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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s0

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0793
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0053
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002729-0.20%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002714-0.22%0.002735+0.55%0.0107✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002717-0.30%0.00272-0.18%0.0125✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003057-0.57%0.002725-11.38%0.1130✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002691-0.13%0.003075+14.10%0.1257✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002691-0.15%0.002695+0.00%0.0029✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.00274-0.19%0.002695-1.82%0.0091✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002759-0.20%0.002745-0.72%0.0118✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.00283-0.16%0.002765-2.47%0.0051✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002746-0.14%0.002835+3.09%0.0165✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00282-0.17%0.00275-2.65%0.0070✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002835-0.16%0.002825-0.53%0.0109✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002786-0.13%0.00284+1.79%0.0156✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002743-0.09%0.00279+1.64%0.0089✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002885-0.16%0.002745-5.02%0.0357✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002938-0.07%0.00289-1.70%0.0044✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003244-0.20%0.00294-9.54%0.0961✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003128-0.07%0.00325+3.83%0.0468✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003025-0.15%0.00313+3.30%0.0146✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002923-0.23%0.00303+3.41%0.0332✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003007-0.10%0.00293-2.66%0.0222✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002957-0.09%0.00301+1.69%0.0035✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002912-0.09%0.00296+1.54%0.0172✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002995-0.16%0.002915-2.83%0.0291✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003136-0.13%0.003-4.46%0.0333✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003407-0.38%0.00314-8.19%0.0822✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002893-0.07%0.00342+18.13%0.1636✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002798-0.07%0.002895+3.39%0.0376✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002838-0.07%0.0028-1.41%0.0136✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002944-0.05%0.00284-3.57%0.0152✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002892-0.09%0.002945+1.73%0.0227✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002515-0.19%0.002895+14.88%0.0850✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002625-0.20%0.00252-4.18%0.0399✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002887-0.28%0.00263-9.15%0.0972✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002654-0.22%0.002895+8.83%0.0389✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002398-0.09%0.00266+10.83%0.1015✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002453-0.08%0.0024-2.24%0.0283✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002542-0.10%0.002455-3.54%0.0047✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002578-0.07%0.002545-1.36%0.0284✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002698-0.08%0.00258-4.44%0.0393✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002743-0.09%0.0027-1.64%0.0163✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002602-0.12%0.002745+5.37%0.0457✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002849-0.40%0.002605-8.92%0.0701✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002722+0.07%0.00286+5.15%0.0513✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002628+0.10%0.00272+3.62%0.0412✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002678+0.13%0.002625-1.87%0.0065✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002751+0.22%0.002675-2.55%0.0337✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.00264+0.21%0.002745+4.17%0.0372✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002884+0.14%0.002635-8.51%0.0748✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002933+0.10%0.00288-1.71%0.0648✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003205-0.16%0.00293-8.72%0.0886✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003021-0.15%0.00321+6.12%0.0757✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002564+0.17%0.003025+18.16%0.1510✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002549+0.16%0.00256+0.59%0.0114✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002787+0.08%0.002545-8.62%0.0958✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.00284+0.02%0.002785-1.94%0.0103✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002685+0.01%0.00284+5.77%0.0416✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002704-0.05%0.002685-0.74%0.0128✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002864-0.04%0.002705-5.58%0.0518✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003053-0.07%0.002865-6.22%0.0794✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002951-0.12%0.003055+3.38%0.0260✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003033-0.22%0.002955-2.80%0.0102✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003033-0.23%0.00304+0.00%0.0694✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003094-0.20%0.00304-1.94%0.0790✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003033-0.23%0.0031+1.97%0.0679✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.00322-0.30%0.00304-5.88%0.0614✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003031-0.30%0.00323+6.25%0.0340✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003071-0.29%0.00304-1.30%0.0069✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002918-0.23%0.00308+5.30%0.0531✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002918-0.23%0.002925+0.00%0.0107✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003179-0.33%0.002925-8.31%0.0836✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002937-0.26%0.00319+8.32%0.0839✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003411-0.42%0.002945-14.01%0.1456✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00303-0.34%0.003425+12.66%0.1236✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003078-0.39%0.00304-1.62%0.0124✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003293-0.51%0.00309-6.65%0.0637✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003691-0.92%0.00331-11.14%0.1095✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004816-3.30%0.003725-25.20%0.2566✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002988-0.07%0.00498+66.56%0.5121✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003175-0.14%0.00299-5.97%0.0589✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003284-0.19%0.00318-3.34%0.0322✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003248-0.07%0.00329+1.23%0.0148✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003136+0.19%0.00325+3.83%0.0356✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003215-0.00%0.00313-2.64%0.0323✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003444-0.16%0.003215-6.81%0.0659✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003623-0.20%0.00345-4.96%0.0486✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003644-0.17%0.00363-0.55%0.0032✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00377-0.26%0.00365-3.44%0.0390✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003688-0.18%0.00378+2.30%0.0284✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003686-0.12%0.003695+0.14%0.0031✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003826-0.24%0.00369-3.78%0.0394✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003987-0.32%0.003835-4.13%0.0426✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003967-0.32%0.004+0.50%0.0067✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003872-0.20%0.00398+2.58%0.0315✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004101-0.23%0.00388-5.60%0.0536✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004058-0.17%0.00411+1.11%0.0124✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004209-0.14%0.004065-3.56%0.0322✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004316-0.09%0.004215-2.43%0.0234✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004519-0.25%0.00432-4.64%0.0490✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003697+0.18%0.00453+22.76%0.2023✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004117+0.41%0.00369-10.00%0.1053✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004254+0.22%0.0041-3.42%0.0399✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004365+0.22%0.004245-2.53%0.0280✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004722+0.05%0.004355-7.73%0.0826✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005333+0.05%0.00472-11.44%0.1185✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004939+0.39%0.00533+8.33%0.0799✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00623-0.16%0.00492-21.15%0.2428✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007411-0.26%0.00624-16.02%0.1763✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008087-0.28%0.00743-8.38%0.0834✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007778-0.28%0.00811+3.97%0.0433✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008239-0.31%0.0078-5.63%0.0530✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00853-0.35%0.008265-3.45%0.0285✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007891-0.24%0.00856+8.22%0.0874✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008571-0.34%0.00791-8.02%0.0764✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00904-0.55%0.0086-5.39%0.0558✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007113+0.04%0.00909+27.85%0.2485✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007808-0.15%0.00711-9.08%0.0960✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008083-0.21%0.00782-3.46%0.0334✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.00798-0.19%0.0081+1.31%0.0165✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007865-0.19%0.007995+1.46%0.0119✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008578-0.37%0.00788-8.48%0.0922✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008945-0.50%0.00861-4.23%0.0446✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008648-0.48%0.00899+3.45%0.0423✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009466-0.67%0.00869-8.81%0.0907✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009089-0.62%0.00953+4.21%0.0512✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008878-0.59%0.009145+2.41%0.0326✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009632-0.80%0.00893-8.03%0.0847✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010073-1.05%0.00971-4.62%0.0427✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009462-1.02%0.01018+6.49%0.0704✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008347-0.64%0.00956+13.81%0.1385✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009373-1.02%0.0084-11.30%0.1049✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007478-0.17%0.00947+26.44%0.2408✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007396-0.06%0.00749+1.22%0.0126✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007553+0.18%0.0074-1.86%0.0096✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006576+0.71%0.00754+15.47%0.1356✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007226+0.36%0.00653-9.31%0.1096✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007834+0.06%0.0072-8.05%0.0862✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008101+0.26%0.00783-3.09%0.0152✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007926+0.46%0.00808+2.41%0.0179✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008828-0.13%0.00789-10.75%0.1374✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00907-0.22%0.00884-2.75%0.0270✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.00969-0.62%0.00909-6.77%0.0757✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012286-1.94%0.00975-22.19%0.3102✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009305-0.86%0.01253+33.51%0.2695✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.00883-0.90%0.009385+5.33%0.0587✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010766-2.13%0.00891-19.00%0.1850✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007275-0.21%0.011+50.89%0.4121✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007508-0.22%0.00729-3.12%0.0366✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007647-0.30%0.007525-1.89%0.0298✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008901-0.33%0.00767-14.11%0.1547✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009932-0.33%0.00893-10.39%0.1054✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010615-0.33%0.009965-6.43%0.0627✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012121-0.44%0.01065-12.53%0.1282✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013714-0.84%0.012175-11.97%0.1235✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013078-1.00%0.01383+4.69%0.0560✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017389-1.79%0.01321-25.39%0.2741✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019676-4.25%0.017705-13.84%0.1052✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016845-3.41%0.02055+17.83%0.2006✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.0173-5.05%0.01744-4.28%0.0107✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020975-7.56%0.01822-19.70%0.1379✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.01588-7.62%0.02269+32.00%0.3674✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019759-9.45%0.01719-21.22%0.1489✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00628-7.44%0.02182+221.59%1.2624✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004252-3.36%0.006785+54.20%0.4877✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002434-0.26%0.0044+80.33%0.6007✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002423-0.29%0.00244+0.41%0.0208✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002371-0.40%0.00243+2.10%0.0158✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002263-0.29%0.00238+4.85%0.0468✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002231-0.42%0.00227+1.34%0.0457✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002346-0.36%0.00224-4.88%0.0527✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00229-0.45%0.002355+2.39%0.0155✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002404-0.27%0.0023-4.56%0.0598✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002472-0.33%0.00241-2.82%0.0238✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002414-0.26%0.00248+2.48%0.0216✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00264-0.20%0.00242-8.51%0.1114✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002738-0.24%0.002645-3.64%0.0419✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002942-0.28%0.002745-6.95%0.0619✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002908-0.42%0.00295+1.03%0.0280✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003092-0.89%0.00292-6.41%0.0407✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002716-1.25%0.00312+13.45%0.1261✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003259-0.35%0.00275-15.90%0.1721✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003345-0.44%0.00327-2.68%0.0125✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003434-0.32%0.00336-2.47%0.0227✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003257-0.39%0.003445+5.35%0.0331✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003546-0.39%0.00327-8.15%0.0871✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003528-0.49%0.00356+0.42%0.0168✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003459-0.46%0.003545+2.01%0.0496✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003502-0.80%0.003475-1.56%0.0100✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003819-0.56%0.00353-8.07%0.1043✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003588-0.47%0.00384+6.52%0.0635✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003561-0.54%0.003605+0.70%0.0035✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003509-0.87%0.00358+1.13%0.0236✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003997-0.44%0.00354-11.83%0.1772✓1.10
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