HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s0

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0291

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007109	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007079	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006848	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006838	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007384	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008319	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008733	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008472	-1.68%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2447	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008857	-1.96%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3106	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008676	-1.95%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2171	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008569	-1.79%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2191	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.00892	-2.24%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1050	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.01065	-3.09%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1651	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009715	-2.91%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0429	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008336	-1.79%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0145	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01049	-3.36%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0784	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011733	-3.49%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1828	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011468	-3.59%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1082	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013284	-3.52%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2623	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014209	-3.97%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1811	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012558	-4.12%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1454	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01427	-4.27%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3886	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011303	-4.33%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0290	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012221	-4.64%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0810	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010347	-3.99%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0474	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011142	-4.51%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1304	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013594	-4.98%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0718	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012864	-5.09%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0015	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.00963	-3.24%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4178	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008793	-2.35%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3300	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009212	-2.67%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4392	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011914	-4.10%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0295	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010499	-3.41%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0398	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011357	-3.93%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0912	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015308	-5.65%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2624	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011557	-3.63%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4765	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012449	-4.18%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6588	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011147	-2.36%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5900	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009607	-0.81%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1446	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007961	-0.53%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.1008	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010026	-0.21%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0214	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011984	-0.63%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1327	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.01042	+0.04%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009603	+0.04%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3300	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012022	-0.04%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012766	-0.20%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2645	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015481	-1.25%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6147	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022045	-3.62%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7531	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017972	-2.17%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3675	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023601	-3.85%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7580	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018495	-3.36%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6683	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020205	-3.85%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5323	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024093	-4.63%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6398	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025567	-5.29%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5230	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021185	-4.43%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0565	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014075	-1.46%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2431	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016432	-1.38%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3891	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021841	-4.42%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019037	-3.42%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1133	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018382	-2.82%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3232	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015785	-2.26%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5374	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013492	-1.66%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4813	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013188	-1.05%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0860	✗	1.00