8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s9

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
61.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0767
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002744-0.40%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002756-0.33%0.002755-0.36%0.0026✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.00271-0.38%0.002765+1.65%0.0070✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002707-0.65%0.00272-0.18%0.0090✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003031-1.43%0.002725-11.38%0.1043✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002684-0.41%0.003075+14.10%0.1285✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002685-0.37%0.002695+0.00%0.0051✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002736-0.34%0.002695-1.82%0.0076✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002756-0.33%0.002745-0.72%0.0106✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002829-0.20%0.002765-2.47%0.0047✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002744-0.21%0.002835+3.09%0.0172✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002822-0.12%0.00275-2.65%0.0076✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002836-0.13%0.002825-0.53%0.0112✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002788-0.08%0.00284+1.79%0.0151✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002742-0.11%0.00279+1.64%0.0091✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002885-0.19%0.002745-5.02%0.0354✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002939-0.03%0.00289-1.70%0.0039✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003236-0.42%0.00294-9.54%0.0938✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003126-0.12%0.00325+3.83%0.0473✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003023-0.23%0.00313+3.30%0.0154✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002919-0.38%0.00303+3.41%0.0347✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003007-0.09%0.00293-2.66%0.0222✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002958-0.08%0.00301+1.69%0.0035✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002913-0.05%0.00296+1.54%0.0168✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002993-0.24%0.002915-2.83%0.0283✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003132-0.26%0.003-4.46%0.0320✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003387-0.98%0.00314-8.19%0.0761✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002893-0.08%0.00342+18.13%0.1637✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002801+0.04%0.002895+3.39%0.0365✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002839-0.02%0.0028-1.41%0.0141✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002941-0.14%0.00284-3.57%0.0143✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002887-0.28%0.002945+1.73%0.0245✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002523+0.13%0.002895+14.88%0.0818✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002631+0.04%0.00252-4.18%0.0423✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002883-0.42%0.00263-9.15%0.0957✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.35%0.002895+8.83%0.0402✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002401+0.04%0.00266+10.83%0.1002✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002454-0.06%0.0024-2.24%0.0286✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002547+0.08%0.002455-3.54%0.0066✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00258+0.00%0.002545-1.36%0.0292✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002697-0.10%0.00258-4.44%0.0391✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002741-0.16%0.0027-1.64%0.0155✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.0026-0.19%0.002745+5.37%0.0463✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002837-0.81%0.002605-8.92%0.0659✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002715-0.19%0.00286+5.15%0.0538✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002627+0.07%0.00272+3.62%0.0415✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002678+0.10%0.002625-1.87%0.0062✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002749+0.15%0.002675-2.55%0.0330✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002641+0.22%0.002745+4.17%0.0371✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002884+0.14%0.002635-8.51%0.0748✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002927-0.10%0.00288-1.71%0.0629✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003188-0.67%0.00293-8.72%0.0834✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003006-0.63%0.00321+6.12%0.0805✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002563+0.11%0.003025+18.16%0.1516✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002547+0.08%0.00256+0.59%0.0122✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002787+0.08%0.002545-8.62%0.0959✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002845+0.18%0.002785-1.94%0.0086✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002692+0.26%0.00284+5.77%0.0391✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002711+0.23%0.002685-0.74%0.0156✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002873+0.29%0.002705-5.58%0.0550✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003062+0.23%0.002865-6.22%0.0824✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002962+0.23%0.003055+3.38%0.0224✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003047+0.21%0.002955-2.80%0.0146✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003032-0.26%0.00304+0.00%0.0691✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003086-0.44%0.00304-1.94%0.0767✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003019-0.68%0.0031+1.97%0.0633✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003201-0.88%0.00304-5.88%0.0555✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003018-0.74%0.00323+6.25%0.0384✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003058-0.72%0.00304-1.30%0.0026✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002907-0.62%0.00308+5.30%0.0571✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002906-0.63%0.002925+0.00%0.0149✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003165-0.77%0.002925-8.31%0.0792✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002925-0.67%0.00319+8.32%0.0880✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003392-0.97%0.002945-14.01%0.1400✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003017-0.77%0.003425+12.66%0.1279✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003066-0.77%0.00304-1.62%0.0086✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003282-0.83%0.00309-6.65%0.0604✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003676-1.31%0.00331-11.14%0.1055✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004812-3.37%0.003725-25.20%0.2559✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002971-0.63%0.00498+66.56%0.5177✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003158-0.70%0.00299-5.97%0.0533✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003262-0.86%0.00318-3.34%0.0254✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003227-0.69%0.00329+1.23%0.0210✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003112-0.58%0.00325+3.83%0.0432✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003193-0.67%0.00313-2.64%0.0257✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003428-0.64%0.003215-6.81%0.0612✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003607-0.64%0.00345-4.96%0.0442✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003628-0.59%0.00363-0.55%0.0010✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003759-0.56%0.00365-3.44%0.0360✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003676-0.50%0.00378+2.30%0.0316✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003673-0.47%0.003695+0.14%0.0066✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003818-0.44%0.00369-3.78%0.0374✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003982-0.44%0.003835-4.13%0.0413✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003962-0.46%0.004+0.50%0.0081✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003865-0.39%0.00398+2.58%0.0334✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00409-0.49%0.00388-5.60%0.0510✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004045-0.50%0.00411+1.11%0.0156✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.00419-0.58%0.004065-3.56%0.0277✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00429-0.70%0.004215-2.43%0.0172✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00449-0.87%0.00432-4.64%0.0427✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00367-0.54%0.00453+22.76%0.2095✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004085-0.36%0.00369-10.00%0.0976✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004223-0.51%0.0041-3.42%0.0326✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00433-0.57%0.004245-2.53%0.0200✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004693-0.58%0.004355-7.73%0.0764✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005309-0.39%0.00472-11.44%0.1141✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004898-0.44%0.00533+8.33%0.0882✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006219-0.34%0.00492-21.15%0.2409✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007403-0.36%0.00624-16.02%0.1753✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008072-0.47%0.00743-8.38%0.0816✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007766-0.44%0.00811+3.97%0.0449✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008221-0.53%0.0078-5.63%0.0507✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008505-0.65%0.008265-3.45%0.0255✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.00786-0.63%0.00856+8.22%0.0914✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008525-0.87%0.00791-8.02%0.0710✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008967-1.35%0.0086-5.39%0.0477✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007072-0.54%0.00909+27.85%0.2543✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007768-0.66%0.00711-9.08%0.0909✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008039-0.75%0.00782-3.46%0.0280✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007936-0.74%0.0081+1.31%0.0220✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007823-0.72%0.007995+1.46%0.0172✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008539-0.83%0.00788-8.48%0.0876✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008903-0.97%0.00861-4.23%0.0399✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.00861-0.92%0.00899+3.45%0.0468✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009418-1.17%0.00869-8.81%0.0856✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009049-1.05%0.00953+4.21%0.0556✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008834-1.08%0.009145+2.41%0.0375✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009586-1.28%0.00893-8.03%0.0798✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.01001-1.67%0.00971-4.62%0.0364✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009388-1.80%0.01018+6.49%0.0783✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008296-1.24%0.00956+13.81%0.1445✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009285-1.96%0.0084-11.30%0.0954✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007409-1.08%0.00947+26.44%0.2501✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007324-1.02%0.00749+1.22%0.0223✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007469-0.94%0.0074-1.86%0.0016✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006509-0.32%0.00754+15.47%0.1458✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007152-0.67%0.00653-9.31%0.0994✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007767-0.81%0.0072-8.05%0.0775✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008042-0.47%0.00783-3.09%0.0079✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007871-0.24%0.00808+2.41%0.0250✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008762-0.88%0.00789-10.75%0.1298✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009011-0.87%0.00884-2.75%0.0205✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009625-1.28%0.00909-6.77%0.0690✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.01208-3.59%0.00975-22.19%0.2932✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009228-1.68%0.01253+33.51%0.2778✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008769-1.59%0.009385+5.33%0.0657✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010615-3.50%0.00891-19.00%0.1708✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007263-0.38%0.011+50.89%0.4138✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007471-0.72%0.00729-3.12%0.0315✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007601-0.89%0.007525-1.89%0.0239✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008801-1.45%0.00767-14.11%0.1434✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009792-1.74%0.00893-10.39%0.0912✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010461-1.77%0.009965-6.43%0.0481✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011901-2.25%0.01065-12.53%0.1099✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013385-3.21%0.012175-11.97%0.0992✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012827-2.90%0.01383+4.69%0.0754✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017048-3.71%0.01321-25.39%0.2543✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019503-5.09%0.017705-13.84%0.0964✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016655-4.50%0.02055+17.83%0.2120✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017323-4.92%0.01744-4.28%0.0094✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021255-6.32%0.01822-19.70%0.1512✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016148-6.06%0.02269+32.00%0.3506✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.0202-7.42%0.01719-21.22%0.1710✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006441-5.07%0.02182+221.59%1.2371✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004265-3.07%0.006785+54.20%0.4847✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002446+0.26%0.0044+80.33%0.5956✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002436+0.25%0.00244+0.41%0.0262✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002384+0.15%0.00243+2.10%0.0103✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002278+0.33%0.00238+4.85%0.0405✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002247+0.32%0.00227+1.34%0.0383✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00236+0.23%0.00224-4.88%0.0587✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002302+0.08%0.002355+2.39%0.0102✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002406-0.16%0.0023-4.56%0.0609✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002472-0.32%0.00241-2.82%0.0239✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002412-0.35%0.00248+2.48%0.0225✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002632-0.49%0.00242-8.51%0.1085✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002729-0.59%0.002645-3.64%0.0383✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002933-0.56%0.002745-6.95%0.0591✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002905-0.50%0.00295+1.03%0.0288✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003091-0.94%0.00292-6.41%0.0402✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00272-1.09%0.00312+13.45%0.1245✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00324-0.90%0.00275-15.90%0.1665✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003326-1.00%0.00327-2.68%0.0069✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003414-0.91%0.00336-2.47%0.0167✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003234-1.09%0.003445+5.35%0.0402✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003517-1.21%0.00327-8.15%0.0789✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003496-1.38%0.00356+0.42%0.0077✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003431-1.27%0.003545+2.01%0.0578✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003475-1.56%0.003475-1.56%0.0177✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003775-1.70%0.00353-8.07%0.0927✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003554-1.42%0.00384+6.52%0.0730✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003527-1.48%0.003605+0.70%0.0131✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003475-1.84%0.00358+1.13%0.0334✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003958-1.41%0.00354-11.83%0.1674✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004045-1.70%0.004015-2.43%0.0289✗1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003975-1.72%0.004115+1.73%0.0331✗1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.00379-1.55%0.004045+5.06%0.0467✗1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003968-1.54%0.00385-4.47%0.0412✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004266-2.03%0.00403-7.46%0.0443✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003735-1.31%0.004355+15.06%0.1096✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.004035-1.34%0.003785-7.46%0.0618✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.004156-1.04%0.00409-2.62%0.0415✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004093-0.78%0.0042+1.82%0.0209✗1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.004069-0.65%0.004125+0.73%0.0128✗1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004147-0.79%0.004095-2.03%0.0057✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004207-0.78%0.00418-1.42%0.0048✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004085-0.36%0.00424+3.41%0.0153✗0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.004083-0.17%0.0041+0.24%0.0074✓0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.004257-0.30%0.00409-4.22%0.0347✓0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.004481-0.42%0.00427-5.11%0.0478✓0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.004785-0.93%0.0045-6.83%0.0259✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004751-1.44%0.00483+0.21%0.0544✗1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004857-1.29%0.00482-2.03%0.0188✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.005113-1.49%0.00492-5.20%0.0334✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.005076-0.67%0.00519+1.57%0.0223✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.00524-0.95%0.00511-3.40%0.0090✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.005361-1.45%0.00529-2.76%0.0105✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.005238-1.17%0.00544+2.64%0.0292✗1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005795-1.95%0.0053-10.32%0.0699✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.005887-3.33%0.00591-2.96%0.0437✗1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.005675-3.81%0.00609+3.22%0.0847✗1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005694-3.00%0.0059+0.51%0.0054✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005723-2.01%0.00587+0.51%0.0019✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005822-1.82%0.00584-1.52%0.0012✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005752-1.51%0.00593+1.54%0.0244✗1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.005792-1.33%0.00584-0.51%0.0035✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.006099-1.32%0.00587-5.02%0.0419✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.007096-0.06%0.00618-12.96%0.1619✓1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.007445+0.88%0.0071-3.79%0.0869✗1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.008087+0.21%0.00738-8.55%0.0706✗1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008611-0.56%0.00807-6.81%0.0514✓1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.010018-2.17%0.00866-15.43%0.1057✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012672-2.15%0.01024-20.93%0.1881✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.016153-1.02%0.01295-20.65%0.2827✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.018332-1.65%0.01632-12.45%0.1090✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018765-0.82%0.01864-1.48%0.0522✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.020717-1.68%0.01892-10.20%0.0727✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.019526-1.04%0.02107+6.79%0.0594✗1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.020881-2.24%0.01973-7.63%0.0323✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.019117-1.91%0.02136+9.59%0.1184✗1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.015072+0.75%0.01949+30.28%0.1976✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.017475+0.43%0.01496-14.02%0.1467✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.019443-1.40%0.0174-11.76%0.0658✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.020253-2.11%0.01972-4.69%0.0217✓1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.019306-2.69%0.02069+4.28%0.0697✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.018123-2.83%0.01984+6.38%0.0755✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.017449-3.27%0.01865+3.38%0.0582✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.030872-2.49%0.01804-43.02%0.5216✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.040455-2.26%0.03166-23.51%0.2247✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.043636-2.01%0.04139-7.05%0.0538✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.045715-1.79%0.04453-4.34%0.0119✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.048038-1.44%0.04655-4.49%0.0455✓1.00