DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0184

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.376674	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.388498	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.388391	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.371765	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.391994	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.376925	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.399389	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.404041	-2.96%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0646	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.436398	-3.20%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0875	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.427269	-3.07%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0705	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.48036	-3.22%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1978	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.520488	-3.37%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2259	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.494149	-4.19%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2234	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.421277	-3.54%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0323	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.363308	-2.74%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1710	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.394783	-3.14%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1800	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.39872	-3.24%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1782	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.402896	-3.37%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2628	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.371667	-3.35%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4063	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.383315	-3.31%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3347	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.381882	-3.36%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.1952	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.377408	-3.19%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0049	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.369859	-3.10%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0613	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.358598	-2.96%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.0974	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.422782	-2.86%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0470	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.402192	-2.61%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0503	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.432849	-2.57%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0944	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.441307	-2.72%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.1177	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.467885	-3.74%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1696	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.42339	-2.96%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0617	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.391756	-3.10%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0060	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.376188	-3.91%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.0842	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.412993	-7.51%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0583	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.28092	-4.83%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.3986	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.24075	-5.62%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4887	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.225412	-7.83%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6201	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.135901	-0.84%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9878	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.139716	-0.90%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9215	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.14236	-0.84%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9343	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.148727	-0.80%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0296	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.147738	-0.52%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6283	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147312	-0.27%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5524	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153986	-0.07%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5003	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163916	-0.01%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1285	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.158174	+0.43%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0989	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.166077	+0.57%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0829	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.172891	+0.38%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0973	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.151827	+1.46%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0238	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.160199	+1.03%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0045	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.146008	+1.60%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0350	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.145218	+1.66%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1008	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.155288	+1.00%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0057	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.157409	+0.70%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0052	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.172083	+0.11%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0210	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.169179	-0.15%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1480	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175399	-0.62%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.1140	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165674	-0.74%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1190	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147202	-0.57%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0150	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.16153	-1.39%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0439	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130605	-0.37%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1805	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112799	-0.48%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4073	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117933	-0.80%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3680	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097811	-0.67%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5276	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.097509	-1.20%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4423	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092235	-1.33%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3332	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.094278	-1.55%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4050	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.100548	-2.86%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0880	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091926	-1.13%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0411	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.09173	-1.09%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0766	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093968	-1.07%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0704	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.097576	-1.08%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0629	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096603	-1.06%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0479	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092384	-1.05%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0285	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.095813	-1.29%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1034	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096033	-1.36%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.09554	-1.39%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0049	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.096395	-1.44%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0037	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.099327	-1.53%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0086	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.100124	-1.52%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0183	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.09597	-1.23%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0333	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.098403	-1.30%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0311	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.104225	-1.45%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0974	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.113777	-2.49%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1891	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094001	-0.61%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0477	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.09626	-0.43%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0341	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102198	-0.93%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0089	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.104713	-1.06%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0706	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112793	-1.56%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0913	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111813	-1.64%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0283	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.113008	-1.71%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0546	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116761	-1.98%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2050	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.119014	-2.12%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1701	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.117317	-2.19%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0827	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120779	-2.37%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1042	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.120089	-2.42%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0591	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.12311	-2.37%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0705	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.12699	-2.26%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1030	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.132341	-2.18%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1301	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.141949	-2.67%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1801	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.14929	-3.81%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2469	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.114128	-2.37%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0483	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.120248	-2.50%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0137	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120925	-2.50%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0315	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.114317	-2.89%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1304	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.111526	-2.49%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1870	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.106408	-2.42%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2910	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107701	-2.57%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3495	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110736	-2.56%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0706	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.109368	-2.51%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1187	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.105038	-2.44%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1598	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.107289	-2.74%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0772	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.109042	-2.73%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0298	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.103837	-3.25%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0253	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.109482	-3.63%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0537	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.103283	-2.27%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0391	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.099449	-2.18%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0606	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086277	-1.20%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1751	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082258	-0.85%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2523	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082536	-0.61%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2768	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082253	-0.63%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2829	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085409	-0.87%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3534	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.08644	-0.96%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2620	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089917	-0.97%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1842	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097373	-1.18%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094074	-1.11%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0695	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093041	-1.09%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09673	-1.21%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.1006	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099128	-1.30%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.100603	-1.37%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.099409	-1.45%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.099196	-1.56%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.100493	-1.64%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.102529	-1.74%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.097147	-1.47%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.103246	-1.73%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0894	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.109028	-2.12%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1163	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.10185	-1.74%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.09051	-1.11%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0502	✗	1.00