HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s0
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
96.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4403
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0353
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006545 | -3.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006683 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006652 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007223 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008215 | -2.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008655 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008362 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008781 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008566 | -3.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.00843 | -3.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008815 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010734 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009719 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008122 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010573 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011912 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.01166 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013445 | -2.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.0141 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012756 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014192 | -4.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.01154 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012475 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010503 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.01141 | -2.22% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013673 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.013079 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009638 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008568 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009046 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012122 | -2.42% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.4176 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010504 | -3.37% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4942 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011422 | -3.38% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5293 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014972 | -7.72% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7445 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.011569 | -3.53% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.5230 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.012442 | -4.24% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5575 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010991 | -3.72% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.5127 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009262 | -4.38% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1917 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007592 | -5.14% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1478 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009621 | -4.24% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.3071 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.01159 | -3.89% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5346 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009961 | -4.37% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009065 | -5.57% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.01147 | -4.62% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012228 | -4.41% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015165 | -3.26% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2838 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021967 | -3.96% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017906 | -2.54% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.023635 | -3.71% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.5102 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018417 | -3.77% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.020026 | -4.70% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.024068 | -4.73% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7731 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.025383 | -5.97% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021247 | -4.15% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014099 | -1.29% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016629 | -0.19% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021959 | -3.90% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019358 | -1.79% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018726 | -1.00% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.016094 | -0.34% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013666 | -0.38% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013332 | +0.02% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2398 | ✗ | 1.00 |