	0.0676	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22239	0.208264	-6.35%	0.16704	-24.89%	0.0459	✓	1.59	5,360	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.