2022-01-07 · +7d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2124

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.91%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.6%

in alpha space · 39.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.67%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.05	1.9384	-5.44%	1.4198	-30.74%	0.3444	✓	0.92	922k	2022-01-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.12	11.6927	-3.53%	10.98	-9.41%	0.0673	✓	0.12	3.0M	2022-01-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059308	0.057275	-3.43%	0.059654	+0.58%	0.0062	✓	1.30	7.3M	2022-01-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	35.7999	-3.30%	36.25	-2.08%	0.0464	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.41	9.1016	-3.28%	8.39	-10.84%	0.1160	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5162	0.499478	-3.24%	0.6272	+21.50%	0.1764	✗	1.42	650k	2022-01-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5	4.8383	-3.23%	5.35	+7.00%	0.0494	✗	1.42	30.4M	2022-01-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752558	0.728244	-3.23%	0.748205	-0.58%	0.0142	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-01-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.54	37.3059	-3.20%	40.44	+4.93%	0.0472	✗	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3309	0.320447	-3.16%	0.3291	-0.54%	0.0096	✓	1.01	293k	2022-01-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.098	11.7191	-3.13%	10.866	-10.18%	0.0778	✓	0.06	74k	2022-01-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.97	25.1619	-3.11%	25.74	-0.89%	0.0208	✓	1.21	69.2M	2022-01-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.445	1.4009	-3.05%	1.3822	-4.35%	0.0547	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-01-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	35,821.08	34,751.23	-2.99%	32,239.49	-10.00%	0.0985	✓	0.65	21.5M	2022-01-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.19	18.626	-2.94%	20.08	+4.64%	0.0165	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.36	3.262	-2.92%	3.46	+2.98%	0.0214	✓	1.04	715k	2022-01-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.05	2.9636	-2.83%	2.955	-3.12%	0.0394	✓	1.01	5.6M	2022-01-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	30.22	29.3682	-2.82%	32.54	+7.68%	0.0525	✗	1.39	24.4M	2022-01-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04349	0.042281	-2.78%	0.04111	-5.47%	0.0612	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.344	2.2824	-2.63%	2.415	+3.03%	0.0174	✓	1.08	1.9M	2022-01-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2638	0.257112	-2.54%	0.2668	+1.14%	0.0106	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.55	1.5112	-2.51%	1.38	-10.97%	0.1518	✓	1.69	862k	2022-01-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0712	1.0445	-2.50%	1.0526	-1.74%	0.0567	✓	1.79	1.1M	2022-01-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6983	0.681855	-2.36%	0.9605	+37.55%	0.2784	✗	1.78	35.9M	2022-01-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1392	2.0889	-2.35%	2.0924	-2.19%	0.0384	✓	1.11	94k	2022-01-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.17	7.0025	-2.34%	7.03	-1.95%	0.0430	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9215	0.899984	-2.33%	1.0647	+15.54%	0.1320	✗	1.00	141k	2022-01-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.9	8.6933	-2.32%	7.92	-11.01%	0.1256	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-01-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.45	29.7497	-2.30%	31.98	+5.02%	0.0346	✗	1.04	3.4M	2022-01-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.5374	-2.28%	3.62	+0.00%	0.0213	✓	1.23	10.6M	2022-01-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.68	131.621	-2.27%	141.12	+4.78%	0.0251	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.27	5.1509	-2.26%	5.7	+8.16%	0.0612	✗	1.11	2.1M	2022-01-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0067	0.984574	-2.20%	1.0305	+2.36%	0.0050	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.97	30.2978	-2.17%	29.7	-4.10%	0.0749	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0669	0.065465	-2.14%	0.0557	-16.74%	0.2106	✓	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1144	1.0911	-2.09%	1.1223	+0.71%	0.0073	✓	0.98	22.3M	2022-01-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5636	1.5311	-2.08%	1.6069	+2.76%	0.0174	✓	0.86	663k	2022-01-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	163.2907	159.8963	-2.08%	157.2002	-3.73%	0.0572	✓	1.11	574k	2022-01-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.15	9.9477	-1.99%	9.5	-6.40%	0.0703	✓	0.67	1.2M	2022-01-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.7862	-1.97%	0.802	+0.00%	0.0322	✓	1.44	8.1M	2022-01-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01454	0.014254	-1.97%	0.01389	-4.47%	0.0696	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.546	0.535284	-1.96%	0.521	-4.58%	0.0737	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.2957	-1.93%	5.22	-3.33%	0.0561	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-01-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4947	5.389	-1.92%	6.0352	+9.84%	0.0702	✗	1.20	480k	2022-01-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01358	0.013321	-1.91%	0.01386	+2.06%	0.0044	✓	0.98	777k	2022-01-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.51	34.8463	-1.87%	44.73	+25.96%	0.2107	✗	1.08	20.0M	2022-01-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.34	128.9065	-1.85%	144.84	+10.28%	0.0680	✗	1.35	36.7M	2022-01-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.5174	-1.83%	20.29	-2.92%	0.0487	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-01-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0942	0.092506	-1.80%	0.09336	-0.89%	0.0157	✓	0.69	55k	2022-01-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.638	0.626599	-1.79%	0.7107	+11.39%	0.0808	✗	1.25	4.5M	2022-01-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.11	3.0547	-1.78%	3.19	+2.57%	0.0079	✓	0.98	995k	2022-01-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1928	4.1194	-1.75%	4.3463	+3.66%	0.0080	✓	1.26	4.5M	2022-01-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3612	1.3377	-1.73%	1.31	-3.76%	0.0713	✓	1.40	5.0M	2022-01-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	139.74	137.3555	-1.71%	142.55	+2.01%	0.0109	✓	1.33	9.6M	2022-01-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3378	0.332077	-1.69%	0.335	-0.83%	0.0452	✓	1.50	3.4M	2022-01-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	177.7	174.6992	-1.69%	165.39	-6.93%	0.0892	✓	0.95	7.9M	2022-01-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01562	0.015359	-1.67%	0.015	-3.97%	0.0705	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009855	0.00009694	-1.63%	0.00009702	-1.55%	0.0352	✓	1.00	6.9M	2022-01-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0272	2.9787	-1.60%	3.3204	+9.69%	0.0666	✗	1.16	2.7M	2022-01-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.6996	-1.58%	14	+0.57%	0.0193	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-01-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5999	0.590609	-1.55%	0.7145	+19.10%	0.1416	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-01-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.03	7.9064	-1.54%	8.04	+0.12%	0.0106	✓	0.76	771k	2022-01-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.661	2.6203	-1.53%	2.857	+7.37%	0.0542	✗	0.90	34k	2022-01-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.183	8.0584	-1.52%	7.757	-5.21%	0.0614	✓	0.65	251k	2022-01-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.257021	0.253118	-1.52%	0.265375	+3.25%	0.0106	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.127	4.0645	-1.52%	4.269	+3.44%	0.0210	✗	0.78	942k	2022-01-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5936	0.584658	-1.51%	0.5792	-2.43%	0.0563	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04946	0.048722	-1.49%	0.05342	+8.01%	0.0514	✗	1.13	16k	2022-01-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.369	0.363574	-1.47%	0.366	-0.81%	0.0194	✓	0.72	39k	2022-01-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.989	6.8868	-1.46%	7.673	+9.79%	0.0626	✗	1.26	315k	2022-01-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.09	14.871	-1.45%	14.96	-0.86%	0.0180	✓	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0909	3.0461	-1.45%	3.1511	+1.95%	0.0057	✓	1.10	715k	2022-01-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.173	0.170553	-1.41%	0.1754	+1.39%	0.0167	✓	1.24	4.6M	2022-01-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.01	9.8686	-1.41%	10.52	+5.09%	0.0373	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.07493	-1.41%	0.0813	+6.97%	0.0431	✗	1.07	16k	2022-01-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	250.4	246.8799	-1.41%	281.84	+12.56%	0.0908	✗	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0749	0.073848	-1.40%	0.0707	-5.61%	0.0881	✓	1.24	20.3M	2022-01-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5714	3.5215	-1.40%	3.7699	+5.56%	0.0712	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0169	0.016664	-1.40%	0.01666	-1.42%	0.0250	✓	0.69	30k	2022-01-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	27.5677	-1.33%	28.42	+1.72%	0.0054	✓	0.69	385k	2022-01-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0855	0.084365	-1.33%	0.0865	+1.17%	0.0247	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.57	54.8377	-1.32%	53.8	-3.19%	0.0729	✓	1.49	805k	2022-01-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.9	190.3642	-1.31%	189.59	-1.72%	0.0461	✓	1.16	195k	2022-01-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.88	24.5561	-1.30%	27.76	+11.58%	0.0757	✗	1.30	71.0M	2022-01-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1166	0.115088	-1.30%	0.1192	+2.23%	0.0027	✓	1.05	89k	2022-01-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.83	2.7934	-1.29%	2.77	-2.12%	0.0561	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.72	108.3021	-1.29%	113.04	+3.03%	0.0086	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.5556	-1.27%	6.68	+0.60%	0.0041	✓	0.64	713k	2022-01-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07895	0.077949	-1.27%	0.08072	+2.24%	0.0168	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1	0.987351	-1.26%	1.09	+9.00%	0.0356	✗	1.76	1.9M	2022-01-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1737	6.0957	-1.26%	6.8128	+10.35%	0.0809	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1543	0.152352	-1.26%	0.1392	-9.79%	0.1345	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029557	0.029195	-1.23%	0.028431	-3.81%	0.0634	✓	1.02	6.8M	2022-01-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.77	3.7247	-1.20%	3.55	-5.84%	0.0841	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1805	0.17834	-1.20%	0.1929	+6.87%	0.0552	✗	0.65	428k	2022-01-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1763	0.174231	-1.17%	0.1798	+1.99%	0.0015	✓	0.91	490k	2022-01-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3192	0.315471	-1.17%	0.3321	+4.04%	0.0058	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-01-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.18	8.087	-1.14%	7.91	-3.30%	0.0442	✓	0.61	801k	2022-01-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.857	1.836	-1.13%	1.853	-0.22%	0.0321	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	31.53	31.1735	-1.13%	29.72	-5.74%	0.0857	✓	1.05	22.1M	2022-01-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01509	0.01492	-1.12%	0.01434	-4.97%	0.1261	✓	2.40	29.0M	2022-01-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.43	381.1751	-1.10%	385.65	+0.06%	0.0251	✓	1.02	9.0M	2022-01-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002895	0.000028631	-1.10%	0.00003084	+6.53%	0.0292	✗	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.79	85.8393	-1.10%	90.41	+4.17%	0.0103	✓	1.15	119.5M	2022-01-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.668	1.6498	-1.09%	1.4707	-11.83%	0.1849	✓	1.94	1.4M	2022-01-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1111	0.109919	-1.06%	0.113	+1.71%	0.0123	✓	1.11	304k	2022-01-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.154835	0.153211	-1.05%	0.183317	+18.39%	0.1399	✗	1.10	4.6M	2022-01-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.506	1.4904	-1.03%	1.509	+0.20%	0.0368	✓	1.36	5.3M	2022-01-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2564	4.2127	-1.03%	4.285	+0.67%	0.0317	✓	1.35	4.9M	2022-01-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,663.10	41,236.87	-1.02%	43,294.10	+3.91%	0.0133	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.75	15.5922	-1.00%	15.87	+0.76%	0.0289	✓	1.29	13.8M	2022-01-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2093	1.1974	-0.98%	1.2931	+6.93%	0.0372	✗	1.10	97.2M	2022-01-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.597	4.5525	-0.97%	4.867	+5.87%	0.0440	✗	0.63	489k	2022-01-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.306	1.2934	-0.97%	1.308	+0.15%	0.0368	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-01-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	211.6	209.6235	-0.93%	224.05	+5.88%	0.0248	✗	1.16	16.2M	2022-01-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	194.72	192.9837	-0.89%	229.78	+18.01%	0.1375	✗	1.03	3.0M	2022-01-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,198.82	3,171.08	-0.87%	3,310.45	+3.49%	0.0049	✓	1.06	619.8M	2022-01-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.019625	0.019459	-0.84%	0.02049	+4.41%	0.0076	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.7583	-0.84%	3.92	+3.43%	0.0061	✓	1.00	929k	2022-01-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8679	7.8026	-0.83%	7.8442	-0.30%	0.0462	✓	1.43	268k	2022-01-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.102625	-0.81%	0.10933	+5.67%	0.0227	✗	1.13	24k	2022-01-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.811	3.7806	-0.80%	3.845	+0.89%	0.0076	✓	0.68	483k	2022-01-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,565.18	41,234.88	-0.79%	43,090.72	+3.67%	0.0080	✓	1.00	748.4M	2022-01-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2622	1.2528	-0.75%	1.2988	+2.89%	0.0005	✓	1.01	3.5M	2022-01-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068128	0.067649	-0.70%	0.067658	-0.69%	0.0342	✓	0.95	589k	2022-01-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.42	72.9427	-0.65%	73.7	+0.38%	0.0270	✓	1.04	6.3M	2022-01-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9099	3.8865	-0.60%	4.1356	+5.77%	0.0350	✗	0.75	8,523	2022-01-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17255	0.17161	-0.54%	0.22239	+28.88%	0.2026	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-01-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.18	2.1686	-0.52%	2.38	+9.17%	0.0542	✗	1.08	3.6M	2022-01-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.054	1.0489	-0.49%	1.055	+0.09%	0.0286	✓	0.96	2.3M	2022-01-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1004	0.099975	-0.42%	0.079	-21.31%	0.2715	✓	1.00	34.7M	2022-01-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	136.37	136.3473	-0.02%	146.17	+7.19%	0.0296	✗	1.11	203.4M	2022-01-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	68.69	68.7936	+0.15%	81.47	+18.61%	0.1331	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.26	9.2856	+0.28%	9.84	+6.26%	0.0606	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.889	2.9079	+0.66%	3.372	+16.72%	0.0919	✓	1.56	1.4M	2022-01-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	30.01	30.216	+0.69%	26.28	-12.43%	0.2063	✗	1.85	5.4M	2022-01-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.07	3.1278	+1.88%	2.92	-4.89%	0.1048	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0882	1.1172	+2.67%	0.9779	-10.14%	0.1661	✗	0.91	3.8M	2022-01-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.