UMX

UMX · · lstm_s0

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 204

Track record at +30d

assessed

38

of 68 predictions shown

direction hit

97.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1844

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0909

actual -0.2663

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.041845	0.041246	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.03934	0.038615	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.042303	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.052527	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.052725	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.052978	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.055867	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.05663	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.056777	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.058715	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.058619	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.059697	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.058051	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.056817	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.056305	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.057559	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.057536	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.057459	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.057609	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.05701	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.057222	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.057209	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.05689	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.056826	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.056163	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.056276	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.056418	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.056108	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.056247	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.056092	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.060175	-0.92%	0.041845	-31.10%	0.3506	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.06146	+0.47%	0.03934	-35.69%	0.4291	✗	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.055492	-9.67%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.2689	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.054553	-9.77%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0067	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.055194	-10.06%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0041	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.055081	-9.92%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0190	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.055777	-10.05%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0227	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.054994	-9.64%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0291	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.054665	-9.67%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0541	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.05503	-9.45%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0271	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.056532	-9.69%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0300	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.058569	-9.96%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0249	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.058749	-9.70%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0191	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.058703	-9.49%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.060139	-9.56%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0251	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.061488	-9.66%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0366	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.063142	-9.71%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.0783	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.064747	-9.92%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.1199	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.064971	-9.85%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1338	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.066313	-9.32%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1190	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.066789	-10.04%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.067003	-9.92%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.1779	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.067691	-9.69%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.1593	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.068461	-9.67%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.1861	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.068224	-9.19%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.1829	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.069345	-9.15%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.2142	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.071197	-7.49%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.2039	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.075005	-8.72%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.2702	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.076215	-8.78%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.2919	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.081385	-8.26%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3516	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.079247	-8.62%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.3695	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.079462	-8.36%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.3784	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.078087	-6.44%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2754	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.07627	-7.84%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3390	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.077964	-8.13%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.3938	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.078136	-8.02%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.4110	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.078103	-7.73%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3971	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.078113	-7.51%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4343	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.