PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s0

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1965

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0370

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.556135	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.555232	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.574197	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.585506	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.585033	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.570719	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.603388	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.555081	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.549209	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.583558	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.576913	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.628822	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.630902	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.615425	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.598737	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.614029	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.613073	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.687921	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.74948	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.668069	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.695291	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.656097	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.668423	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.635608	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.62422	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.610068	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.580704	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.613694	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.581377	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.552933	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.558465	-3.45%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0829	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.555653	-3.17%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0891	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.493674	-3.68%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2152	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.5133	-4.67%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2075	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.512038	-4.91%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2034	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.485975	-5.69%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2028	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.486314	-5.64%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2620	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.464754	-4.60%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2089	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.476918	-3.99%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1867	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.457929	-3.51%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2776	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.464705	-3.33%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2610	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.473351	-3.41%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3286	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.471539	-4.22%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3363	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.462341	-3.33%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3372	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.428638	-2.16%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3891	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.437858	-2.37%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3912	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.416514	-1.53%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4331	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.410019	-1.30%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5642	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.407135	-1.11%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6627	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.40851	-0.05%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5485	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.401397	-1.16%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5960	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.408514	-1.30%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5158	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.409966	-0.63%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5430	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.413941	-0.75%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4747	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.423672	-0.32%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4416	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.420756	+0.16%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4221	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.42743	+2.75%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3535	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.418986	+2.59%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4390	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.427199	+1.70%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3495	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.454264	+1.51%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2274	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.412617	+1.45%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3151	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.39921	+1.68%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3382	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.424307	+0.88%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1825	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.393953	-0.87%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3023	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.390826	-1.73%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3027	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.376973	-2.82%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3019	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.359055	-2.56%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3460	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.357867	-2.63%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.2921	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.367197	-2.42%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2798	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.361457	-2.10%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2500	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.370349	-2.04%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2445	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.371121	-2.05%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2571	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.383078	-2.19%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2219	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.392136	-2.15%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1605	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.399686	-2.25%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0542	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.384511	-2.12%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1129	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.385207	-2.03%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0635	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.386423	-2.16%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0327	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.386461	-2.01%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0141	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.392999	-2.09%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0181	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.404253	-2.54%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0460	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.425542	-3.33%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0779	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.427759	-3.87%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0864	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.420707	-3.42%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0562	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.435315	-3.53%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0620	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.420422	-3.18%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0235	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.413564	-3.08%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0124	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.389295	-2.30%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0267	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.371524	-1.74%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0952	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.378446	-1.93%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1351	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.378377	-1.84%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0420	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.373718	-1.67%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0208	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.359853	-1.18%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1228	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.3383	-0.88%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1416	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.321717	-0.81%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2021	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.346038	-1.10%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1142	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.361872	-1.28%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0191	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.387517	-1.84%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0491	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.386995	-1.68%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0254	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.381774	-1.41%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0270	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.379074	-1.31%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0031	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.384807	-1.52%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0204	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.408155	-1.81%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0405	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.409543	-1.81%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0222	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.407015	-1.73%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0020	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387431	-1.42%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0087	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.393758	-1.44%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0096	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.407509	-1.69%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0340	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.39876	-1.69%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0128	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.385237	-1.47%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0398	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.412137	-1.90%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0052	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.416327	-1.90%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0526	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.409105	-1.74%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0804	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.409089	-1.66%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0548	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.410993	-1.56%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0768	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.445579	-2.03%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0311	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.449887	-2.18%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0593	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.451189	-1.88%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1299	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.422232	-1.30%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1172	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.42882	-1.33%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1115	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.45053	-1.82%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1584	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.487452	-2.91%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2474	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.518879	-4.19%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3509	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.527211	-4.32%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4302	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.532429	-4.67%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4942	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.538011	-4.63%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4284	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.572032	-5.14%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4433	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.523753	-5.10%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2822	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.526201	-5.66%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2889	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.55106	-5.76%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3519	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.546549	-6.17%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3524	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.555319	-6.34%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3501	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.575485	-6.70%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3255	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.519805	-6.10%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2203	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.548975	-6.38%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2886	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.544811	-6.41%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3305	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.557738	-7.46%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3319	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.583855	-8.21%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3426	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.590751	-8.28%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3846	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.591271	-8.59%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4205	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.566037	-7.72%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2937	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.563823	-7.51%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2746	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.558668	-7.73%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2537	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.58367	-7.60%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2496	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.581092	-7.11%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1707	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.57527	-6.93%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0911	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.567064	-6.89%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0669	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.582335	-7.03%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0978	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.593799	-7.07%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.569298	-6.47%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.578164	-6.36%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.578239	-6.33%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.608107	-6.79%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.595445	-6.77%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.614412	-6.94%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0931	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.589128	-6.72%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1560	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.539532	-6.15%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3108	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.59146	-6.81%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1080	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.668752	-7.40%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.704268	-7.70%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.660338	-7.23%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0596	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.686099	-7.32%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.651657	-7.22%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1665	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.707631	-7.73%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.73751	-7.86%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.826719	-9.23%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.885867	-11.70%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.771987	-10.89%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.599637	-5.15%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3452	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.