UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +30d

assessed

34

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

82.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6624

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1040

actual -0.3130

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.256866	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.256554	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.252299	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.227642	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.204568	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.212399	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.252138	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.249471	-10.89%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.244283	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.262175	-11.84%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.187749	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.216989	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.196578	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.194727	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.187823	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.215564	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.227362	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.246505	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.2638	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.266879	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.254122	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.275833	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.370926	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.360104	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.27043	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.290465	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.334129	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.30799	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.310833	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.361124	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.441459	-8.59%	0.28138	-41.74%	0.4077	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.503346	-9.65%	0.281425	-49.48%	0.5279	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.417441	-9.67%	0.277585	-39.93%	0.4426	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.436207	-10.17%	0.24885	-48.76%	0.5730	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.512608	-12.34%	0.21966	-62.44%	0.8692	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.419797	-11.29%	0.23107	-51.17%	0.6777	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.336281	-10.03%	0.28208	-24.53%	0.2634	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.288338	-9.60%	0.279945	-12.23%	0.1350	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.333853	-9.97%	0.27437	-26.01%	0.2407	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.340247	-10.23%	0.297375	-21.54%	0.2194	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.316307	-10.64%	0.198445	-43.94%	0.5295	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.340084	-10.99%	0.23632	-38.15%	0.4525	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.351237	-11.41%	0.20848	-47.42%	0.6101	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.369251	-11.84%	0.20578	-50.87%	0.6377	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.442291	-11.89%	0.19801	-60.55%	0.8442	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.490411	-12.10%	0.22919	-58.92%	0.8122	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.595923	-12.27%	0.24363	-64.13%	0.9572	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.687712	-12.98%	0.266405	-66.29%	1.0199	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.55095	-12.69%	0.28781	-54.39%	0.7316	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.664536	-13.66%	0.290305	-62.28%	0.8701	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.714325	-14.77%	0.27341	-67.38%	1.0494	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.735305	-15.90%	0.29989	-65.70%	0.9888	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.756318	-17.29%	0.40591	-55.61%	0.6840	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.442894	-15.58%	0.39374	-24.95%	0.1917	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.287774	-11.28%	0.291185	-10.23%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.226274	-6.21%	0.31507	+30.59%	0.2494	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.253392	-4.27%	0.36447	+37.70%	0.3132	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.323876	-12.99%	0.33586	-9.77%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.157724	+0.12%	0.33996	+115.79%	0.6960	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.198894	+0.12%	0.39528	+98.98%	0.6207	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139828	-0.76%	0.482965	+242.77%	1.1361	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.081184	-4.60%	0.55709	+554.63%	1.8093	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.109138	-1.41%	0.46212	+317.45%	1.4077	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.099842	-5.27%	0.485615	+360.74%	1.4751	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.