GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0847

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0110

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.303198	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.301627	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.296193	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.298491	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295998	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.302114	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.297199	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.315598	-1.02%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0268	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.314493	-0.98%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0284	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.326055	-1.03%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0828	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.33238	-1.05%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0949	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.342109	-1.12%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1323	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.339112	-1.08%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1039	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.318743	-0.80%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0591	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.321433	-0.79%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0081	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.325238	-0.74%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0243	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326051	-0.73%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0109	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318386	-0.43%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0543	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.32317	-0.67%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0689	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.324561	-0.73%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0553	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31637	-0.62%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0168	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.319997	-0.81%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0126	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.31689	-0.80%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0327	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31417	-0.83%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0436	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.32712	-0.63%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0230	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340428	-0.68%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0454	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346365	-0.76%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0578	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352551	-0.62%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1021	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340506	-0.61%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0538	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.351848	-0.17%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0971	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.3581	-0.21%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1226	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.362333	-3.30%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0994	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33306	-2.29%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0251	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.328607	-3.41%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0564	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.340885	-5.44%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0186	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.297607	-1.58%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1175	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.298837	-1.57%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1248	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294298	-1.51%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1623	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.291205	-1.44%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2327	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.292978	-1.37%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1350	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.300035	-1.35%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1081	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.284045	-1.06%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2392	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.285858	-0.93%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0665	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.301251	-0.89%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0211	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.290208	-0.68%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0334	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29471	-0.50%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0193	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.298669	-0.56%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0068	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.291542	-0.60%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0585	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290532	-0.25%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0206	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285145	-0.26%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0058	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277394	+0.03%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0846	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283973	+0.10%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0249	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282475	+0.26%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0393	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285547	+0.37%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0457	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.28376	+0.39%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0274	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.307675	+1.04%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0573	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.309896	+0.86%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0757	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.311324	+0.98%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1120	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.31663	+1.29%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1087	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.328259	+1.31%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1526	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.338637	+1.27%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1772	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.347229	+1.72%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2045	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.31033	-0.25%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0243	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.326405	-0.82%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0423	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.358873	-1.53%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1685	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.361758	-1.63%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1663	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.358342	-1.68%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1203	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.365499	-1.83%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1062	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.362317	-1.70%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0835	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.385002	-2.06%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2253	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.369027	-1.85%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1218	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.365611	-1.95%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0046	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.357703	-1.72%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0269	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.340001	-1.46%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0729	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.340784	-1.58%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0917	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.335912	-1.67%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0961	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.332742	-1.74%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1681	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.351508	-1.90%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0692	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.342718	-1.95%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0851	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.336406	-1.95%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0781	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.322135	-1.77%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0672	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.315873	-1.75%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0897	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.322762	-1.81%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0547	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.324825	-1.84%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0421	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.323522	-1.77%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1015	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.343471	-1.87%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0173	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.359942	-2.12%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0477	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.36848	-1.96%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1148	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.362123	-2.33%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1178	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.355302	-1.77%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0770	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.347363	-1.51%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0483	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.350808	-1.33%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0613	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.358043	-1.46%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0206	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.319381	-1.40%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1397	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.312019	-1.49%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1868	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.314361	-1.53%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1644	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.319877	-1.52%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1231	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.327705	-1.52%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0747	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.32778	-1.54%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0825	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.326079	-1.56%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1096	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32191	-1.57%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0109	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.332826	-1.65%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0476	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.339603	-1.62%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0598	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.342251	-1.55%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0528	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.343117	-1.52%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0294	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.350234	-1.50%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0460	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.369017	-1.54%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1040	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.370793	-1.52%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1298	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.37582	-1.55%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1045	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.381546	-1.59%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0985	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.378029	-1.55%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0798	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.382875	-1.52%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0903	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.38901	-1.44%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0848	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.389509	-1.32%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0265	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.388728	-1.30%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0228	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.374407	-1.03%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0327	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.373548	-1.01%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0474	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.386535	-1.05%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0012	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.387735	-0.91%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0084	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.377621	-0.86%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0414	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.386988	-1.05%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0062	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.395409	-1.14%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0173	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.406659	-1.06%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0844	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.412324	-1.10%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1028	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.398533	-0.95%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0344	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.370854	-0.42%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0355	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.410732	-1.03%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1023	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.422363	-1.16%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.1007	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.430321	-1.23%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0917	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.487146	-1.29%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1852	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.442535	-1.14%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.450284	-1.03%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1116	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.467222	-1.10%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2160	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467738	-0.71%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1673	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450371	-0.51%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1144	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.46009	-0.78%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.1042	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464463	-0.69%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0234	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.410546	+1.24%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.440434	+1.11%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.432503	+0.56%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.480636	+0.22%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505902	-0.61%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.441573	-1.06%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1719	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.444206	-1.53%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2019	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.469294	-1.56%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0464	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.444183	-2.07%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1646	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.618435	-1.50%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2216	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.701662	-1.54%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2317	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.659767	-1.58%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1306	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.625049	-1.74%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2569	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.703946	-2.64%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3998	✓	1.00