UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4454

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0399

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.272008	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.272598	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.244655	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.21599	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.22733	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.276782	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.274565	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.269164	-1.90%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0041	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.290393	-2.35%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0405	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.197151	-0.65%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2304	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.232349	-1.68%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0146	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.206964	-0.73%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1482	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.20537	-0.20%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3434	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199469	+0.74%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3282	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.227308	-0.82%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2288	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.239209	-1.81%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2745	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.261062	-2.01%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1812	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.281446	-2.21%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1109	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.284498	-2.00%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2685	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.268292	-1.87%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2196	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.293247	-2.22%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3199	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.396	-2.44%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5400	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.383905	-2.50%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.5007	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.285412	-1.98%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1254	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.307267	-2.48%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1146	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.354779	-2.66%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2084	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.326251	-2.86%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1866	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.329477	-3.08%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1052	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.382894	-3.13%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0780	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.466905	-3.33%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1150	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.538467	-3.34%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5492	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.445141	-3.67%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4092	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.467377	-3.76%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3094	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.562674	-3.78%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5770	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.454074	-4.05%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4158	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.360819	-3.47%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0412	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.310364	-2.69%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2752	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.356871	-3.77%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3382	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.36365	-4.05%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1803	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.337992	-4.52%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.3061	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.362432	-5.14%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4273	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.374078	-5.65%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2378	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.393144	-6.13%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.473199	-5.73%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3573	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.525729	-5.77%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3374	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.639018	-5.92%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4773	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.733222	-7.22%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6955	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.59166	-6.24%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4058	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.717736	-6.75%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5336	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.769829	-8.15%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6213	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.784838	-10.23%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4604	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.782543	-14.42%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3451	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.471798	-10.07%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3306	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.310297	-4.33%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9147	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.238212	-1.26%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9508	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.26111	-1.35%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0688	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.341161	-8.35%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9208	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.155928	-1.02%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7385	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.196526	-1.07%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5428	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.138519	-1.69%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3325	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.076113	-10.56%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.4344	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.106907	-3.43%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8201	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.100218	-4.92%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8764	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.