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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s9

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
79.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2287
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0402
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002716-1.40%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002731-1.22%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002684-1.31%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002677-1.75%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002983-2.99%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002657-1.39%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002664-1.16%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002718-0.99%0.002755+0.36%0.0107✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002742-0.84%0.002765+0.00%0.0202✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002823-0.42%0.00272-4.06%0.0353✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002736-0.50%0.002725-0.91%0.0052✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002821-0.13%0.003075+8.85%0.1018✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002833-0.24%0.002695-5.11%0.0354✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002787-0.11%0.002695-3.41%0.0235✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.00274-0.19%0.002745+0.00%0.0023✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002885-0.17%0.002765-4.33%0.0271✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002948+0.28%0.002835-3.57%0.0168✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003237-0.38%0.00275-15.38%0.1209✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003137+0.21%0.002825-9.74%0.0726✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003023-0.22%0.00284-6.27%0.0420✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00292-0.36%0.00279-4.78%0.0231✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003012+0.05%0.002745-8.80%0.0571✗0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002961+0.04%0.00289-2.36%0.0213✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002921+0.21%0.00294+0.86%0.0152✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002998-0.07%0.00325+8.33%0.0559✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003139-0.03%0.00313-0.32%0.0248✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003381-1.13%0.00303-11.40%0.1134✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002908+0.45%0.00293+1.21%0.0027✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002822+0.78%0.00301+7.50%0.0591✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002861+0.74%0.00296+4.23%0.0438✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002967+0.74%0.002915-1.02%0.0115✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002915+0.68%0.003+3.63%0.0662✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002546+1.04%0.00314+24.60%0.1754✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002654+0.93%0.00342+30.04%0.2202✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002897+0.07%0.002895+0.00%0.0359✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002659-0.03%0.0028+5.26%0.0318✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.00242+0.82%0.00284+18.33%0.0741✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00247+0.62%0.002945+19.96%0.0605✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002571+1.02%0.002895+13.75%0.0269✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002599+0.72%0.00252-2.33%0.0789✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.00271+0.37%0.00263-2.59%0.0749✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002755+0.37%0.002895+5.46%0.0111✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002618+0.48%0.00266+2.11%0.0183✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002851-0.32%0.0024-16.08%0.1485✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002735+0.55%0.002455-9.74%0.0771✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002656+1.18%0.002545-3.05%0.0332✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002712+1.36%0.00258-3.55%0.0105✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002785+1.46%0.0027-1.64%0.0020✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002673+1.44%0.002745+4.17%0.0528✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.00292+1.39%0.002605-9.55%0.0671✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.00294+0.35%0.00286-2.39%0.0394✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003196-0.45%0.00272-15.26%0.1737✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003019-0.21%0.002625-13.22%0.1464✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002577+0.65%0.002675+4.49%0.0043✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002558+0.52%0.002745+7.86%0.0508✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002797+0.43%0.002635-5.39%0.0824✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002863+0.80%0.00288+1.41%0.0059✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.00271+0.92%0.00293+9.12%0.0985✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002726+0.79%0.00321+18.67%0.1767✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002894+1.03%0.003025+5.58%0.0490✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003082+0.88%0.00256-16.20%0.1847✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002978+0.76%0.002545-13.87%0.1718✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003069+0.95%0.002785-8.39%0.0910✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.00301-1.00%0.00284-6.58%0.1548✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003035-2.11%0.002685-13.39%0.2773✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002947-3.05%0.002705-11.02%0.3381✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.00312-3.39%0.002865-11.30%0.3283✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002944-3.17%0.003055+0.49%0.2076✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002981-3.21%0.002955-4.06%0.2351✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002833-3.16%0.00304+3.93%0.1741✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002828-3.31%0.00304+3.93%0.0955✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003079-3.47%0.0031-2.82%0.0767✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002837-3.65%0.00304+3.23%0.0558✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003295-3.78%0.00323-5.69%0.0219✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002913-4.19%0.00304+0.00%0.0449✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002958-4.28%0.00308-0.32%0.0406✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003175-4.09%0.002925-11.63%0.0815✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003568-4.21%0.002925-21.48%0.1979✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004655-6.53%0.00319-35.94%0.3770✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00289-3.36%0.002945-1.51%0.0178✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003076-3.28%0.003425+7.70%0.1085✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003179-3.37%0.00304-7.60%0.0421✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003151-3.06%0.00309-4.92%0.0140✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003044-2.74%0.00331+5.75%0.0890✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003115-3.10%0.003725+15.86%0.1774✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003346-3.02%0.00498+44.35%0.4003✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003528-2.81%0.00299-17.63%0.1647✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003558-2.51%0.00318-12.88%0.1132✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003701-2.09%0.00329-12.96%0.1251✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003624-1.93%0.00325-12.04%0.1146✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003626-1.73%0.00313-15.18%0.1505✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003776-1.54%0.003215-16.17%0.1620✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003939-1.52%0.00345-13.75%0.1404✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003917-1.59%0.00363-8.79%0.0856✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003823-1.47%0.00365-5.93%0.0511✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004045-1.58%0.00378-8.03%0.0657✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003997-1.66%0.003695-9.10%0.0802✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004139-1.80%0.00369-12.46%0.1143✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004235-1.97%0.003835-11.23%0.0956✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004418-2.46%0.004-11.70%0.0938✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003584-2.88%0.00398+7.86%0.1105✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004032-1.67%0.00388-5.37%0.0339✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004133-2.63%0.00411-3.18%0.0038✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004221-3.09%0.004065-6.66%0.0324✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004564-3.31%0.004215-10.70%0.0806✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005201-2.41%0.00432-18.95%0.1834✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004775-2.95%0.00453-7.93%0.0429✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006093-2.36%0.00369-40.87%0.4915✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.00727-2.16%0.0041-44.82%0.5841✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007924-2.29%0.004245-47.66%0.6237✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007616-2.36%0.004355-44.17%0.5567✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00806-2.48%0.00472-42.89%0.5299✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008336-2.62%0.00533-37.73%0.4422✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007706-2.58%0.00492-37.80%0.4397✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008355-2.85%0.00624-27.44%0.2792✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008761-3.62%0.00743-18.26%0.1515✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006921-2.66%0.00811+14.06%0.1776✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007595-2.87%0.0078-0.26%0.0422✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007848-3.11%0.008265+2.04%0.0640✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007742-3.16%0.00856+7.07%0.1093✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00762-3.30%0.00791+0.38%0.0337✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008311-3.48%0.0086-0.12%0.0156✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008651-3.77%0.00909+1.11%0.0304✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008359-3.81%0.00711-18.18%0.1813✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009139-4.10%0.00782-17.94%0.1787✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008774-4.06%0.0081-11.43%0.0982✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008555-4.20%0.007995-10.47%0.0836✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009281-4.42%0.00788-18.85%0.1837✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009679-4.92%0.00861-15.42%0.1324✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00907-5.13%0.00899-5.96%0.0186✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008016-4.58%0.00869+3.45%0.0687✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008956-5.42%0.00953+0.63%0.0613✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007168-4.30%0.009145+22.10%0.2432✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007091-4.18%0.00893+20.68%0.2270✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007281-3.43%0.00971+28.78%0.3032✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006408-1.87%0.01018+55.90%0.4822✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006971-3.17%0.00956+32.78%0.3347✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007558-3.48%0.0084+7.28%0.1231✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007926-1.91%0.00947+17.20%0.2052✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007798-1.17%0.00749-5.07%0.0231✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008561-3.16%0.0074-16.29%0.1478✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008827-2.89%0.00754-17.05%0.1727✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009356-4.04%0.00653-33.03%0.3825✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011516-8.09%0.0072-42.54%0.6134✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008879-5.40%0.00783-16.57%0.2612✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008461-5.04%0.00808-9.32%0.2107✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010155-7.68%0.00789-28.27%0.3943✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.00718-1.51%0.00884+21.26%0.1089✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007313-2.81%0.00909+20.80%0.1207✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.00734-4.30%0.00975+27.12%0.1957✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.00841-5.83%0.01253+40.31%0.3736✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.00934-6.27%0.009385-5.82%0.0075✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.00997-6.39%0.00891-16.34%0.1171✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011356-6.72%0.011-9.65%0.0339✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012717-8.05%0.00729-47.29%0.5651✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012194-7.69%0.007525-43.04%0.4885✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016197-8.52%0.00767-56.68%0.7485✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018508-9.93%0.00893-56.55%0.7294✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015811-9.34%0.009965-42.86%0.4600✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016423-9.86%0.01065-41.55%0.4276✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020087-11.47%0.012175-46.34%0.4895✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.01527-11.17%0.01383-19.55%0.0806✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018963-13.09%0.01321-39.46%0.3516✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006243-7.99%0.017705+160.94%1.0959✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004247-3.47%0.02055+367.05%1.6571✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002491+2.09%0.01744+614.75%2.0354✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002474+1.81%0.01822+649.79%2.0438✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002412+1.33%0.02269+853.36%2.2634✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002307+1.64%0.01719+657.27%1.9880✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002272+1.44%0.02182+874.11%2.3045✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002377+0.93%0.006785+188.11%1.0540✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002303+0.13%0.0044+91.30%0.6251✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002376-1.40%0.00244+1.24%0.0172✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002428-2.09%0.00243-2.02%0.0231✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002358-2.58%0.00238-1.65%0.0143✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002561-3.17%0.00227-14.18%0.1673✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002653-3.35%0.00224-18.40%0.2404✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002851-3.35%0.002355-20.17%0.2485✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002833-2.98%0.0023-21.23%0.2399✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002994-4.05%0.00241-22.76%0.2154✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00261-5.09%0.00248-9.82%0.0638✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00311-4.89%0.00242-25.99%0.2605✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003201-4.73%0.002645-21.28%0.1659✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.00327-5.07%0.002745-20.32%0.1441✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003071-6.09%0.00295-9.79%0.0398✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003327-6.55%0.00292-17.98%0.1492✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003311-6.61%0.00312-11.99%0.1196✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.00323-7.06%0.00275-20.86%0.1852✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00327-7.38%0.00327-7.37%0.0045✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003553-7.47%0.00336-12.50%0.0970✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003325-7.76%0.003445-4.44%0.0089✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.00329-8.10%0.00327-8.66%0.0350✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003234-8.64%0.00356+0.56%0.0771✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003716-7.44%0.003545-11.71%0.0936✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003747-8.93%0.003475-15.55%0.1154✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003673-9.19%0.00353-12.73%0.1010✓1.12
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