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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s0

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
73.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5720
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0811
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002678-2.08%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002671-1.81%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002682-1.60%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003024-1.67%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002632-2.35%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.00263-2.41%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002678-2.45%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002694-2.56%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002769-2.35%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002678-2.60%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002753-2.53%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002765-2.64%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002715-2.69%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002671-2.69%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002827-2.18%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002894-1.57%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003213-1.14%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003102-0.90%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002989-1.37%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002892-1.29%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002961-1.64%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002905-1.86%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002869-1.58%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002963-1.23%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003117-0.72%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003393-0.79%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002864-1.08%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002772-1.02%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002821-0.65%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002971+0.88%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002944+1.70%0.002735-5.53%0.0271✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002466-2.16%0.00272+7.94%0.0796✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002587-1.65%0.002725+3.61%0.0457✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002869-0.91%0.003075+6.22%0.0569✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002604-2.12%0.002695+1.32%0.0187✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.00234-2.51%0.002695+12.29%0.0844✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002394-2.49%0.002745+11.81%0.0640✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002486-2.30%0.002765+8.64%0.0681✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00252-2.32%0.002835+9.88%0.0490✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002648-1.93%0.00275+1.85%0.0126✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002704-1.49%0.002825+2.91%0.0229✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002567-1.46%0.00284+9.02%0.0288✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002864+0.12%0.00279-2.45%0.0713✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002678-1.54%0.002745+0.92%0.0090✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002569-2.12%0.00289+10.10%0.0755✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002635-1.48%0.00294+9.91%0.0548✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00273-0.54%0.00325+18.40%0.1110✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002614-0.81%0.00313+18.79%0.1119✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002924+1.53%0.00303+5.21%0.0027✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002962+1.09%0.00293+0.00%0.0940✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003303+2.91%0.00301-6.23%0.1784✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003101+2.53%0.00296-2.15%0.1078✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002526-1.34%0.002915+13.87%0.0518✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00252-0.97%0.003+17.88%0.1113✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002776-0.33%0.00314+12.75%0.0435✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002874+1.21%0.00342+20.42%0.1248✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002706+0.78%0.002895+7.82%0.0102✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002746+1.53%0.0028+3.51%0.0473✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002908+1.48%0.00284-0.87%0.0839✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003104+1.62%0.002945-3.60%0.1558✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003+1.52%0.002895-2.03%0.1500✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003115+2.47%0.00252-17.11%0.2466✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003058+0.59%0.00263-13.49%0.2597✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003051-1.58%0.002895-6.61%0.2346✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00296-2.64%0.00266-12.50%0.3225✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003133-3.02%0.0024-25.70%0.4655✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002939-3.33%0.002455-19.24%0.3923✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002976-3.39%0.002545-17.37%0.3989✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002823-3.48%0.00258-11.79%0.3128✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002817-3.68%0.0027-7.69%0.2777✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003062-4.02%0.002745-13.95%0.2942✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002821-4.23%0.002605-11.54%0.2155✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003265-4.67%0.00286-16.50%0.1744✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002892-4.88%0.00272-10.53%0.0739✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002932-5.10%0.002625-15.05%0.1115✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003147-4.92%0.002675-19.18%0.1650✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003548-4.75%0.002745-26.31%0.2709✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004473-10.18%0.002635-47.09%0.5385✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00285-4.69%0.00288-3.68%0.0457✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00303-4.72%0.00293-7.86%0.0061✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003134-4.76%0.00321-2.43%0.0488✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003081-5.21%0.003025-6.92%0.0175✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002968-5.17%0.00256-18.21%0.1136✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003041-5.40%0.002545-20.84%0.1426✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003266-5.33%0.002785-19.28%0.1137✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003458-4.75%0.00284-21.76%0.1423✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003481-4.63%0.002685-26.44%0.2116✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003616-4.33%0.002705-28.44%0.2428✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003525-4.60%0.002865-22.46%0.1583✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00352-4.60%0.003055-17.21%0.1084✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003659-4.58%0.002955-22.95%0.1768✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003819-4.51%0.00304-24.00%0.1889✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003789-4.81%0.00304-23.62%0.1984✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.00368-5.16%0.0031-20.10%0.1590✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003909-4.90%0.00304-26.03%0.2514✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003854-5.20%0.00323-20.54%0.1775✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003999-5.13%0.00304-27.88%0.2774✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004098-5.13%0.00308-28.70%0.2877✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004272-5.70%0.002925-35.43%0.3862✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003437-6.85%0.002925-20.73%0.1672✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003856-5.96%0.00319-22.20%0.1878✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.003973-6.40%0.002945-30.62%0.2999✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004068-6.59%0.003425-21.35%0.1714✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004383-7.15%0.00304-35.59%0.3624✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005004-6.11%0.00309-42.03%0.4757✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004616-6.17%0.00331-32.72%0.3222✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005937-4.86%0.003725-40.30%0.4604✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007195-3.16%0.00498-32.97%0.3641✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007867-3.00%0.00299-63.13%0.9659✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007549-3.22%0.00318-59.23%0.8633✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007993-3.29%0.00329-60.19%0.8845✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008254-3.58%0.00325-62.03%0.9282✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007632-3.51%0.00313-60.43%0.8801✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008246-4.12%0.003215-62.62%0.9257✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008659-4.74%0.00345-62.05%0.9074✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006802-4.34%0.00363-48.95%0.6078✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007526-3.76%0.00365-53.32%0.7051✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007782-3.92%0.00378-53.33%0.6967✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007673-4.02%0.003695-53.78%0.7085✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007564-4.01%0.00369-53.17%0.7073✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008211-4.63%0.003835-55.46%0.7510✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008491-5.55%0.004-55.51%0.7424✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008213-5.49%0.00398-54.20%0.7083✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008864-6.99%0.00388-59.29%0.8211✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008516-6.87%0.00411-55.06%0.7224✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008314-6.90%0.004065-54.48%0.7063✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008955-7.78%0.004215-56.59%0.7567✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009309-8.56%0.00432-57.56%0.7772✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00881-7.85%0.00453-52.62%0.6717✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00784-6.67%0.00369-56.07%0.7570✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008645-8.71%0.0041-56.71%0.7543✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007071-5.60%0.004245-43.32%0.5092✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.00697-5.82%0.004355-41.15%0.4691✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.0071-5.84%0.00472-37.40%0.3945✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006171-5.50%0.00533-18.38%0.1390✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006747-6.29%0.00492-31.67%0.3208✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00724-7.53%0.00624-20.31%0.1485✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007467-7.58%0.00743-8.04%0.0190✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007326-7.15%0.00811+2.79%0.1191✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008029-9.17%0.0078-11.76%0.0353✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008211-9.67%0.008265-9.08%0.0023✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008777-9.98%0.00856-12.21%0.0489✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011299-9.82%0.00791-36.87%0.5594✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008408-10.41%0.0086-8.36%0.1837✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007923-11.08%0.00909+2.02%0.0369✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009833-10.61%0.00711-35.36%0.4861✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006401-12.20%0.00782+7.27%0.0575✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006575-12.62%0.0081+7.64%0.0694✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006607-13.86%0.007995+4.24%0.0269✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007875-11.81%0.00788-11.76%0.0739✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008985-9.83%0.00861-13.60%0.0986✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009727-8.67%0.00899-15.59%0.1010✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011278-7.37%0.00869-28.62%0.2736✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012843-7.14%0.00953-31.09%0.3288✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012287-6.99%0.009145-30.77%0.3230✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016544-6.56%0.00893-49.56%0.6327✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018715-8.93%0.00971-52.75%0.6320✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016107-7.64%0.01018-41.63%0.4094✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016469-9.61%0.00956-47.53%0.4959✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019356-14.69%0.0084-62.98%0.7908✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.014609-15.01%0.00947-44.91%0.3381✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.017392-20.29%0.00749-65.67%0.7469✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005711-15.83%0.0074+9.06%0.5261✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004131-6.12%0.00754+71.36%0.9821✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002377-2.58%0.00653+167.62%1.4374✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002356-3.06%0.0072+196.30%1.4782✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002299-3.39%0.00783+228.99%1.5888✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002172-4.32%0.00808+255.95%1.7293✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002127-5.04%0.00789+252.23%1.7688✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002252-4.39%0.00884+275.37%1.5977✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002185-4.98%0.00909+295.22%1.6374✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002304-4.38%0.00975+304.56%1.6009✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002372-4.34%0.01253+405.24%1.7592✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.0023-4.97%0.009385+287.81%1.4654✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002542-3.89%0.00891+236.86%1.2874✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002645-3.63%0.011+300.73%1.4566✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002855-3.23%0.00729+147.12%0.9743✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002827-3.20%0.007525+157.71%1.0191✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003051-2.22%0.00767+145.83%0.9584✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00261-5.09%0.00893+224.73%1.2350✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003159-3.40%0.009965+204.74%1.1550✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003256-3.10%0.01065+216.96%1.2057✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003332-3.28%0.012175+253.41%1.3308✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003134-4.17%0.01383+322.94%1.4698✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003432-3.59%0.01321+271.07%1.3277✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003414-3.69%0.017705+399.44%1.6089✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.00334-3.89%0.02055+491.37%1.8014✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003399-3.71%0.01744+394.05%1.6313✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003687-3.99%0.01822+374.48%1.5589✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003444-4.46%0.02269+529.40%1.8301✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003415-4.62%0.01719+380.17%1.5273✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003362-5.04%0.02182+516.38%1.8072✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.00379-5.61%0.006785+68.99%0.4413✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003874-5.85%0.0044+6.93%0.0020✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003803-5.98%0.00244-39.68%0.5768✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003618-6.01%0.00243-36.88%0.5263✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003779-6.23%0.00238-40.94%0.5952✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004073-6.48%0.00227-47.88%0.7019✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003534-6.62%0.00224-40.82%0.6254✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003778-7.63%0.002355-42.42%0.6331✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003843-8.49%0.0023-45.24%0.6862✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003795-8.00%0.00241-41.58%0.6143✓1.00
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