8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s0

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
71.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2459
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0231
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002731-0.88%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002743-0.81%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002698-0.79%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002703-0.81%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003039-1.16%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002678-0.65%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002676-0.69%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002723-0.79%0.002755+0.36%0.0128✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002742-0.84%0.002765+0.00%0.0202✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002812-0.80%0.00272-4.06%0.0315✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002728-0.79%0.002725-0.91%0.0023✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.0028-0.87%0.003075+8.85%0.1092✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002815-0.89%0.002695-5.11%0.0289✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002766-0.85%0.002695-3.41%0.0161✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002724-0.76%0.002745+0.00%0.0034✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002867-0.79%0.002765-4.33%0.0209✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002924-0.53%0.002835-3.57%0.0087✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00323-0.62%0.00275-15.38%0.1185✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003119-0.35%0.002825-9.74%0.0670✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003012-0.60%0.00284-6.27%0.0381✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00291-0.70%0.00279-4.78%0.0197✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002993-0.55%0.002745-8.80%0.0510✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002941-0.63%0.00289-2.36%0.0145✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002898-0.58%0.00294+0.86%0.0074✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002982-0.61%0.00325+8.33%0.0614✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003127-0.43%0.00313-0.32%0.0209✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003394-0.77%0.00303-11.40%0.1171✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002884-0.39%0.00293+1.21%0.0112✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002789-0.40%0.00301+7.50%0.0709✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00283-0.34%0.00296+4.23%0.0546✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002946+0.04%0.002915-1.02%0.0185✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002898+0.11%0.003+3.63%0.0719✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002497-0.91%0.00314+24.60%0.1949✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002609-0.80%0.00342+30.04%0.2375✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002874-0.71%0.002895+0.00%0.0280✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002638-0.82%0.0028+5.26%0.0239✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002384-0.65%0.00284+18.33%0.0888✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00244-0.62%0.002945+19.96%0.0729✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002529-0.64%0.002895+13.75%0.0434✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002565-0.58%0.00252-2.33%0.0659✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002687-0.48%0.00263-2.59%0.0663✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002735-0.37%0.002895+5.46%0.0185✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002595-0.38%0.00266+2.11%0.0269✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00285-0.34%0.0024-16.08%0.1483✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002723+0.09%0.002455-9.74%0.0725✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002627+0.06%0.002545-3.05%0.0221✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002681+0.23%0.00258-3.55%0.0008✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00276+0.56%0.0027-1.64%0.0069✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002646+0.42%0.002745+4.17%0.0628✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002899+0.67%0.002605-9.55%0.0599✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002946+0.55%0.00286-2.39%0.0414✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003225+0.48%0.00272-15.26%0.1829✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003037+0.39%0.002625-13.22%0.1524✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002566+0.23%0.002675+4.49%0.0002✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00255+0.21%0.002745+7.86%0.0539✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002789+0.13%0.002635-5.39%0.0795✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002845+0.17%0.00288+1.41%0.0004✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002685+0.01%0.00293+9.12%0.1075✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002705-0.01%0.00321+18.67%0.1847✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002864-0.02%0.003025+5.58%0.0594✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003054-0.04%0.00256-16.20%0.1756✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002949-0.19%0.002545-13.87%0.1624✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003035-0.18%0.002785-8.39%0.0798✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003024-0.54%0.00284-6.58%0.1595✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003074-0.84%0.002685-13.39%0.2901✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00301-0.99%0.002705-11.02%0.3592✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003192-1.18%0.002865-11.30%0.3509✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003003-1.22%0.003055+0.49%0.2276✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003041-1.26%0.002955-4.06%0.2550✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002891-1.17%0.00304+3.93%0.1944✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002889-1.24%0.00304+3.93%0.1167✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003142-1.51%0.0031-2.82%0.0968✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002903-1.43%0.00304+3.23%0.0331✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003363-1.82%0.00323-5.69%0.0420✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002986-1.78%0.00304+0.00%0.0201✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003031-1.91%0.00308-0.32%0.0162✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003243-2.03%0.002925-11.63%0.1028✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003635-2.41%0.002925-21.48%0.2165✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004666-6.30%0.00319-35.94%0.3795✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002962-0.95%0.002945-1.51%0.0068✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003145-1.11%0.003425+7.70%0.0863✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003251-1.20%0.00304-7.60%0.0644✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.00322-0.94%0.00309-4.92%0.0357✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003123-0.23%0.00331+5.75%0.0635✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003187-0.86%0.003725+15.86%0.1546✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003407-1.24%0.00498+44.35%0.3820✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003584-1.26%0.00299-17.63%0.1805✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003607-1.17%0.00318-12.88%0.1268✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003728-1.37%0.00329-12.96%0.1324✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00365-1.21%0.00325-12.04%0.1219✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003651-1.07%0.00313-15.18%0.1573✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003782-1.37%0.003215-16.17%0.1637✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003937-1.58%0.00345-13.75%0.1398✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003914-1.66%0.00363-8.79%0.0849✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003825-1.43%0.00365-5.93%0.0516✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004052-1.42%0.00378-8.03%0.0673✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.00401-1.36%0.003695-9.10%0.0833✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004165-1.18%0.00369-12.46%0.1206✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004275-1.04%0.003835-11.23%0.1050✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004461-1.53%0.004-11.70%0.1034✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003665-0.68%0.00398+7.86%0.0881✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004115+0.37%0.00388-5.37%0.0544✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004226-0.45%0.00411-3.18%0.0260✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004333-0.51%0.004065-6.66%0.0587✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004665-1.17%0.004215-10.70%0.1025✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005278-0.97%0.00432-18.95%0.1981✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004924+0.08%0.00453-7.93%0.0736✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006154-1.38%0.00369-40.87%0.5015✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007336-1.27%0.0041-44.82%0.5931✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008008-1.26%0.004245-47.66%0.6342✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007699-1.29%0.004355-44.17%0.5676✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008154-1.34%0.00472-42.89%0.5415✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008437-1.43%0.00533-37.73%0.4544✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007818-1.16%0.00492-37.80%0.4542✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00848-1.39%0.00624-27.44%0.2941✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008918-1.89%0.00743-18.26%0.1694✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007073-0.52%0.00811+14.06%0.1559✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007745-0.96%0.0078-0.26%0.0228✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008009-1.13%0.008265+2.04%0.0438✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007908-1.08%0.00856+7.07%0.0880✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00779-1.14%0.00791+0.38%0.0117✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008465-1.69%0.0086-0.12%0.0028✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008797-2.15%0.00909+1.11%0.0137✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008508-2.09%0.00711-18.18%0.1990✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009266-2.77%0.00782-17.94%0.1925✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008902-2.66%0.0081-11.43%0.1127✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008698-2.60%0.007995-10.47%0.1002✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009405-3.14%0.00788-18.85%0.1971✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009808-3.65%0.00861-15.42%0.1457✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009233-3.42%0.00899-5.96%0.0364✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008181-2.60%0.00869+3.45%0.0482✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009129-3.60%0.00953+0.63%0.0422✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007397-1.25%0.009145+22.10%0.2119✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007326-1.00%0.00893+20.68%0.1943✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007523-0.22%0.00971+28.78%0.2705✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006638+1.66%0.01018+55.90%0.4469✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007212+0.17%0.00956+32.78%0.3007✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007748-1.05%0.0084+7.28%0.0983✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008049-0.39%0.00947+17.20%0.1898✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007912+0.28%0.00749-5.07%0.0377✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008662-2.01%0.0074-16.29%0.1596✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00888-2.31%0.00754-17.05%0.1787✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009435-3.23%0.00653-33.03%0.3909✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011918-4.89%0.0072-42.54%0.6477✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009024-3.84%0.00783-16.57%0.2775✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008551-4.03%0.00808-9.32%0.2213✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010419-5.28%0.00789-28.27%0.4200✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007079-2.89%0.00884+21.26%0.1231✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007295-3.05%0.00909+20.80%0.1232✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007391-3.63%0.00975+27.12%0.1887✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008639-3.26%0.01253+40.31%0.3467✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009684-2.82%0.009385-5.82%0.0436✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010381-2.53%0.00891-16.34%0.1575✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011892-2.32%0.011-9.65%0.0800✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013445-2.79%0.00729-47.29%0.6207✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012823-2.93%0.007525-43.04%0.5388✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017054-3.68%0.00767-56.68%0.8000✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019198-6.58%0.00893-56.55%0.7659✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016486-5.47%0.009965-42.86%0.5018✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016875-7.38%0.01065-41.55%0.4548✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020223-10.87%0.012175-46.34%0.4963✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015296-11.02%0.01383-19.55%0.0823✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.01874-14.11%0.01321-39.46%0.3397✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006027-11.18%0.017705+160.94%1.1312✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004183-4.92%0.02055+367.05%1.6722✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.00241-1.21%0.01744+614.75%2.0683✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002397-1.34%0.01822+649.79%2.0753✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002343-1.57%0.02269+853.36%2.2925✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002232-1.66%0.01719+657.27%2.0210✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002193-2.08%0.02182+874.11%2.3398✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002312-1.82%0.006785+188.11%1.0816✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002253-2.06%0.0044+91.30%0.6472✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002371-1.61%0.00244+1.24%0.0151✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002438-1.70%0.00243-2.02%0.0271✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002378-1.74%0.00238-1.65%0.0228✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002609-1.34%0.00227-14.18%0.1859✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002708-1.34%0.00224-18.40%0.2610✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00291-1.34%0.002355-20.17%0.2691✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002874-1.57%0.0023-21.23%0.2543✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.00306-1.92%0.00241-22.76%0.2373✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002665-3.07%0.00248-9.82%0.0849✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00322-1.53%0.00242-25.99%0.2953✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003305-1.63%0.002645-21.28%0.1980✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003393-1.51%0.002745-20.32%0.1809✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003211-1.80%0.00295-9.79%0.0845✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003502-1.64%0.00292-17.98%0.2003✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003483-1.75%0.00312-11.99%0.1704✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003412-1.82%0.00275-20.86%0.2401✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003451-2.23%0.00327-7.37%0.0586✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003765-1.96%0.00336-12.50%0.1548✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003535-1.95%0.003445-4.44%0.0700✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003506-2.07%0.00327-8.66%0.0985✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003449-2.58%0.00356+0.56%0.0129✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003931-2.10%0.003545-11.71%0.1498✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004019-2.33%0.003475-15.55%0.1854✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003951-2.33%0.00353-12.73%0.1738✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.00377-2.09%0.00384-0.26%0.0320✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003944-2.13%0.003605-10.55%0.1466✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004247-2.48%0.00358-17.80%0.2050✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003741-1.17%0.00354-6.47%0.1339✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.004018-1.76%0.004015-1.83%0.0260✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.004121-1.88%0.004115-2.02%0.0848✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004074-1.22%0.004045-1.94%0.0939✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.00406-0.86%0.00385-5.98%0.1239✓1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004136-1.05%0.00403-3.59%0.0693✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004202-0.91%0.004355+2.71%0.0175✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004096-0.11%0.003785-7.68%0.1098✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.004109+0.46%0.00409+0.00%0.0489✗0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.004292+0.52%0.0042-1.64%0.0360✗0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.00452+0.46%0.004125-8.33%0.1005✗0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.004822-0.17%0.004095-15.22%0.1359✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004802-0.37%0.00418-13.28%0.0909✓1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004904-0.32%0.00424-13.82%0.1108✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.005148-0.82%0.0041-21.00%0.1649✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.005088-0.43%0.00409-19.96%0.1896✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.005236-1.01%0.00427-19.28%0.1645✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.005363-1.41%0.0045-17.28%0.1119✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.005224-1.44%0.00483-8.87%0.0612✓1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005782-2.16%0.00482-18.44%0.1829✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.00589-3.28%0.00492-19.21%0.1293✓1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.00561-4.92%0.00519-12.03%0.0172✓1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005528-5.83%0.00511-12.95%0.0020✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005431-7.01%0.00529-9.42%0.0088✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005399-8.96%0.00544-8.26%0.0143✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005129-12.17%0.0053-9.25%0.0419✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.004977-15.21%0.00591+0.68%0.1565✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.005177-16.23%0.00609-1.46%0.1051✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.006403-9.82%0.0059-16.90%0.1787✓1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.006884-6.72%0.00587-20.46%0.2659✓1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.007625-5.51%0.00584-27.63%0.3287✓1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008225-5.03%0.00593-31.52%0.3712✓1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.009888-3.44%0.00584-42.97%0.5215✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012547-3.11%0.00587-54.67%0.7249✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.01613-1.16%0.00618-62.13%0.9829✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.018312-1.76%0.0071-61.91%0.9417✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018721-1.05%0.00738-60.99%0.9339✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.020708-1.72%0.00807-61.70%0.9467✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.019514-1.09%0.00866-56.11%0.8460✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.021006-1.66%0.01024-52.06%0.7676✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.018969-2.67%0.01295-33.56%0.4484✓1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.013965-6.65%0.01632+9.09%0.0914✗1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.016662-4.24%0.01864+7.13%0.0491✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.018708-5.13%0.01892-4.06%0.0390✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.019491-5.79%0.02107+1.84%0.0925✗1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.017205-13.28%0.01973-0.55%0.1687✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.014013-24.87%0.02136+14.53%0.4139✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.011507-36.22%0.01949+8.04%0.5036✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.032272+1.93%0.01496-52.75%0.7171✗1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.041814+1.03%0.0174-57.96%0.8133✗1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.044976+1.00%0.01972-55.72%0.8073✗1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.046802+0.54%0.02069-55.55%0.7897✗1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.049131+0.80%0.01984-59.29%0.8947✗1.00