GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s0

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1328

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0337

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.297757	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.296259	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.290331	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.292415	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.289647	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.296012	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.291309	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.309297	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.308315	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.319312	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.326531	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.335804	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.33288	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.31222	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.315184	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.318932	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.319593	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.311445	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.317011	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.318342	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.309887	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.313506	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.310157	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.30731	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321276	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.335648	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.342575	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.351682	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.343965	+0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.368727	+4.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.377991	+5.33%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.2077	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.360092	-3.90%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1657	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.335065	-1.70%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1107	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.332391	-2.30%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0959	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.33212	-7.87%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1164	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.29101	-3.77%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0335	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.291912	-3.85%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0034	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.288265	-3.53%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0859	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.284744	-3.62%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0815	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.286691	-3.49%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1207	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.29368	-3.44%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.1040	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.277372	-3.39%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1923	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.279646	-3.09%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1841	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.294753	-3.03%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0717	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.283943	-2.83%	0.324	+10.88%	0.1131	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.289213	-2.36%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.1015	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.292478	-2.62%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0893	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.284869	-2.87%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0731	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.285612	-1.94%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.1075	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.277732	-2.86%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.1198	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.268829	-3.05%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.1225	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.274751	-3.15%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.1272	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.272628	-3.24%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.1407	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.276299	-2.88%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.1214	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.274325	-2.95%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1627	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.302821	-0.55%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.1138	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.305454	-0.58%	0.349	+13.59%	0.1193	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309584	+0.42%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.1177	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.319334	+2.15%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0559	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.334334	+3.19%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0321	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.34685	+3.72%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0112	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.361899	+6.02%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0276	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.308563	-0.82%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0935	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.322872	-1.89%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0736	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.351539	-3.54%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0110	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.353643	-3.84%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1731	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.34925	-4.17%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1571	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.355998	-4.38%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1937	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.353077	-4.21%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2000	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.374033	-4.85%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2475	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.360659	-4.08%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1866	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.358432	-3.88%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2371	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.350628	-3.66%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2121	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.333594	-3.32%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1141	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.333945	-3.55%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1554	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.328817	-3.74%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1277	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.325049	-4.02%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1016	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.343475	-4.14%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1786	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.335163	-4.12%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1613	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.328523	-4.25%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1545	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.313892	-4.29%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1387	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.307137	-4.47%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0933	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.313779	-4.54%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1211	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.316836	-4.25%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1196	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.314706	-4.45%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1189	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.334204	-4.51%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1082	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.349534	-4.95%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1452	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.361908	-3.71%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1714	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.354566	-4.37%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1360	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.346763	-4.13%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0759	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.341507	-3.17%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0305	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.3481	-2.10%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0288	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.358532	-1.33%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1467	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.313029	-3.36%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0536	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.304995	-3.71%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1781	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.307543	-3.67%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1784	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.312541	-3.77%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1526	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.320575	-3.66%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1489	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.321615	-3.39%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1348	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.31889	-3.73%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2078	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.312277	-4.52%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1876	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.324515	-4.10%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1385	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.331537	-3.96%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0936	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.334561	-3.76%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0323	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.334547	-3.98%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0380	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.340836	-4.14%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0074	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.35982	-4.00%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0584	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.362563	-3.70%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0104	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.36723	-3.80%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0482	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.372537	-3.91%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0814	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.368701	-3.98%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1147	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.372703	-4.14%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1447	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.37726	-4.42%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1313	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.375922	-4.76%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1122	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.376874	-4.31%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1258	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.361182	-4.52%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0173	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.360517	-4.46%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0319	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.3741	-4.24%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0208	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.374673	-4.25%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0038	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.364994	-4.18%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0008	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.37657	-3.72%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0580	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.386439	-3.38%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0761	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.397462	-3.29%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0797	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.404153	-3.06%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2182	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.388688	-3.40%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1998	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.356054	-4.39%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0986	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.401796	-3.18%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2169	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.414733	-2.94%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2349	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.423217	-2.86%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2524	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.479658	-2.80%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3746	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.434118	-3.02%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2490	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.440933	-3.08%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2678	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.457498	-3.15%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2849	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.455578	-3.29%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.3131	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.437126	-3.44%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2507	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.447041	-3.59%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.2158	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.450203	-3.74%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.389678	-3.90%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.419768	-3.63%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1359	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.413727	-3.81%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.461722	-3.73%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1603	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.486828	-4.36%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1440	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.423073	-5.20%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.425462	-5.68%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1538	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.451507	-5.29%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.424822	-6.33%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.0939	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.600241	-4.40%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2600	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.682259	-4.26%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3437	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.648435	-3.27%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2660	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.620607	-2.44%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2517	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.702128	-2.89%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3791	✓	1.00