2022-02-03 · +7d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2388

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+12.61%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.2%

in alpha space · 6.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.476623	+0.03%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.2205	✗	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038187	-0.24%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.3118	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7269	-0.44%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0039	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006078	-0.68%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2218	✓	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	36,942.36	-0.72%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0112	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080076	-0.77%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0499	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.711825	-0.86%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0072	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039131	-0.91%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1552	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020557	-0.93%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1897	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059291	-0.93%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0042	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092332	-0.94%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0544	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.368038	-0.96%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3328	✗	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	278.7023	-0.98%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0423	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	36,940.38	-1.04%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0105	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.2789	-1.07%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1021	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009248	-1.09%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1710	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0493	-1.10%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0845	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.2226	-1.21%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0826	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6395	-1.24%	1.8	+8.43%	0.1062	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.101415	-1.25%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0383	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.437936	-1.25%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0640	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.136124	-1.27%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0548	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.5772	-1.27%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2319	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040111	-1.28%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0672	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	109.5855	-1.29%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0028	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.0186	-1.30%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0505	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.0942	-1.32%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1043	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,661.90	-1.32%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0254	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.181464	-1.32%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0065	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.2585	-1.33%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1257	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.536367	-1.33%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0840	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.4413	-1.35%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0008	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.862207	-1.35%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0339	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.250572	-1.35%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0302	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.192391	-1.37%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0274	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0749	-1.38%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0771	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.0791	-1.38%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0046	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.281358	-1.38%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1565	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.819306	-1.38%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2557	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	93.9056	-1.39%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0083	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	100.5065	-1.40%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1307	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075328	-1.40%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0307	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0459	-1.43%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0631	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.838327	-1.43%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0648	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.5805	-1.43%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1411	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	150.649	-1.45%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0656	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.7454	-1.47%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0147	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.6337	-1.47%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1044	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.074894	-1.49%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0136	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	88.4576	-1.49%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0384	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.067	-1.50%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0187	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.035554	-1.52%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1576	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.921745	-1.52%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1164	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.232499	-1.53%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0029	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.400484	-1.53%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0647	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	99.4722	-1.53%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0226	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.0952	-1.55%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0722	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.5607	-1.58%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0003	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.978	-1.59%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1351	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2138	-1.61%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2893	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4006	-1.61%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0390	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.1209	-1.62%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2376	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	160.1163	-1.62%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0692	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.0694	-1.63%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0003	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8591	-1.64%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0505	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	47.7056	-1.64%	63.35	+30.62%	0.1016	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	144.4715	-1.65%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0625	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.028698	-1.65%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0741	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.63	-1.66%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0817	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.064603	-1.67%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0064	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0178	-1.67%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0059	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.322478	-1.68%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0258	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3228	-1.69%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0320	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010085	-1.71%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0382	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0388	-1.71%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0260	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.111829	-1.73%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0762	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	24.9289	-1.74%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0528	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0408	-1.75%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0377	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.811719	-1.76%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1809	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.0291	-1.78%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0374	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.7574	-1.78%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0888	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	5.976	-1.79%	7.756	+27.46%	0.1023	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.5986	-1.80%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0038	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.5843	-1.83%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1156	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.0751	-1.83%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0083	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.052633	-1.84%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1214	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4439	-1.85%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0665	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.136423	-1.85%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0362	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6634	-1.86%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0161	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012129	-1.87%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0133	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.174173	-1.87%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0692	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	67.2008	-1.88%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0951	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009752	-1.89%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0200	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	73.0956	-1.90%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0574	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	122.6013	-1.92%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1226	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1129	-1.94%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0044	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.6609	-1.94%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0025	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.647108	-1.95%	1	+51.52%	0.1469	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3197	-1.96%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0888	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.3144	-2.03%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0636	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.5936	-2.04%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0544	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.601025	-2.04%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0672	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.604455	-2.05%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0607	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0272	-2.05%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4201	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6282	-2.06%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1090	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	6.9807	-2.07%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1588	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1416	-2.14%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0465	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	18.8658	-2.15%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0126	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.3616	-2.15%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1276	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031402	-2.17%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1134	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2658	-2.18%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1474	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.5934	-2.18%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1044	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.7516	-2.19%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1172	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	4.9774	-2.21%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1431	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1283	-2.24%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0455	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014333	-2.24%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0030	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	19.9084	-2.27%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0344	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3228	-2.27%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2630	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.906563	-2.30%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1266	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.190323	-2.31%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1531	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.0239	-2.34%	29.1	-2.09%	0.1806	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.513608	-2.36%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1462	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.060142	-2.37%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3507	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.103874	-2.37%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1157	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6147	-2.48%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0359	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.285533	-2.52%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1121	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.046796	-2.61%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1628	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0284	-2.62%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1705	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	131.4621	-2.74%	140.08	+3.64%	0.0952	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	1.9833	-2.78%	2.07	+1.47%	0.1928	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.01977	-2.83%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0061	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	22,949.91	-2.84%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0863	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002011	-2.86%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0502	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3891	-2.86%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0002	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	41.532	-2.89%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1184	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	3.97	-2.93%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1090	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0283	-3.01%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1608	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3515	-3.02%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0687	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.91949	-3.21%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0597	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.0355	-3.23%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1470	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.542272	-3.37%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1205	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1641	-3.45%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0355	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9595	-3.53%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1552	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1957	-3.57%	1.22	-1.61%	0.2018	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.075099	-3.60%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.3975	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.2679	-3.60%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4598	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.113703	-4.45%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0669	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.