PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0898

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0221

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.583706	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.581451	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.603985	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.618081	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.616475	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.600624	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.635856	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.579512	-2.12%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0159	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.572812	-2.01%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0199	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.607295	-2.58%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0211	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.601021	-2.54%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0529	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.655262	-3.31%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0257	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.656019	-3.45%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0547	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.63797	-3.50%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0308	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.61932	-3.40%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0479	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.634232	-3.67%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0704	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.63301	-3.76%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0003	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.712483	-3.85%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1186	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.77913	-4.27%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1229	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.691585	-3.71%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0079	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.720622	-3.53%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0759	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.677441	-3.50%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0382	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.691161	-3.60%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0470	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.656421	-3.48%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0083	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.643752	-4.01%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1286	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.628232	-4.25%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2464	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.599209	-2.99%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1792	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.634751	-4.05%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1603	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.600817	-2.91%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1528	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.564602	-2.64%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2441	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.566988	-1.97%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1991	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.563692	-1.77%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1971	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.501949	-2.07%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2461	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.525582	-2.39%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1409	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.525171	-2.48%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2099	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.500066	-2.96%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1624	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.500201	-2.95%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0974	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.47514	-2.47%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1442	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.486089	-2.15%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1255	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.465372	-1.94%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0750	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.472203	-1.77%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1118	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.480882	-1.87%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0957	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.477879	-2.93%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0763	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.468139	-2.11%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1068	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.434531	-0.81%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1267	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445476	-0.67%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1127	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423856	+0.20%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1302	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.417595	+0.53%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1534	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.414653	+0.72%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1785	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412984	+1.05%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1983	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.410061	+0.98%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1503	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.417448	+0.86%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0445	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.416862	+1.05%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0714	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.421113	+0.97%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0055	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.428553	+0.82%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0367	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.423556	+0.82%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0347	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.419421	+0.82%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0295	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.410041	+0.40%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0034	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.420325	+0.07%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0112	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446453	-0.23%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0776	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.404828	-0.46%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0299	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.389965	-0.67%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0829	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.417661	-0.70%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0070	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.393127	-1.08%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0476	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39174	-1.50%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0265	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.378927	-2.31%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0905	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.360138	-2.27%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1983	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.359097	-2.30%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.1058	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.367962	-2.22%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0439	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.361554	-2.07%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1268	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.370403	-2.02%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0587	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.371248	-2.02%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0594	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.383597	-2.06%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0084	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.392678	-2.01%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0652	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.400403	-2.08%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0794	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.384507	-2.12%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0154	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.384632	-2.18%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0367	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38575	-2.33%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0178	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.384886	-2.41%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0113	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.391423	-2.49%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0025	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.403762	-2.66%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0093	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.426999	-3.00%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0486	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.430847	-3.18%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.0998	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.422602	-2.98%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0794	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.437803	-2.98%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1016	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.421363	-2.97%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0674	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.413529	-3.09%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0300	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.388585	-2.48%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0656	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.369136	-2.37%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1804	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.376675	-2.39%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1705	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.376437	-2.34%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1491	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.370679	-2.47%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1975	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.356471	-2.11%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.2040	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.333981	-2.14%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2535	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.317746	-2.04%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2302	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.343152	-1.93%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0951	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.359565	-1.91%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0721	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.386677	-2.06%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0038	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.385524	-2.05%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0187	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.379183	-2.08%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0454	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.375842	-2.15%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1020	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.382741	-2.05%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1779	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.406445	-2.23%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1532	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.407507	-2.30%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1096	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.404209	-2.41%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0227	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.383428	-2.44%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0244	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.3905	-2.25%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0160	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.404566	-2.40%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0567	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.394888	-2.64%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0052	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.380803	-2.61%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0872	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.408958	-2.65%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0175	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.412816	-2.73%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0018	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.405474	-2.61%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0362	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.407252	-2.10%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0256	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.412008	-1.32%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0070	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.445414	-2.06%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.0991	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.450632	-2.02%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1479	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.452999	-1.49%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0801	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427043	-0.18%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0095	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.43518	+0.13%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0466	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.454317	-1.00%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0873	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.491759	-2.05%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1664	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.52831	-2.44%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1557	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.53713	-2.52%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1609	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.54333	-2.72%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1734	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.549063	-2.67%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2550	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.585057	-2.98%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3003	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.536985	-2.70%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1543	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.541512	-2.91%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0733	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.566719	-3.08%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0441	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.564454	-3.10%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0230	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.574916	-3.03%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0288	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.597246	-3.17%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0569	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.540927	-2.29%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1091	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.573812	-2.15%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0466	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.570931	-1.92%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0333	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.588545	-2.35%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0133	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.619016	-2.69%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0660	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.629821	-2.22%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0702	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.63319	-2.10%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0330	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.603528	-1.61%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0849	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.601548	-1.32%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0093	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.596192	-1.54%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0148	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.617221	-2.29%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0394	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.610394	-2.42%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1464	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.604018	-2.28%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2001	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.596842	-2.00%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2054	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.613887	-2.00%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0951	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.625462	-2.12%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1231	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.595695	-2.14%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.603051	-2.32%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1263	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.603329	-2.26%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0814	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.637603	-2.27%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.625744	-2.03%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.644531	-2.37%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.616654	-2.37%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0772	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.563805	-1.93%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0890	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.620126	-2.30%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.703727	-2.56%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1254	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.742297	-2.71%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1103	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.69366	-2.55%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.720049	-2.74%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.684488	-2.55%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.746149	-2.71%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2134	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.778365	-2.75%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1437	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.879907	-3.39%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1374	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.936836	-6.62%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1731	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.822031	-5.11%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1298	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.616508	-2.48%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1696	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.