2022-01-08 · +7d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1073

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.28%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.3%

in alpha space · 59.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	28.6397	+3.35%	26.68	-3.72%	0.1321	✗	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-15
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.06748	+3.18%	0.068548	+4.81%	0.0159	✓	0.95	556k	2022-01-15
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.154569	+2.51%	0.184596	+22.42%	0.1411	✓	1.09	4.6M	2022-01-15
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	3.1307	+2.31%	3.25	+6.21%	0.0036	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-01-15
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.4082	+2.26%	1.538	+11.69%	0.0431	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-15
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.2264	+2.22%	1.3528	+12.75%	0.0645	✓	1.01	3.4M	2022-01-15
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000028324	+2.07%	0.00003082	+11.06%	0.0431	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-15
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	71.7127	+2.02%	75.35	+7.20%	0.0151	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-15
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.0915	+2.01%	0.9833	-8.10%	0.1348	✗	0.91	3.7M	2022-01-15
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.014198	+2.00%	0.01388	-0.29%	0.0629	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-15
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	144.8093	+1.86%	147.78	+3.95%	0.0168	✓	1.11	203.4M	2022-01-15
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.9049	+1.82%	32.86	+11.88%	0.0595	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-01-15
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.5515	+1.77%	1.4232	-6.65%	0.1506	✗	1.93	1.3M	2022-01-15
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.134948	+1.69%	0.1398	+5.35%	0.0050	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-15
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.166639	+1.61%	0.1719	+4.82%	0.0101	✓	1.24	4.5M	2022-01-15
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	35.7799	+1.59%	46	+30.61%	0.2152	✓	1.08	20.0M	2022-01-15
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,125.16	+1.45%	3,328.12	+8.04%	0.0278	✓	1.05	619.8M	2022-01-15
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.2477	+1.44%	1.324	+7.64%	0.0151	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-01-15
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.64553	+1.40%	0.7349	+15.44%	0.0879	✓	1.25	4.5M	2022-01-15
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	24.3333	+1.39%	27.64	+15.17%	0.0841	✓	1.30	71.0M	2022-01-15
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.522059	+1.37%	0.534	+3.69%	0.0204	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-15
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.054	+1.34%	1.074	+3.27%	0.0130	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-15
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.4644	+1.30%	3.61	+5.56%	0.0056	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-01-15
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	19.1864	+1.27%	20.344	+7.38%	0.0044	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-15
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	131.1403	+1.26%	147.73	+14.07%	0.0743	✓	1.34	36.2M	2022-01-15
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.082093	+1.22%	0.0869	+7.15%	0.0111	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-01-15
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	84.8256	+1.09%	93.08	+10.93%	0.0546	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-15
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018891	+1.05%	0.020821	+11.37%	0.0567	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-15
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000097327	+1.05%	0.00010109	+4.95%	0.0047	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-01-15
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.1415	+1.02%	2.39	+12.74%	0.0739	✓	1.08	3.6M	2022-01-15
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	4.0342	+0.93%	4.3614	+9.11%	0.0359	✓	1.26	4.4M	2022-01-15
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.578516	+0.93%	0.5948	+3.77%	0.0155	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-15
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1933	+0.89%	1.2922	+9.26%	0.0431	✓	1.10	97.2M	2022-01-15
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	42,054.32	+0.89%	43,098.20	+3.39%	0.0088	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-01-15
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	185.2347	+0.85%	218.2	+18.80%	0.1297	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-01-15
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.315522	+0.84%	0.3248	+3.80%	0.0130	✗	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-15
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.356936	+0.83%	0.379	+7.06%	0.0360	✓	0.72	39k	2022-01-15
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	29.7028	+0.82%	29.69	+0.78%	0.0353	✗	1.05	21.2M	2022-01-15
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	29.0377	+0.69%	30.61	+6.14%	0.0021	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-15
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	375.1032	+0.61%	390.86	+4.83%	0.0073	✓	1.02	8.8M	2022-01-15
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.5889	+0.59%	6.7	+2.29%	0.0045	✓	0.63	686k	2022-01-15
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.746326	+0.58%	0.81	+9.16%	0.0340	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-01-15
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	241.4701	+0.57%	289.7	+20.66%	0.1438	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-15
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	3.0716	+0.57%	3.1231	+2.26%	0.0200	✗	1.10	710k	2022-01-15
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.094932	+0.56%	0.0756	-19.92%	0.2610	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-15
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.7641	+0.51%	2.76	+0.36%	0.0455	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-15
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.889881	+0.51%	1.0618	+19.92%	0.1433	✓	1.00	137k	2022-01-15
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.8893	+0.50%	8.02	+2.17%	0.0039	✓	0.61	788k	2022-01-15
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.8889	+0.48%	3.3546	+16.68%	0.1109	✓	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-15
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.965124	+0.47%	1.0846	+12.91%	0.0701	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-15
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	1.0245	+0.47%	1.0653	+4.47%	0.0203	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-15
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	28.0706	+0.47%	28.79	+3.04%	0.0022	✓	0.69	385k	2022-01-15
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.073503	+0.45%	0.07028	-3.95%	0.0859	✗	1.23	19.5M	2022-01-15
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.029124	+0.41%	0.028908	-0.33%	0.0415	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-15
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.175384	+0.39%	0.1806	+3.38%	0.0012	✓	0.91	490k	2022-01-15
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.074163	+0.36%	0.0805	+8.93%	0.0465	✓	1.07	16k	2022-01-15
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.7865	+0.34%	3.7698	-0.10%	0.0018	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-15
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.8606	+0.30%	7.871	+15.07%	0.0954	✓	1.26	291k	2022-01-15
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.5195	+0.30%	1.6962	+11.96%	0.0816	✓	0.85	663k	2022-01-15
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.6672	+0.28%	3.846	+5.17%	0.0251	✓	0.68	483k	2022-01-15
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	54.5073	+0.27%	55.11	+1.38%	0.0387	✗	1.49	802k	2022-01-15
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.9604	+0.27%	16.49	+10.52%	0.0544	✓	1.29	13.4M	2022-01-15
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8909	+0.26%	1.875	-0.58%	0.0467	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-15
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.014727	+0.25%	0.01441	-1.91%	0.1013	✗	2.38	27.8M	2022-01-15
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	9.4915	+0.23%	9.81	+3.59%	0.0354	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-15
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.8277	+0.23%	8.04	+2.94%	0.0015	✓	0.76	771k	2022-01-15
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.8209	+0.21%	3.34	+18.65%	0.1170	✓	1.56	1.3M	2022-01-15
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0121	+0.21%	1.12	+10.89%	0.0426	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-01-15
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.6048	+0.10%	8.3025	+9.28%	0.0403	✓	1.42	263k	2022-01-15
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.059254	+0.09%	0.0544	-8.11%	0.1301	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-15
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014961	+0.07%	0.01503	+0.54%	0.0386	✗	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-15
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.255248	+0.06%	0.259056	+1.55%	0.0191	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-15
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.575773	+0.05%	0.677	+17.64%	0.1169	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-15
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0761	+0.05%	1.1257	+4.66%	0.0124	✓	0.98	21.4M	2022-01-15
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.2576	+0.03%	2.458	+8.91%	0.0491	✓	1.08	1.8M	2022-01-15
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	212.3546	+0.02%	238.63	+12.39%	0.0780	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-15
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.102455	+0.01%	0.11024	+7.61%	0.0358	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-15
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.013261	+0.01%	0.01405	+5.96%	0.0252	✓	0.98	764k	2022-01-15
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0509	-0.00%	2.089	+1.86%	0.0185	✓	1.11	90k	2022-01-15
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	5.0194	-0.01%	5.28	+5.18%	0.0123	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-15
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	143.605	-0.02%	144.36	+0.51%	0.0392	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-01-15
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	8.0837	-0.05%	8.117	+0.36%	0.0174	✓	0.64	231k	2022-01-15
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.184897	-0.06%	0.1939	+4.81%	0.0259	✗	0.65	441k	2022-01-15
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	8.3931	-0.08%	8.39	-0.12%	0.0302	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-15
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.5168	-0.09%	3.55	+0.85%	0.0316	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-01-15
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.4385	-0.11%	1.38	-4.17%	0.0976	✓	1.68	831k	2022-01-15
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	172.6733	-0.11%	167.6	-3.04%	0.0615	✓	0.95	7.7M	2022-01-15
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.016211	-0.12%	0.01703	+4.93%	0.0266	✗	0.68	30k	2022-01-15
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.8249	-0.13%	11.158	+2.94%	0.0286	✗	0.05	68k	2022-01-15
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	107.1151	-0.15%	112.76	+5.11%	0.0198	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-15
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.111313	-0.17%	0.1141	+2.33%	0.0122	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-15
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.6038	-0.20%	4.944	+7.18%	0.0501	✗	0.63	488k	2022-01-15
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	156.0829	-0.20%	154.3287	-1.32%	0.0483	✓	1.11	560k	2022-01-15
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.314333	-0.24%	0.3416	+8.41%	0.0335	✗	1.49	3.8M	2022-01-15
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	41,785.79	-0.25%	42,685.80	+1.89%	0.0114	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-15
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.706191	-0.31%	0.757762	+6.97%	0.0326	✗	1.14	2.8M	2022-01-15
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	188.7722	-0.32%	192.18	+1.48%	0.0209	✓	1.16	195k	2022-01-15
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	3.9859	-0.37%	4.282	+7.04%	0.0268	✗	1.35	4.7M	2022-01-15
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.733	-0.38%	10.66	+9.11%	0.0665	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-01-15
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.048664	-0.38%	0.05243	+7.33%	0.0370	✗	1.13	16k	2022-01-15
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	3.0567	-0.43%	3.19	+3.91%	0.0099	✗	0.98	977k	2022-01-15
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5304	-0.45%	7.04	+7.32%	0.0320	✗	1.29	18.2M	2022-01-15
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.5909	-0.50%	2.843	+9.18%	0.0630	✗	0.89	33k	2022-01-15
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.9177	-0.52%	2.9986	+2.24%	0.0062	✓	1.01	5.5M	2022-01-15
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.310811	-0.54%	0.3345	+7.04%	0.0402	✗	1.00	293k	2022-01-15
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.043206	-0.58%	0.04139	-4.76%	0.0736	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-15
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.254204	-0.58%	0.2669	+4.38%	0.0048	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-15
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	20.826	-0.59%	20.62	-1.58%	0.0447	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-01-15
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.059483	-0.64%	0.057912	-3.26%	0.0702	✓	1.30	7.3M	2022-01-15
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.2733	-0.69%	4.222	-1.88%	0.0382	✓	0.78	942k	2022-01-15
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.3186	-0.72%	6.757	+26.13%	0.1996	✗	1.19	457k	2022-01-15
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.8127	-0.77%	14.16	+1.72%	0.0131	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-15
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.113129	-0.85%	0.1187	+4.03%	0.0132	✗	1.05	69k	2022-01-15
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.1254	-0.87%	7.09	+14.75%	0.1182	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-01-15
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	66.1714	-1.00%	87.55	+30.98%	0.2466	✗	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-15
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8798	-1.02%	5.71	+15.82%	0.1203	✗	1.10	2.1M	2022-01-15
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	9.3435	-1.02%	9.46	+0.21%	0.0098	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-15
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	140.3267	-1.03%	141.33	-0.32%	0.0342	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-15
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.2055	-1.06%	3.5	+8.02%	0.0534	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-15
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	14.0731	-1.17%	15.07	+5.83%	0.0465	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-15
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.5546	-1.20%	5.28	+14.53%	0.1009	✗	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-15
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.7526	-1.21%	8.47	-4.40%	0.0646	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-01-15
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.075672	-1.34%	0.087032	+13.47%	0.1065	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-15
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.7573	-1.38%	5.09	+33.60%	0.2802	✗	0.70	848k	2022-01-15
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	10.5857	-1.62%	11.13	+3.44%	0.0465	✗	0.11	2.8M	2022-01-15
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.090783	-1.65%	0.09328	+1.05%	0.0042	✓	0.69	52k	2022-01-15
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.3623	-1.67%	1.3785	-0.50%	0.0262	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-01-15
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.2983	-1.70%	1.3273	+0.49%	0.0244	✓	1.39	4.8M	2022-01-15
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	34.3839	-1.76%	36.22	+3.49%	0.0023	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-15
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.6474	-2.09%	4.1369	+11.05%	0.1010	✗	0.75	4,332	2022-01-15
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.171965	-2.64%	0.20848	+18.04%	0.1401	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-01-15
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	32.0309	-2.64%	32.55	-1.06%	0.0305	✓	1.40	24.8M	2022-01-15
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	24.5773	-2.89%	25.19	-0.47%	0.0155	✓	1.20	69.2M	2022-01-15
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	34.7621	-3.09%	39.16	+9.17%	0.0885	✗	0.92	45.6M	2022-01-15
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.613166	-3.23%	0.8963	+41.46%	0.3206	✗	1.77	40.0M	2022-01-15
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.476761	-3.51%	0.6358	+28.68%	0.2407	✗	1.41	650k	2022-01-15
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	31,935.04	-3.55%	33,487.36	+1.13%	0.0261	✓	0.64	23.0M	2022-01-15
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.095557	-4.73%	0.08027	-19.97%	0.2230	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-01-15
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.4986	-6.46%	1.5259	-4.76%	0.0116	✓	0.89	922k	2022-01-15

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.