PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.625325	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616004	-0.56%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630513	-0.57%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0265	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.628676	-0.56%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0101	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611775	-0.49%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0278	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.649317	-0.62%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0537	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589731	-0.39%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1076	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582577	-0.34%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0116	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.620129	-0.52%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0475	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.613765	-0.48%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0053	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.672723	-0.73%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0751	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.674352	-0.75%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0001	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.656262	-0.73%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0323	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.636917	-0.65%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0317	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.653466	-0.75%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0087	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.652653	-0.77%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0233	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.734521	-0.88%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1091	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.804436	-1.16%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0777	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.712412	-0.81%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1239	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.74106	-0.80%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0325	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696493	-0.78%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0718	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.710294	-0.93%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0188	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674303	-0.85%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0618	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.662308	-1.24%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0255	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.646832	-1.41%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0424	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613073	-0.74%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0675	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.652743	-1.33%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0573	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.614091	-0.76%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0763	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575704	-0.72%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0721	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575731	-0.46%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0194	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.571133	-0.47%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0155	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510393	-0.42%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0819	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535591	-0.53%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0435	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535487	-0.56%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0031	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.511876	-0.66%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0215	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.511984	-0.66%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0051	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484698	-0.50%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0585	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.494458	-0.46%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0015	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472815	-0.38%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0425	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478762	-0.40%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0064	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.487048	-0.61%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0134	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485207	-1.44%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0068	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472624	-1.18%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0495	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436604	-0.34%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0918	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.446977	-0.34%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0174	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423585	+0.14%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0631	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416354	+0.23%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0134	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412827	+0.27%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0055	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409973	+0.31%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0117	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.407546	+0.36%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0113	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415174	+0.31%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0218	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413832	+0.31%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0040	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418252	+0.29%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0171	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.425885	+0.20%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0190	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.420818	+0.17%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0086	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415974	-0.01%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0188	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407899	-0.12%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0152	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418664	-0.33%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0267	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.444866	-0.59%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0559	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405084	-0.40%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0961	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391345	-0.32%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0366	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.41915	-0.34%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0625	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396241	-0.29%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0530	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396253	-0.36%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0031	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385861	-0.53%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0258	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.366616	-0.51%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0561	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.365668	-0.51%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0054	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.374456	-0.49%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0183	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.367566	-0.44%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0234	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.376414	-0.43%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0188	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377237	-0.44%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0021	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.38983	-0.46%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0281	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.398945	-0.45%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0173	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.406931	-0.48%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0124	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.390908	-0.49%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0452	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391231	-0.50%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0041	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.392807	-0.54%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0008	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392214	-0.55%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0082	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399176	-0.55%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0141	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412289	-0.61%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0291	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437119	-0.70%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0523	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.441619	-0.76%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0058	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.432516	-0.71%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0287	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.447732	-0.78%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0215	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.43058	-0.85%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0454	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.422653	-0.95%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0270	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396133	-0.58%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0741	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376001	-0.56%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0618	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.383617	-0.59%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0170	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.383054	-0.62%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0069	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.3771	-0.78%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0244	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362304	-0.51%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0509	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339743	-0.46%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0707	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32316	-0.37%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0514	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348527	-0.39%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0734	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.365054	-0.41%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0421	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.392897	-0.48%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0726	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.391739	-0.47%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0074	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.385425	-0.47%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0245	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.382255	-0.48%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0140	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389015	-0.44%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0242	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.413554	-0.52%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0513	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.414887	-0.53%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0021	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.411867	-0.56%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0139	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390824	-0.55%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0552	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.397486	-0.50%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0143	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.41194	-0.62%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0275	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.402582	-0.74%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0312	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38848	-0.64%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0420	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417466	-0.63%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0671	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.421705	-0.63%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0057	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.413964	-0.57%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0219	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414336	-0.40%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0006	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.416704	-0.19%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0057	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452473	-0.51%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0780	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456986	-0.63%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0058	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458474	-0.30%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0038	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.428511	+0.17%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0707	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.435706	+0.25%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0187	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458676	-0.05%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0529	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499972	-0.41%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0868	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.538446	-0.57%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0720	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.547739	-0.59%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0103	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.554809	-0.66%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0084	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.560545	-0.64%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0025	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.598258	-0.79%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0582	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.548538	-0.61%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0959	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.553956	-0.68%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0028	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.580444	-0.74%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0395	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.57819	-0.74%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0110	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.588624	-0.72%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0112	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.611973	-0.78%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0327	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.551175	-0.44%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1125	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584045	-0.40%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0590	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580206	-0.33%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0112	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.599926	-0.46%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0271	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.632539	-0.56%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0478	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.641483	-0.41%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0152	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.644334	-0.38%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0001	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612007	-0.23%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0728	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608691	-0.15%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0091	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.60413	-0.23%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0290	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.628603	-0.49%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0028	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.62212	-0.55%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0371	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.61504	-0.50%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0188	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.606645	-0.39%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0150	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.623861	-0.41%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0227	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.636107	-0.45%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.606035	-0.44%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.614282	-0.51%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614361	-0.48%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.649182	-0.49%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.636157	-0.40%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0094	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.656816	-0.51%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.628645	-0.47%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.573488	-0.25%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.632197	-0.39%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.718401	-0.53%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1179	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.758378	-0.61%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.708216	-0.50%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0866	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.735845	-0.60%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.699039	-0.48%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0350	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.762431	-0.58%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0670	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794968	-0.68%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.900273	-1.16%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1118	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.97183	-3.13%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.847025	-2.23%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1634	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.62876	-0.54%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3182	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.