GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0340

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30596	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304568	-0.37%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0080	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299153	-0.33%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0230	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301487	-0.30%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0045	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298822	-0.28%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0122	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304799	-0.26%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0171	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299673	-0.26%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0193	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318088	-0.24%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0568	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316913	-0.22%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0055	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328655	-0.24%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0339	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334988	-0.27%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0171	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344969	-0.30%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0268	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.34181	-0.29%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0121	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320757	-0.17%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0664	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.32343	-0.18%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0067	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327098	-0.17%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0100	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327895	-0.17%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0007	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319608	-0.04%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0275	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324976	-0.11%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0168	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326522	-0.13%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0037	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318094	-0.08%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0276	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.322243	-0.11%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0127	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.319148	-0.09%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0108	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316535	-0.08%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0091	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.329035	-0.05%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0378	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342458	-0.09%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0395	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348545	-0.13%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0168	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.354158	-0.17%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0146	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34153	-0.31%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0380	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350208	-0.64%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0223	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.35614	-0.76%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0104	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.367552	-1.91%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0297	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33632	-1.33%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1081	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.332357	-2.31%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0248	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.349932	-2.93%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0404	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301213	-0.39%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1791	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302424	-0.39%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0023	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297682	-0.37%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0315	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294431	-0.34%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0085	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296053	-0.34%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0001	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303064	-0.36%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0203	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28646	-0.22%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0568	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287986	-0.20%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0052	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303342	-0.20%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0492	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291819	-0.13%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0437	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295903	-0.10%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0068	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299982	-0.12%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0151	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292919	-0.13%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0240	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291143	-0.04%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0181	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285942	+0.01%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0059	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277683	+0.14%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0298	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284178	+0.17%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0164	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282406	+0.23%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0018	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285231	+0.26%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0105	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283445	+0.28%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0025	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.30542	+0.30%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0713	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308038	+0.26%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0151	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.30912	+0.27%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0077	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313347	+0.24%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0150	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324601	+0.19%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0409	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334822	+0.13%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0346	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34157	+0.06%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0179	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311149	+0.02%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0887	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328685	-0.13%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0478	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363145	-0.36%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1043	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366404	-0.37%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0057	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.363101	-0.37%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0103	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370656	-0.44%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0166	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367183	-0.38%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0138	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391007	-0.53%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0584	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.37406	-0.52%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0496	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370548	-0.63%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0148	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.362176	-0.49%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0297	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343843	-0.35%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0584	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344951	-0.38%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0004	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340278	-0.39%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0174	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.337318	-0.39%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0116	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356574	-0.48%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0511	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347674	-0.54%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0293	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.341304	-0.52%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0232	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326669	-0.39%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0491	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320338	-0.36%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0228	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327421	-0.39%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0182	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329506	-0.42%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0006	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.32816	-0.36%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0076	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348522	-0.42%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0566	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365762	-0.54%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0442	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373453	-0.64%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0138	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367707	-0.82%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0211	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.360067	-0.45%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0291	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.351218	-0.42%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0302	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353899	-0.46%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0025	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.36079	-0.70%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0143	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322792	-0.34%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1195	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315611	-0.36%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0265	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318043	-0.38%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0042	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323625	-0.36%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0127	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331469	-0.39%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0202	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331481	-0.43%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0030	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329972	-0.39%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0086	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32596	-0.33%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0205	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33707	-0.39%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0332	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343867	-0.39%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0161	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346397	-0.36%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0042	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347213	-0.34%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0033	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354354	-0.34%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0151	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37344	-0.36%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0518	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375126	-0.36%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0025	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380319	-0.37%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0091	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386204	-0.39%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0105	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382595	-0.37%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0147	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387429	-0.35%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0064	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393468	-0.31%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0085	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.39368	-0.26%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0063	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.39276	-0.28%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0008	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377677	-0.16%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0442	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376737	-0.16%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0026	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389889	-0.19%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0329	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.39074	-0.14%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0007	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380461	-0.12%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0245	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390335	-0.20%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0298	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398985	-0.24%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0245	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410059	-0.23%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0227	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415824	-0.26%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0148	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40164	-0.18%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0403	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.372752	+0.09%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0797	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414152	-0.20%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1182	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426185	-0.26%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0358	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434449	-0.29%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0218	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.491815	-0.34%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1177	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446506	-0.26%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.454004	-0.21%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.471234	-0.25%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.470551	-0.12%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452555	-0.03%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0440	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.463203	-0.11%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.467387	-0.07%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.407684	+0.54%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.0978	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.437725	+0.49%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.43169	+0.37%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.480775	+0.25%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1077	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.509021	+0.00%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.446353	+0.01%	0.509	+14.05%	0.1989	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.450628	-0.10%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.475845	-0.19%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.451901	-0.36%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0480	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.625317	-0.40%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3192	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.709542	-0.44%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.66619	-0.62%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.630707	-0.85%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.711293	-1.63%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1153	✓	1.00