UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +1d

assessed

63

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1460

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual +0.0126

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.278931	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.279015	-0.86%	0.28138	-0.02%	0.0030	✓	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.275127	-0.89%	0.281425	+1.38%	0.0079	✓	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.24691	-0.78%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0861	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218458	-0.55%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1351	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.229563	-0.65%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0621	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.279182	-1.03%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1858	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.276939	-1.07%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0362	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.271369	-1.09%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0152	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.293325	-1.36%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0236	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198507	+0.03%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3685	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235375	-0.40%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1225	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208642	+0.08%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1058	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206133	+0.17%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0023	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198508	+0.25%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0149	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229492	+0.13%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1100	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243668	+0.02%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0085	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26604	-0.14%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0832	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286911	-0.31%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0572	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289625	-0.23%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0463	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273365	-0.02%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0547	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.299225	-0.22%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0824	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.40239	-0.87%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3253	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.390455	-0.83%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0408	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.291123	-0.02%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2974	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.314388	-0.22%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0520	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.3622	-0.62%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1405	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334496	-0.41%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0780	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.338364	-0.47%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0004	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392533	-0.69%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1440	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.479123	-0.80%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1531	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.55158	-0.99%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1247	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.457851	-0.92%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0927	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.480524	-1.05%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0376	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.575662	-1.56%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1770	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.467211	-1.27%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1517	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.37112	-0.71%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2396	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.317672	-0.40%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1533	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368426	-0.65%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1089	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376422	-0.68%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.35167	-0.65%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0816	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.379143	-0.77%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0694	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.393107	-0.85%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0381	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.414813	-0.96%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.496729	-1.04%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1685	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.551719	-1.11%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.670926	-1.22%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1688	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.77875	-1.46%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.622754	-1.31%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2363	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.756789	-1.67%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1620	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.820627	-2.09%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1140	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.850779	-2.69%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.883808	-3.34%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.511466	-2.51%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5695	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.319828	-1.39%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5022	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239637	-0.67%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2976	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.262977	-0.65%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.363553	-2.33%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3330	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.15719	-0.22%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8557	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197915	-0.37%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2224	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140579	-0.23%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3298	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085166	+0.08%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4947	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110724	+0.02%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2469	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.105344	-0.05%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0207	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.