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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s9

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
82.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5375
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1132
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002672-2.29%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002662-2.14%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002652-2.67%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002923-4.93%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002637-2.13%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002642-1.96%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002694-1.85%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002715-1.82%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002799-1.26%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002711-1.44%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002789-1.27%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002796-1.57%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.00275-1.42%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002708-1.36%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.00284-1.71%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002902-1.28%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00314-3.39%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003061-2.21%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002958-2.38%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002871-2.00%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002955-1.84%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002909-1.71%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002886-1.00%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002953-1.58%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003079-1.94%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003255-4.82%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002896+0.02%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002832+1.13%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002869+1.03%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002984+1.32%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002961+2.28%0.002735-5.53%0.0328✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002583+2.48%0.00272+7.94%0.0332✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002683+2.03%0.002725+3.61%0.0090✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.00288-0.51%0.003075+6.22%0.0529✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002639-0.79%0.002695+1.32%0.0322✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002416+0.69%0.002695+12.29%0.0521✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002458+0.10%0.002745+11.81%0.0378✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002571+1.04%0.002765+8.64%0.0344✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002583+0.12%0.002835+9.88%0.0243✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002687-0.48%0.00275+1.85%0.0273✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00273-0.54%0.002825+2.91%0.0325✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002603-0.09%0.00284+9.02%0.0151✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002839-0.75%0.00279-2.45%0.0626✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002741+0.75%0.002745+0.92%0.0320✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002677+1.99%0.00289+10.10%0.0344✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002756+3.04%0.00294+9.91%0.0099✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00285+3.82%0.00325+18.40%0.0681✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002741+4.01%0.00313+18.79%0.0644✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003015+4.70%0.00303+5.21%0.0280✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002968+1.29%0.00293+0.00%0.0960✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003199-0.35%0.00301-6.23%0.1461✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003076+1.67%0.00296-2.15%0.0995✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002632+2.82%0.002915+13.87%0.0105✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002627+3.22%0.003+17.88%0.0699✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002853+2.43%0.00314+12.75%0.0162✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.00297+4.57%0.00342+20.42%0.0922✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.00282+5.04%0.002895+7.82%0.0312✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002851+5.39%0.0028+3.51%0.0846✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003029+5.71%0.00284-0.87%0.1246✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.00319+4.42%0.002945-3.60%0.1830✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003094+4.70%0.002895-2.03%0.1808✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003232+6.32%0.00252-17.11%0.2836✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003046+0.18%0.00263-13.49%0.2556✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003021-2.53%0.002895-6.61%0.2249✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002916-4.08%0.00266-12.50%0.3077✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003072-4.88%0.0024-25.70%0.4461✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002907-4.38%0.002455-19.24%0.3815✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002941-4.51%0.002545-17.37%0.3872✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002795-4.45%0.00258-11.79%0.3027✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002779-4.98%0.0027-7.69%0.2641✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002999-5.98%0.002745-13.95%0.2736✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002778-5.66%0.002605-11.54%0.2005✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003165-7.58%0.00286-16.50%0.1434✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002844-6.46%0.00272-10.53%0.0572✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.00288-6.78%0.002625-15.05%0.0936✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003064-7.43%0.002675-19.18%0.1382✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003372-9.48%0.002745-26.31%0.2200✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004153-16.61%0.002635-47.09%0.4641✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002829-5.38%0.00288-3.68%0.0530✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002988-6.04%0.00293-7.86%0.0078✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003062-6.93%0.00321-2.43%0.0719✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003044-6.32%0.003025-6.92%0.0294✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002943-5.96%0.00256-18.21%0.1052✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002989-7.04%0.002545-20.84%0.1251✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003198-7.29%0.002785-19.28%0.0928✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003356-7.55%0.00284-21.76%0.1124✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.00337-7.66%0.002685-26.44%0.1793✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003439-9.02%0.002705-28.44%0.1925✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003391-8.22%0.002865-22.46%0.1197✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003394-8.02%0.003055-17.21%0.0719✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003496-8.83%0.002955-22.95%0.1313✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003607-9.84%0.00304-24.00%0.1316✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00358-10.06%0.00304-23.62%0.1416✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003539-8.78%0.0031-20.10%0.1201✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003746-8.85%0.00304-26.03%0.2089✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003709-8.76%0.00323-20.54%0.1392✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003873-8.12%0.00304-27.88%0.2454✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.003968-8.14%0.00308-28.70%0.2555✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004134-8.74%0.002925-35.43%0.3534✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003435-6.91%0.002925-20.73%0.1666✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003903-4.80%0.00319-22.20%0.2000✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004026-5.16%0.002945-30.62%0.3130✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00413-5.18%0.003425-21.35%0.1864✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004451-5.70%0.00304-35.59%0.3780✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005112-4.09%0.00309-42.03%0.4969✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.00465-5.49%0.00331-32.72%0.3294✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005991-3.99%0.003725-40.30%0.4695✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007112-4.28%0.00498-32.97%0.3525✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.00769-5.18%0.00299-63.13%0.9432✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007383-5.34%0.00318-59.23%0.8412✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007766-6.04%0.00329-60.19%0.8557✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008002-6.52%0.00325-62.03%0.8973✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007415-6.26%0.00313-60.43%0.8512✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007972-7.31%0.003215-62.62%0.8919✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008255-9.19%0.00345-62.05%0.8595✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006679-6.06%0.00363-48.95%0.5896✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007275-6.97%0.00365-53.32%0.6712✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007487-7.57%0.00378-53.33%0.6580✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007365-7.88%0.003695-53.78%0.6675✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007248-8.03%0.00369-53.17%0.6645✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007853-8.79%0.003835-55.46%0.7064✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008075-10.18%0.004-55.51%0.6921✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007792-10.34%0.00398-54.20%0.6557✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008366-12.21%0.00388-59.29%0.7633✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008078-11.67%0.00411-55.06%0.6696✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007885-11.70%0.004065-54.48%0.6534✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008404-13.45%0.004215-56.59%0.6932✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.008644-15.09%0.00432-57.56%0.7030✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008162-14.63%0.00453-52.62%0.5953✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007411-11.77%0.00369-56.07%0.7008✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00808-14.67%0.0041-56.71%0.6867✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006692-10.66%0.004245-43.32%0.4541✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006632-10.37%0.004355-41.15%0.4195✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.00677-10.22%0.00472-37.40%0.3469✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005975-8.50%0.00533-18.38%0.1067✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006465-10.21%0.00492-31.67%0.2781✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006927-11.53%0.00624-20.31%0.1043✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007176-11.19%0.00743-8.04%0.0589✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007015-11.09%0.00811+2.79%0.1625✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007628-13.71%0.0078-11.76%0.0159✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007821-13.96%0.008265-9.08%0.0464✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008291-14.96%0.00856-12.21%0.0081✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.009775-21.99%0.00791-36.87%0.4145✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007855-16.31%0.0086-8.36%0.1156✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007535-15.44%0.00909+2.02%0.0133✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.008674-21.15%0.00711-35.36%0.3606✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006464-11.34%0.00782+7.27%0.0477✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006574-12.64%0.0081+7.64%0.0697✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006692-12.75%0.007995+4.24%0.0142✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007554-15.40%0.00788-11.76%0.0323✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008249-17.22%0.00861-13.60%0.0131✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008738-17.96%0.00899-15.59%0.0062✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.009719-20.17%0.00869-28.62%0.1248✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.010775-22.09%0.00953-31.09%0.1533✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01041-21.20%0.009145-30.77%0.1573✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.013652-22.89%0.00893-49.56%0.4405✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.015559-24.28%0.00971-52.75%0.4474✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.013368-23.35%0.01018-41.63%0.2230✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.013981-23.27%0.00956-47.53%0.3321✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017213-24.14%0.0084-62.98%0.6735✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013212-23.14%0.00947-44.91%0.2376✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016593-23.96%0.00749-65.67%0.6998✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005614-17.26%0.0074+9.06%0.5433✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.003995-9.21%0.00754+71.36%1.0156✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002608+6.87%0.00653+167.62%1.3449✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002551+4.98%0.0072+196.30%1.3986✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002472+3.88%0.00783+228.99%1.5162✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002363+4.08%0.00808+255.95%1.6451✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002344+4.65%0.00789+252.23%1.6717✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002426+3.00%0.00884+275.37%1.5232✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002336+1.55%0.00909+295.22%1.5709✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002377-1.38%0.00975+304.56%1.5700✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002418-2.52%0.01253+405.24%1.7403✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002337-3.43%0.009385+287.81%1.4492✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002543-3.84%0.00891+236.86%1.2869✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002636-3.98%0.011+300.73%1.4602✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00283-4.07%0.00729+147.12%0.9830✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002806-3.90%0.007525+157.71%1.0264✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002943-5.67%0.00767+145.83%0.9945✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002574-6.38%0.00893+224.73%1.2488✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003075-5.98%0.009965+204.74%1.1820✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003153-6.17%0.01065+216.96%1.2378✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003229-6.28%0.012175+253.41%1.3623✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003037-7.14%0.01383+322.94%1.5013✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003266-8.26%0.01321+271.07%1.3773✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003246-8.44%0.017705+399.44%1.6594✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003185-8.34%0.02055+491.37%1.8488✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003203-9.27%0.01744+394.05%1.6908✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003467-9.72%0.01822+374.48%1.6205✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00331-8.19%0.02269+529.40%1.8698✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003271-8.64%0.01719+380.17%1.5703✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003203-9.52%0.02182+516.38%1.8556✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003654-8.99%0.006785+68.99%0.4777✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003661-11.02%0.0044+6.93%0.0584✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003593-11.17%0.00244-39.68%0.5201✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003466-9.98%0.00243-36.88%0.4832✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00361-10.42%0.00238-40.94%0.5495✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003789-12.99%0.00227-47.88%0.6298✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003464-8.49%0.00224-40.82%0.6052✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.00371-9.28%0.002355-42.42%0.6151✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.00384-8.58%0.0023-45.24%0.6853✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003802-7.84%0.00241-41.58%0.6161✓1.00
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