GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s0

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0935

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0226

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.248671	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.255381	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.309734	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.330344	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.253344	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.227445	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.188458	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.19345	-3.08%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2785	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.213649	-3.19%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.1982	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.216574	-3.67%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.3901	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.270286	-4.07%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2366	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.175916	-3.07%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4174	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.17991	-3.04%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2874	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.185401	-3.10%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0570	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.204314	-3.53%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0277	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.183478	-3.60%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2031	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.143732	-3.39%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4793	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.180125	-3.85%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.4985	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.167776	-4.03%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1156	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111814	-2.56%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5266	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129203	-3.75%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4141	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.137668	-4.33%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4644	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.09168	-2.70%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7331	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.083981	-2.68%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5543	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.083347	-2.57%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7874	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.089088	-1.99%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6547	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089102	-2.09%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2499	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090365	-2.58%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3918	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.084916	-1.76%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5229	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.081575	-1.72%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1522	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.08662	-1.79%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0204	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.085257	-2.25%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0332	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.082294	-1.96%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0651	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.083923	-2.09%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0479	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.079707	-2.66%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1176	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.074895	-2.83%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0575	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.073621	-2.87%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0321	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.072983	-2.73%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0742	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.075647	-2.22%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0521	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.075863	-2.59%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0524	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.076344	-2.00%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0716	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.074578	-1.96%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0522	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.074052	-1.94%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0423	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.076765	-2.12%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0119	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.081081	-1.95%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0430	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.078621	-1.93%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.081009	-1.78%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0032	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.080806	-1.72%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0056	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.078116	-1.52%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0022	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.080243	-1.26%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0057	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.077452	-1.64%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0006	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.078105	-1.83%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0442	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.079474	-2.21%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.078389	-2.12%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0178	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.081909	-1.53%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0146	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.083502	-1.65%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0725	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.086562	-2.13%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0741	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.083584	-2.03%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0400	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.080662	-2.16%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0008	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.084167	-1.64%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0304	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087017	-1.83%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0822	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.084808	-2.43%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0329	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.089589	-2.19%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0483	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.08422	-2.05%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0320	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082149	-2.24%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0745	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079288	-2.61%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1399	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081153	-2.71%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1358	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082323	-3.29%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1331	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083028	-3.41%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1505	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.08143	-4.12%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0970	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078285	-2.91%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.07908	-3.18%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0332	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080379	-3.27%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0054	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.08308	-3.52%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0054	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.084978	-4.14%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0384	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.084977	-3.92%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0439	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.08147	-3.48%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0740	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078922	-3.50%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0356	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076729	-3.10%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0825	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.072641	-2.83%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1429	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.075196	-3.17%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1281	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.074909	-3.04%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1467	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074013	-2.95%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1438	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072057	-2.90%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1252	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.071531	-2.63%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1414	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071192	-2.56%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0947	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.074634	-2.93%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069345	-2.52%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1170	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067225	-2.54%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1707	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067087	-2.49%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1540	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064134	-2.32%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1665	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.065587	-2.30%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1185	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066417	-2.27%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1286	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.066764	-2.46%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1819	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.065835	-2.21%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0995	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065024	-2.09%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0498	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.064915	-2.18%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0654	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.064907	-2.26%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0090	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065633	-2.28%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0072	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.06754	-2.53%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0098	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068215	-3.11%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0146	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.065826	-2.34%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0131	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067412	-2.57%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0262	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.066703	-2.59%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0190	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067406	-2.89%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0118	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.06667	-2.57%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0008	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.06743	-2.51%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0072	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.068613	-2.72%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0032	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072132	-3.09%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0443	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.072977	-3.06%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0553	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073289	-2.77%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0769	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077873	-3.10%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1356	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.07191	-2.48%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0708	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071369	-2.80%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0608	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064443	-2.57%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0320	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066386	-2.58%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0690	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.066938	-2.22%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0681	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066374	-2.77%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0893	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066634	-2.88%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1566	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066175	-2.96%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0863	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067626	-3.20%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0940	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.069231	-3.32%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0047	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.073967	-2.97%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0390	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073047	-2.92%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0221	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.07598	-3.03%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0601	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073419	-3.34%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0305	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.073942	-2.97%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0455	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.077763	-3.02%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0716	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079787	-2.98%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0785	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078189	-3.37%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0023	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.07844	-3.54%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0167	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.076089	-3.61%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0313	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074391	-3.35%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0214	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.076685	-2.56%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0003	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071309	-1.62%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0928	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075177	-1.74%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0563	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073237	-1.46%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0838	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073797	-0.41%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0328	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076836	-0.69%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0223	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080329	-1.69%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0183	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.086645	-2.35%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1542	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087375	-2.49%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0853	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.095931	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.091832	-2.87%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1387	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.090892	-2.76%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1128	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.089778	-2.92%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0579	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090748	-2.92%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0369	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093613	-2.95%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0174	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090752	-2.87%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0519	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095467	-3.05%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0768	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098299	-3.17%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0153	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105597	-3.52%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1012	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.105349	-3.76%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1149	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.104911	-3.36%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0850	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.100994	-3.22%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0224	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099189	-3.24%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0529	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092618	-3.01%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0590	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.095033	-3.00%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0693	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.09907	-3.20%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1105	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.100759	-3.50%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1102	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.11133	-3.57%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0016	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.114854	-3.83%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0823	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.129172	-5.37%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2063	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.164826	-7.27%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5206	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.098971	-2.47%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0213	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.098202	-2.63%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0581	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.09056	-2.42%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2360	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089184	-2.29%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3091	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.08653	-2.08%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4597	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.091323	-2.35%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6487	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.090698	-2.39%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0785	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.090723	-2.36%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0871	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.090953	-2.65%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0177	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091001	-2.61%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0550	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093191	-2.57%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1012	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.094768	-2.47%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0393	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.089645	-2.06%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0371	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.092547	-2.23%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0072	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.112123	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106238	-2.91%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1060	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.099673	-2.68%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0365	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.103504	-3.31%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0786	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.109464	-4.25%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1369	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.104892	-4.28%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.1952	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.094804	-2.81%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088377	-1.69%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2702	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086541	-2.11%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1946	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.08124	-1.43%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1884	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078487	-1.39%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2821	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082071	-1.62%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3131	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074312	-1.69%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3475	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077299	-1.55%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1985	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076776	-1.54%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1054	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.07686	-1.73%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0960	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077957	-1.84%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0061	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078919	-1.83%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0215	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.077971	-2.00%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0091	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.07322	-1.81%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0073	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.07513	-1.92%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.071934	-1.80%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.07304	-1.83%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.076922	-1.92%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.07604	-1.87%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0025	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.074943	-1.83%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0282	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074476	-1.77%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0445	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.077794	-1.84%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0302	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077556	-1.78%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0663	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.07639	-1.66%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0023	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082163	-1.72%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0004	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.083905	-1.81%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0452	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081107	-1.64%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0015	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079091	-1.62%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0129	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078371	-1.53%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0512	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082158	-1.55%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0231	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.087419	-1.78%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1008	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089049	-1.77%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0640	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.091634	-1.60%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0196	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.09277	-1.46%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0589	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.092639	-1.85%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0656	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.09271	-2.04%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1168	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.093412	-2.19%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1058	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.104963	-2.99%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1553	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.09003	-2.01%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0091	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.081978	-1.75%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0680	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.080708	-1.77%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0566	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.077277	-1.73%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0927	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.07724	-1.68%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1405	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.079702	-1.70%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1366	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.083278	-1.69%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2672	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.08585	-1.67%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.1058	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.085471	-1.85%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0510	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083076	-1.79%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0044	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.081927	-1.83%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0445	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.085838	-1.88%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.0936	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.087704	-1.94%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1174	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.089433	-1.95%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1113	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.089725	-1.94%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1048	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.084856	-1.83%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0498	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.085431	-1.81%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0829	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.088666	-1.86%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0282	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.091759	-1.92%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0307	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.091663	-1.91%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0124	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.091569	-1.91%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0129	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.093769	-1.96%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0520	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.099266	-2.10%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0816	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.102351	-2.17%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.0927	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.10053	-2.14%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0879	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10307	-2.21%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0678	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.101828	-2.19%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0726	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.096203	-1.89%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0425	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094001	-1.70%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0270	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.094176	-1.69%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0950	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.096677	-1.76%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0983	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.095882	-1.56%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0923	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.098805	-1.40%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0560	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.099637	-1.35%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0710	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.091484	+1.76%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0103	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.102839	-1.35%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0329	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.105585	-1.60%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0208	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109252	-1.75%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0418	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.103301	-1.24%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0455	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104424	-1.30%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1138	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.115541	-1.75%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0730	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.117491	-1.76%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0829	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.127468	-2.02%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0293	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.128688	-2.06%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0088	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.128046	-2.03%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0064	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.122321	-1.79%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0189	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.132867	-2.16%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0874	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128917	-1.89%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0218	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124384	-1.67%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0250	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.127476	-1.71%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0229	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124311	-1.57%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0452	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.135579	-1.90%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0154	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.136119	-1.86%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0023	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.143978	-2.19%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0117	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.138309	-1.77%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0193	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.134786	-1.47%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0081	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.140619	-1.60%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0063	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.14543	-2.20%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0559	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.133618	-1.82%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0180	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.138533	-2.03%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0310	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.139714	-2.09%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141449	-2.18%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0657	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.141902	-2.20%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0905	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.142449	-2.23%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0880	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.147981	-2.39%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0217	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.150225	-2.51%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0546	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.145958	-2.50%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0213	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.143679	-2.46%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0031	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.141068	-2.37%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0153	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.137508	-2.27%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0151	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.127788	-1.93%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0683	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131025	-2.00%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0587	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129112	-1.97%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0634	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.130641	-1.99%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0749	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.131941	-2.05%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0638	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.126264	-1.89%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0910	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.122938	-1.81%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1090	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126302	-1.86%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0330	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126686	-1.87%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0374	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126245	-1.83%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0669	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123762	-1.78%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0871	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125788	-1.80%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0773	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124846	-1.77%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0441	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117326	-1.65%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0353	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.11998	-1.66%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0459	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.1239	-1.67%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0484	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.12532	-1.67%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0115	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126239	-1.64%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0100	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134473	-1.70%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0156	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136306	-1.73%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0325	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.138306	-1.70%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0249	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140169	-1.77%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0372	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.14877	-1.93%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0839	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.141791	-1.84%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0343	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138345	-1.81%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0373	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.140807	-1.88%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0456	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.133724	-1.82%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0207	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140848	-1.85%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0084	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142162	-1.82%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0272	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140356	-1.85%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0545	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.137412	-1.85%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0310	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.150066	-1.98%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0636	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.150813	-2.01%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0218	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.154526	-2.07%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.0983	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.157753	-2.14%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1084	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.154462	-2.12%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1176	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.152875	-2.13%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1426	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.155861	-2.16%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0687	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.156837	-2.16%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.0934	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.15291	-1.98%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1166	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.151156	-1.85%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0734	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.157477	-2.01%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0708	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152023	-1.92%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0585	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.156818	-1.99%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1152	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.155965	-1.91%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.1030	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.159604	-1.96%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1579	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.162504	-1.99%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1889	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.16163	-1.92%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1524	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.166483	-2.01%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2487	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.171783	-2.06%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1118	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.174088	-2.09%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1295	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186546	-2.23%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1609	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.18546	-2.26%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1139	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.18297	-2.26%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0608	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.185291	-2.27%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0865	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.167825	-1.97%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0499	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.17126	-1.97%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0733	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.163282	-1.76%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0509	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.159875	-1.74%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1903	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.178433	-1.85%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1951	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.180402	-1.85%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2173	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177259	-1.80%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2127	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.175669	-1.75%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1399	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.184932	-1.79%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0838	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.192689	-1.79%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1160	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.2017	-1.85%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0466	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.209909	-1.91%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0560	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.203187	-1.89%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0638	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.204001	-1.90%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0885	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.202604	-1.89%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0833	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.196735	-1.83%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1007	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.20557	-1.88%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1504	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.213462	-1.90%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1181	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.216125	-1.92%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1429	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.210696	-1.82%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1203	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.209988	-1.74%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1160	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.212668	-1.72%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0740	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.222529	-1.75%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0297	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.231497	-1.74%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0089	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.244149	-1.77%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0091	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.226953	-1.58%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1117	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.209023	-1.40%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1073	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.198213	-1.31%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2269	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.274434	-1.35%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0065	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.280686	-0.98%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0069	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.267895	-1.36%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0187	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.282753	-0.68%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0356	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.275561	-1.06%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0297	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.279007	-1.31%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0651	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.28407	-1.40%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1810	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.282085	-1.59%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0328	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.273221	-1.65%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0459	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.251398	-1.61%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0550	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.260023	-1.62%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0978	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.273701	-1.69%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2011	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.270549	-1.62%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2106	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.277741	-1.61%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2155	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.267456	-1.45%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1638	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.294094	-1.64%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1619	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.297159	-1.64%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1931	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.301166	-1.64%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1635	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.327733	-1.89%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1023	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.334966	-1.97%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0755	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.329948	-1.92%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0345	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.360566	-2.25%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1230	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.355616	-2.22%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1121	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.343655	-2.11%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0337	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.341324	-2.13%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0559	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.