HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s0

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1365

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007191	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007151	-0.41%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0025	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006911	-0.35%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0054	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006891	-0.28%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0385	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.00745	-0.35%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0683	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008411	-0.44%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1435	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008848	-0.50%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0414	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008577	-0.47%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0620	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008986	-0.53%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0650	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008802	-0.52%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0908	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008684	-0.47%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0387	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009071	-0.58%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0441	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010901	-0.80%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2109	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009933	-0.73%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0853	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008453	-0.41%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1319	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010765	-0.83%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1720	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012051	-0.88%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0123	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011788	-0.90%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0393	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013643	-0.91%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1070	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014641	-1.05%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1330	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012956	-1.08%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1231	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014733	-1.17%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.1037	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011685	-1.10%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1917	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012655	-1.26%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0654	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.01068	-0.91%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1750	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011535	-1.14%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0272	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.0141	-1.44%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1911	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013356	-1.46%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0558	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009891	-0.63%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3272	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008971	-0.37%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1036	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009422	-0.46%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0317	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012294	-1.04%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2454	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010798	-0.66%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0961	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011721	-0.85%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0721	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015933	-1.79%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3144	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011899	-0.78%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1218	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.01286	-1.02%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0786	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011369	-0.41%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1095	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009682	-0.04%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2972	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008005	+0.02%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1228	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010054	+0.07%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2057	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012056	-0.03%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1848	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010427	+0.10%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1367	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009609	+0.10%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1032	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012032	+0.05%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2237	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.01279	-0.01%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015628	-0.31%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1846	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022662	-0.92%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3749	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018272	-0.54%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2226	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024299	-1.01%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2598	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018981	-0.82%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2072	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020808	-0.98%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024933	-1.30%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1561	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.02655	-1.65%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021886	-1.27%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2170	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014225	-0.41%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4386	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016586	-0.45%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1187	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022543	-1.34%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3181	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019509	-1.03%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1518	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018747	-0.90%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016034	-0.72%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1493	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013644	-0.54%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1599	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013269	-0.45%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0497	✗	1.00