DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

138

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0532

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0056

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.399005	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.399753	-0.59%	0.40159	-0.13%	0.0013	✓	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.396451	-0.58%	0.402115	+0.85%	0.0044	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.396568	-0.56%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0137	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.37991	-0.51%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0515	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.400816	-0.55%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0592	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.385248	-0.51%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0472	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.409005	-0.55%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0442	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.414065	-0.56%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0162	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.448021	-0.63%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0474	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.438082	-0.62%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0056	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.49253	-0.77%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0743	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.533366	-0.97%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0868	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.509242	-1.27%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0490	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.432432	-0.99%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1600	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.371289	-0.60%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1944	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.404617	-0.73%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0361	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.408992	-0.75%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0006	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.413763	-0.76%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0103	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.382017	-0.65%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0542	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.393876	-0.65%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0285	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.392654	-0.64%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0161	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.38773	-0.54%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0055	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.379898	-0.47%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0274	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.368075	-0.39%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0330	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.433385	-0.43%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1429	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.411485	-0.36%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0554	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.442602	-0.37%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0745	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.451499	-0.47%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0116	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.482694	-0.69%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0622	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.433633	-0.61%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1439	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.401495	-0.69%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.0897	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.387981	-0.90%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0590	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.438711	-1.75%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.1124	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.291754	-1.16%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4188	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.251684	-1.34%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0761	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.24062	-1.62%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0545	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136784	-0.19%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5710	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140684	-0.21%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0203	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.14329	-0.19%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0411	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.149625	-0.20%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0330	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148193	-0.21%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0106	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147437	-0.18%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0047	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153852	-0.16%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0101	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163756	-0.11%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0580	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.157352	-0.09%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0523	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.164914	-0.14%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0242	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171749	-0.29%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0480	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149436	-0.14%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1392	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158302	-0.16%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0280	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143582	-0.09%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0239	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142672	-0.12%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0090	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.15351	-0.16%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0533	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155978	-0.22%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0289	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171381	-0.30%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0841	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.1687	-0.44%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0133	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175395	-0.62%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165815	-0.66%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0458	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147093	-0.64%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1198	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.16241	-0.86%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0867	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130309	-0.60%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2137	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112675	-0.59%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1433	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117933	-0.80%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0249	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098119	-0.36%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1456	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098281	-0.41%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0359	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.093054	-0.45%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0090	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095209	-0.58%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0207	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.102416	-1.06%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0886	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092576	-0.43%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1141	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092345	-0.43%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0062	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094556	-0.45%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0135	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098147	-0.50%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0330	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.097148	-0.50%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0168	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092948	-0.45%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0542	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.09657	-0.52%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0217	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096859	-0.51%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096415	-0.48%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0095	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097316	-0.50%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0125	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100358	-0.51%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0214	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101128	-0.53%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0097	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096766	-0.41%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0418	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.09926	-0.44%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0210	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105115	-0.61%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0630	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.115396	-1.10%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0864	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094395	-0.19%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2458	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096495	-0.19%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0350	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102855	-0.30%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0628	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105471	-0.34%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0250	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.113991	-0.51%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0456	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113116	-0.49%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114452	-0.46%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0106	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.11852	-0.50%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0134	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120992	-0.50%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0020	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119399	-0.45%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0255	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.123149	-0.46%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0498	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122532	-0.44%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0001	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.125536	-0.45%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0177	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.129326	-0.46%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0426	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.134552	-0.54%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0374	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.144553	-0.89%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0485	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.153196	-1.29%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0441	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.116256	-0.55%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2590	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122559	-0.63%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0321	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.123236	-0.63%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0011	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116881	-0.71%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0629	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113746	-0.55%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0246	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108471	-0.53%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0437	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109888	-0.59%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0029	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.113001	-0.57%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0156	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111542	-0.57%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0148	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106998	-0.62%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0427	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109518	-0.72%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0226	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.111261	-0.75%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0196	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.106179	-1.06%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0384	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.112327	-1.13%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0651	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104768	-0.86%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1063	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.100746	-0.91%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0375	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086924	-0.45%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1637	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082705	-0.31%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082821	-0.26%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082556	-0.26%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085857	-0.35%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086942	-0.38%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090394	-0.44%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097979	-0.56%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.09463	-0.53%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093573	-0.53%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097356	-0.58%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099825	-0.60%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101372	-0.62%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100235	-0.63%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0088	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.100103	-0.66%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101506	-0.65%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.10366	-0.65%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0141	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098043	-0.56%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104392	-0.64%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.110547	-0.76%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.103069	-0.56%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0814	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.091284	-0.27%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0875	✗	1.00