DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

27.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4432

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0581

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.371791	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.372922	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.36947	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.36917	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.353816	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.372688	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.358118	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.379535	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.38372	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.41401	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.404552	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.452619	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.488771	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.46525	-9.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.396533	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.343179	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.372098	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.375455	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.37924	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.350924	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.361573	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.360262	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.355956	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.349157	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.338724	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.39961	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.380429	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.411096	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.420971	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.450174	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.404432	-7.31%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0253	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.374841	-7.29%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1130	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.362531	-7.40%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.0617	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.407232	-8.80%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0321	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.271327	-8.08%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3205	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.233053	-8.64%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4553	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.220652	-9.78%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4642	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.130035	-5.12%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0386	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.134018	-4.94%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0751	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.136479	-4.93%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0844	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.142787	-4.76%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0488	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.141812	-4.51%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1419	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.141158	-4.43%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2298	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.147719	-4.14%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1784	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.157268	-4.06%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9664	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.151982	-3.50%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8278	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.160326	-2.91%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8457	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.167261	-2.89%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8027	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.146013	-2.42%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9292	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.155768	-1.76%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8437	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140048	-2.55%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9061	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.139751	-2.16%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9005	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.151491	-1.47%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8678	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154004	-1.48%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8141	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.168985	-1.70%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7124	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.166554	-1.70%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8722	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175623	-0.49%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8013	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.166022	-0.53%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9185	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147484	-0.38%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0486	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161858	-1.19%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0318	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129774	-1.00%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1144	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111541	-1.59%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1802	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117316	-1.32%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1729	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09572	-2.80%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4696	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.095068	-3.67%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0210	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.089448	-4.31%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9283	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.091267	-4.70%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8648	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.096849	-6.44%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.1933	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.08853	-4.78%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2849	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.088332	-4.75%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3195	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.090255	-4.98%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3431	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.093265	-5.45%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3005	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.092295	-5.47%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3145	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.088464	-5.25%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3839	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091557	-5.68%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4248	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091762	-5.75%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3765	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.091363	-5.70%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4150	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.092015	-5.92%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4451	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.094856	-5.97%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2809	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.095528	-6.04%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3062	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.091743	-5.58%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2854	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.093959	-5.76%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2546	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.098919	-6.46%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2455	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.107178	-8.15%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1914	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.08982	-5.03%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4338	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.091896	-4.95%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3826	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.097509	-5.48%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3253	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099809	-5.69%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2602	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.107084	-6.54%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1178	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.10623	-6.55%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1995	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.107462	-6.54%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0217	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.11095	-6.85%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1695	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.113216	-6.89%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1413	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.111879	-6.72%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2321	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.115092	-6.97%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2257	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.114605	-6.88%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2038	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.11752	-6.80%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1988	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.121089	-6.80%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1362	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.126122	-6.77%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2901	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.135359	-7.19%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3452	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.14229	-8.32%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3749	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.108906	-6.83%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1118	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.114631	-7.05%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1584	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.115201	-7.11%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2116	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.109467	-7.01%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1275	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.106581	-6.81%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1081	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.101793	-6.65%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0754	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.10317	-6.67%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0625	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.105964	-6.76%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0548	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.104608	-6.75%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0329	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.100589	-6.58%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0382	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.102517	-7.06%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0374	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.103756	-7.45%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0054	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.098884	-7.86%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1359	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.103405	-8.98%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1702	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.097547	-7.70%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0639	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093912	-7.63%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0303	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082176	-5.89%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1979	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078325	-5.59%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2951	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078523	-5.44%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2958	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078565	-5.09%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3312	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.081845	-5.01%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3376	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.082873	-5.04%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3505	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.085718	-5.59%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2854	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.092318	-6.31%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2774	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.089164	-6.27%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3035	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.088008	-6.44%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3296	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.091393	-6.67%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3604	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.093566	-6.83%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3973	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.094697	-7.16%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4557	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.093389	-7.42%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5189	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.092961	-7.75%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2633	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.094125	-7.87%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2671	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.09598	-8.01%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2530	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.090952	-7.76%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2153	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.09642	-8.22%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1469	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.101674	-8.72%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.095182	-8.17%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1493	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.085052	-7.08%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2394	✗	1.00